Palermo vs Carrarese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/11/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo).

Serie B - Round 14
Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
Israel	5 LIVE Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Switzerland	Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
3.63	0.49
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
9	2
Big Chances
8	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
85% (399/470)	80% (321/400)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
3.63	0.49
xG on target (xGOT)
4.10	0.22
Total shots
21	7
Shots on target
9	2
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
14	5
Shots outside the Box
7	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
8	1
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
24	10
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
12	17
Passes
85% (399/470)	80% (321/400)
Long passes
61% (35/57)	38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
75% (65/87)	54% (44/82)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.83	0.19
Throw-ins
17	20
Fouls
17	12
Tackles
46% (6/13)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
41	51
Clearances
13	15
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	2
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.22	4.10
Goals prevented
0.22	-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Segre J. ⚽, Pohjanpalo J. (A),
30', Palumbo A. 🟨,
33', Le Douaron J. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
40', Illanes J. 🟨,
44', 2 - 0, Palumbo A. ⚽, Segre J. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sekulov N. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽,
51', Zuelli E. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
61', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Veroli D. ↑,
61', Palumbo A. ↓, Giovane S. ↑,
67', Cicconi M. ↓, Belloni N. ↑,
68', Abiuso F. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
72', Vasic A. 🟨,
78', Finotto M. 🟨,
79', Schiavi N. ↓, Parlanti G. ↑,
80', Calabrese N. 🟨,
82', 4 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
83', Bani M. ↓, Peda P. ↑,
83', Segre J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
88', 5 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Pierozzi N. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/48k5y9ue

Chances of winning

Palermo
56.3%

Draw
26.4%

Carrarese
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

26.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Palermo - Carrarese Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.74)	3.57 ↑ (3.46)	5.4 ↑ (4.81)	6% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Palermo - Carrarese?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Carrarese will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 15.2% – 64.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Carrarese (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
Palermo has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Carrarese has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.
There will not play in Palermo: Gomes C. (Injury) Gyasi E. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Carrarese: Ruggeri F. (Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Palermo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Carrarese?

Palermo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Palermo?

Carrarese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Carrarese were as follows:

13.05.2025 Palermo - Carrarese 1:1

07.12.2024 Carrarese - Palermo 1:0

Latest results of Palermo

22.11.2025 Virtus Entella - Palermo 1:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Juve Stabia - Palermo 1:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Palermo - Pescara 5:0 ✺

28.10.2025 Palermo - Monza 0:3 ✺

25.10.2025 Catanzaro - Palermo 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Carrarese

22.11.2025 Carrarese - Reggiana 0:0 ✺

08.11.2025 Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Carrarese - Frosinone 0:2 ✺

28.10.2025 Cesena - Carrarese 2:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Carrarese - Venezia 3:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	26	17	5	4	53:24	29	56
2	Monza	26	16	6	4	39:20	19	54
3	Frosinone	26	15	8	3	48:24	24	53
4	Palermo	26	14	9	3	45:19	26	51
5	Catanzaro	26	12	8	6	37:27	10	44
6	Modena	26	12	7	7	35:20	15	43
7	Juve Stabia	26	9	11	6	31:31	0	38
8	Cesena	26	11	4	11	34:37	-3	37
9	Sudtirol	26	7	12	7	26:27	-1	33
10	Empoli	26	7	9	10	32:36	-4	30
11	Carrarese	26	7	9	10	31:36	-5	30
12	Padova	26	7	9	10	26:32	-6	30
13	Sampdoria	26	7	8	11	28:34	-6	29
14	Avellino	26	7	8	11	30:42	-12	29
15	Reggiana	26	6	8	12	28:36	-8	26
16	Mantova	26	7	5	14	26:41	-15	26
17	Spezia	26	6	7	13	23:34	-11	25
18	Entella	26	5	10	11	24:37	-13	25
19	Bari	26	4	10	12	21:39	-18	22
20	Pescara	26	3	9	14	30:51	-21	18

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation