Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Çaykur Rizespor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Atatürk Olimpiyat (Istanbul).

Super Lig - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.32	1.55
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
0	3
Passes
77% (251/325)	85% (475/557)
Yellow cards
1	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.32	1.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.82	0.94
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
3	8
Blocked shots
2	1
Shots inside the box
7	8
Shots outside the box
3	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
0	3
Touches in opposition box
16	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
21	15
Passes
77% (251/325)	85% (475/557)
Long passes
30% (17/56)	57% (32/56)
Passes in final third
68% (68/100)	69% (84/122)
Crosses
0% (0/5)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	1.02
Throw ins
11	16
Fouls
15	21
Tackles
68% (13/19)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
55	52
Clearances
27	11
Interceptions
18	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.94	1.82
Goals prevented
-0.06	-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Verde D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Akaydin S. 🟨,
60', Olawoyin I. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
69', Verde D. ↓, Cukur T. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Sowe A. ⚽,
73', Antalyali T. ↓, Papanikolaou G. ↑,
73', Augusto L. ↓, Zeqiri A. ↑,
74', Hojer C. 🟨,
76', Serginho ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
78', Kurukalip C. 🟨,
86', Larsson S. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
86', Kurukalip C. ↓, Kadioglu M. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Babicka S. ⚽, Cukur T. (A),
90+1', Hojer C. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
90+1', Dervisoglu H. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
90+2', Stanojevic A. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Fatih Karagümrükspor
32.1%

Draw
27.7%

Çaykur Rizespor
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

28.6%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

28.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.87)	3.41 ↑ (3.27)	2.36 ↓ (2.41)	5.3% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rizespor will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Karagümrük has had a series of away games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Injury) Kranevitter M. (Red Card)
There will not play in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Babicka S. (Injury) Biraschi D. (Hamstring Injury) Larsson S. (Injury) Verde D. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Rizespor: Hojer C. (Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 1.1:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Çaykur Rizespor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Çaykur Rizespor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Çaykur Rizespor has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor were as follows:

03.11.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0

07.01.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:0

28.01.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor 4:0

01.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

19.03.2026 Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0 ✺

13.03.2026 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 2:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Gaziantep - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Fethiyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 0:2 ✺

27.02.2026 Trabzonspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor

14.03.2026 Trabzonspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:0 ✺

08.03.2026 Çaykur Rizespor - Antalyaspor 1:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Beşiktaş - Çaykur Rizespor 4:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Kasımpaşa - Çaykur Rizespor 0:3 ✺

20.02.2026 Çaykur Rizespor - Kocaelispor 2:0 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	29	21	5	3	67:22	45	68
2	Fenerbahce	29	19	9	1	66:28	38	66
3	Trabzonspor	29	19	7	3	56:31	25	64
4	Besiktas	29	16	7	6	53:34	19	55
5	Basaksehir	29	13	8	8	47:30	17	47
6	Goztepe	29	12	11	6	36:26	10	47
7	Samsunspor	29	9	12	8	34:38	-4	39
8	Rizespor	29	9	9	11	39:40	-1	36
9	Kocaelispor	29	9	8	12	24:33	-9	35
10	Konyaspor	29	8	10	11	36:41	-5	34
11	Gaziantep	29	8	10	11	38:49	-11	34
12	Alanyaspor	29	6	15	8	35:34	1	33
13	Kasimpasa	29	6	10	13	28:41	-13	28
14	Antalyaspor	29	7	7	15	30:47	-17	28
15	Genclerbirligi	29	6	7	16	28:42	-14	25
16	Kayserispor	29	4	11	14	21:54	-33	23
17	Eyupspor	29	5	7	17	20:43	-23	22
18	Karagumruk	29	5	5	19	26:51	-25	20

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig