Result
2:1
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 10
- Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/427) | 86% (523/605) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/427) | 86% (523/605) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (21/49) | 54% (30/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/119) | 66% (102/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.52 | -0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Shpendi C. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Abiuso F. ↓, Finotto M. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 0, Berti T. ⚽, Balde S. (A),
- 58', Ruggeri F. ↓, Zanon S. ↑,
- 58', Di Stefano F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 63', Bastoni S. ↓, Castagnetti M. ↑,
- 63', Balde S. ↓, Blesa J. ↑,
- 68', Adamo E. 🟨,
- 71', Belloni N. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Finotto M. ⚽, Melegoni F. (A),
- 75', Adamo E. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 80', Schiavi N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 86', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 86', Berti T. ↓, Arrigoni T. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5xnp9f24
Chances of winning
Cesena
48% | Draw
28.2% | Carrarese
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Cesena have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Cesena - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.94) |
3.34 ↓
(3.5) |
3.87 ↑
(3.66) |
7.1%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cesena - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 2.
- In recent matches, Cesena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Carrarese is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cesena could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cesena: Bisoli D.
(Inactive)
Siano A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Parlanti G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Magni V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Carrarese?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Cesena?
Carrarese has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Carrarese were as follows:
29.12.2024
Carrarese
-
Cesena
2:0
18.08.2024
Cesena
-
Carrarese
2:1
05.03.2024
Carrarese
-
Cesena
3:2
30.10.2023
Cesena
-
Carrarese
2:1
23.12.2022
Carrarese
-
Cesena
1:1
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
