Çaykur Rizespor vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Çaykur Didi Stadyumu (Rize).

Super Lig - Round 11
Referee: Guldibi O. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.76
Ball Possession
62%	38%
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Passes
82% (434/532)	67% (220/327)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.66	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.45	0.00
Total shots
13	14
Shots on target
4	0
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
2	8
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
4	4
Touches in opposition box
25	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
13	14
Passes
82% (434/532)	67% (220/327)
Long passes
42% (24/57)	34% (20/59)
Passes in final third
75% (109/145)	50% (50/100)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.93	0.54
Throw-ins
18	23
Fouls
14	13
Tackles
80% (8/10)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
44	50
Clearances
25	22
Interceptions
9	15
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.45
Goals prevented
0.00	0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Papanikolaou G. 🟨,
29', Rak-Sakyi J. 🟨,
40', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
44', Doh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Augusto L. ↓, Bulut E. ↑,
60', Papanikolaou G. ↓, Sowe A. ↑,
63', Serginho ↓, Camacho J. ↑,
68', Mocsi A. 🟨,
71', Cinar A. 🟨,
71', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Mihaila V. ↑,
73', Ozcan B. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
82', Buljubasic M. ↓, Antalyali T. ↑,
83', 1 - 0, Mocsi A. ⚽,
90', Balkovec J. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
90', Doh M. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Çaykur Rizespor
54.6%

Draw
24.5%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

22%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Çaykur Rizespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.84 ↓ (4.01)	4.41 ↓ (4.55)	6% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Çaykur Rizespor will win (29 of 30 users predict this - 96.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.25% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Çaykur Rizespor will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1.
In recent matches, Rizespor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Karagümrük has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Karagümrük may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Rizespor is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Rizespor: Laine J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Karagümrük: Esgaio R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Rizespor: Dervisoglu H. (Inactive) Olawoyin I. (Injury)
There are questionable in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.3:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Çaykur Rizespor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?

Çaykur Rizespor has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Çaykur Rizespor?

Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:

07.01.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:0

28.01.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor 4:0

01.09.2023 Çaykur Rizespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 1:0

Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor

30.10.2025 Karaköprü - Çaykur Rizespor 0:3 ✺

27.10.2025 Samsunspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:1 ✺

22.10.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - İstanbul Başakşehir 0:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Trabzonspor 1:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Antalyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:5 ✺

Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor

24.10.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor 2:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Gaziantep 0:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Trabzonspor 3:4 ✺

21.09.2025 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2 ✺

Turkish Super League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Galatasaray	24	18	4	2	58:18	40	58
2	Fenerbahce	24	15	9	0	54:23	31	54
3	Trabzonspor	24	15	6	3	48:28	20	51
4	Besiktas	24	13	7	4	45:29	16	46
5	Goztepe	24	11	9	4	27:16	11	42
6	Basaksehir	24	11	6	7	42:26	16	39
7	Samsunspor	24	7	11	6	25:27	-2	32
8	Kocaelispor	24	8	6	10	21:25	-4	30
9	Gaziantep	24	7	8	9	30:40	-10	29
10	Rizespor	24	6	9	9	31:35	-4	27
11	Alanyaspor	24	5	11	8	26:30	-4	26
12	Genclerbirligi	24	6	6	12	28:34	-6	24
13	Antalyaspor	24	6	6	12	24:38	-14	24
14	Konyaspor	24	5	8	11	27:37	-10	23
15	Eyupspor	24	5	7	12	19:35	-16	22
16	Kasimpasa	24	4	8	12	20:35	-15	20
17	Kayserispor	24	3	11	10	18:43	-25	20
18	Karagumruk	24	3	4	17	21:45	-24	13

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ 1. Lig