Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Marcenaro M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (465/535) | 86% (398/464) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (465/535) | 86% (398/464) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (17/35) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (153/196) | 69% (34/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.08 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 65', Ambrosino G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 65', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 74', Cerri A. ↓, Vrioni G. ↑,
- 75', Berti T. ↓, Bisoli D. ↑,
- 89', Zampano F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/7fkvcwsp
Chances of winning
Modena
52% | Draw
28.1% | Cesena
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Modena - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.71) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
4.58 ↓
(4.72) |
6.8%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Modena (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
- In recent matches, Modena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cesena has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Modena is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Nieling B.
(Yellow Cards)
Pyyhtia N.
(Inactive)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cesena: Castrovilli G.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Cesena?
Modena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Modena?
Cesena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Cesena were as follows:
28.11.2025
Cesena
-
Modena
1:0
13.05.2025
Modena
-
Cesena
0:1
13.09.2024
Cesena
-
Modena
2:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
