Result
0:1
13/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 34
- Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (570/641) | 78% (270/346) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (570/641) | 78% (270/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 18% (7/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (124/156) | 58% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (9/20) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | 0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 40', Prestia G. ↓, Piacentini M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ceesay J. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 50', Adamo E. 🟨,
- 61', Ponsi F. ↓, Gerli F. ↑,
- 67', Saric D. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 67', Shpendi C. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 76', Dellavalle A. ↓, Zaro G. ↑,
- 76', Defrel G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 76', Magnino L. ↓, Palumbo A. ↑,
- 84', Caso G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 84', Francesconi M. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Antonucci M. ⚽, Tavsan E. (A),
- 90+5', Santoro S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
28.1% | Draw
30.6% | Cesena
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cesena's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+16.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cesena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Modena - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.36 ↑
(2.12) |
3.07 ↓
(3.08) |
2.27 ↓
(3.65) |
6.5%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Cesena will win (votes: 3 - 11.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 30.8% – 69.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 10 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Modena will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Modena: Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Magnino L.
(Yellow Cards)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
Vulikic S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Modena won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:10 (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Cesena?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Modena?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Cesena were as follows:
13.09.2024
Cesena
-
Modena
2:2
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
