Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 14
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/375) | 88% (453/517) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/375) | 88% (453/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 65% (28/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (58/73) | 77% (148/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 14% (5/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.94 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 32', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽, Klinsmann J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Defrel G. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 55', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 62', Blesa J. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 74', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 74', Santoro S. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 79', Berti T. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 79', Shpendi C. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 89', Nieling B. 🟨,
- 90', Castagnetti M. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 90', Ciervo R. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cesena
31% | Draw
31.9% | Modena
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cesena - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.67) |
2.98 ↓
(3.08) |
2.56 ↓
(2.64) |
5.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cesena - Modena?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cesena (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Modena (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Modena (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Cauz C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Bisoli D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Modena?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Cesena?
Modena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Modena were as follows:
13.05.2025
Modena
-
Cesena
0:1
13.09.2024
Cesena
-
Modena
2:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
