Palermo vs Carrarese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
29/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 14
  • Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
israelIsrael5 LIVE Israel
italyItalyDAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.630.49
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
85% (399/470)80% (321/400)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
3.630.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.100.22
Total shots
217
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
145
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
81
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2410
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
85% (399/470)80% (321/400)
Long passes
61% (35/57)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
75% (65/87)54% (44/82)
Crosses
23% (3/13)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.19
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1712
Tackles
46% (6/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
4151
Clearances
1315
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.224.10
Goals prevented
0.22-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Segre J. , Pohjanpalo J. (A),
  • 30', Palumbo A. 🟨,
  • 33', Le Douaron J. , Vasic A. ,
  • 40', Illanes J. 🟨,
  • 44', 2 - 0, Palumbo A. , Segre J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Sekulov N. , Finotto M. ,
  • 48', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ,
  • 51', Zuelli E. , Bozhanaj K. ,
  • 61', Ceccaroni P. , Veroli D. ,
  • 61', Palumbo A. , Giovane S. ,
  • 67', Cicconi M. , Belloni N. ,
  • 68', Abiuso F. , Rubino T. ,
  • 72', Vasic A. 🟨,
  • 78', Finotto M. 🟨,
  • 79', Schiavi N. , Parlanti G. ,
  • 80', Calabrese N. 🟨,
  • 82', 4 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
  • 83', Bani M. , Peda P. ,
  • 83', Segre J. , Brunori M. ,
  • 88', 5 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. , Pierozzi N. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/48k5y9ue

Chances of winning


Palermo
56.3%
Draw
26.4%
Carrarese
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 27% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 26.5% 19%

Palermo - Carrarese Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.74)
3.57
(3.46)
5.4
(4.81)
6%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palermo - Carrarese?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 15.2%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
    • Palermo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C. (Injury) Gyasi E. (Calf Injury)
    • There will not play in Carrarese: Ruggeri F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Carrarese were as follows:
    13.05.2025 Palermo - Carrarese 1:1
    07.12.2024 Carrarese - Palermo 1:0
    Latest results of Palermo
    22.11.2025 Virtus Entella - Palermo 1:1
    08.11.2025 Juve Stabia - Palermo 1:0
    01.11.2025 Palermo - Pescara 5:0
    28.10.2025 Palermo - Monza 0:3
    25.10.2025 Catanzaro - Palermo 1:0
    Latest results of Carrarese
    22.11.2025 Carrarese - Reggiana 0:0
    01.11.2025 Carrarese - Frosinone 0:2
    28.10.2025 Cesena - Carrarese 2:1
    25.10.2025 Carrarese - Venezia 3:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia22145344:192547
    2Frosinone22137240:192146
    3Monza22135434:181644
    4Palermo22118333:141941
    5Modena2297628:171134
    6Cesena22104829:27234
    7Juve Stabia22810424:23134
    8Catanzaro2288628:26232
    9Carrarese2278731:32-129
    10Sudtirol22610624:23128
    11Empoli2277826:28-228
    12Avellino2277827:35-828
    13Padova2267921:27-625
    14Sampdoria22571021:28-722
    15Reggiana22561125:32-721
    16Entella2249919:29-1021
    17Spezia22551219:29-1020
    18Mantova22551222:36-1420
    19Bari22481018:34-1620
    20Pescara22291127:44-1715

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation