Result
5:0
29/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 14
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/470) | 80% (321/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.10 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (399/470) | 80% (321/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (35/57) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (65/87) | 54% (44/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 4.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Segre J. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
- 30', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 33', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 40', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 44', 2 - 0, Palumbo A. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 48', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
- 51', Zuelli E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 61', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
- 61', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
- 67', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
- 68', Abiuso F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 72', Vasic A. 🟨,
- 78', Finotto M. 🟨,
- 79', Schiavi N. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
- 80', Calabrese N. 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
- 83', Bani M. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
- 83', Segre J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 88', 5 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierozzi N. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/48k5y9ue
Chances of winning
Palermo
56.3% | Draw
26.4% | Carrarese
17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Palermo - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.74) |
3.57 ↑
(3.46) |
5.4 ↑
(4.81) |
6%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 25%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Palermo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C.
(Injury)
Gyasi E.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Ruggeri F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Carrarese?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Palermo?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Carrarese were as follows:
13.05.2025
Palermo
-
Carrarese
1:1
07.12.2024
Carrarese
-
Palermo
1:0
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Frosinone | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 36:16 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Venezia | 19 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 34:15 | 19 | 38 |
| 3 | Monza | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 37 |
| 4 | Palermo | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 29:14 | 15 | 34 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 31 |
| 6 | Cesena | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 31 |
| 7 | Modena | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 26:17 | 9 | 29 |
| 8 | Empoli | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 27 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 21:22 | -1 | 27 |
| 10 | Padova | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19:20 | -1 | 25 |
| 11 | Avellino | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 25:29 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Reggiana | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 23:28 | -5 | 20 |
| 14 | Sudtirol | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 | Entella | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 17:26 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Sampdoria | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 17 | Spezia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:27 | -9 | 17 |
| 18 | Bari | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 16:29 | -13 | 17 |
| 19 | Mantova | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16:28 | -12 | 16 |
| 20 | Pescara | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 25:37 | -12 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
