Result
1:0
28/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 14
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/375) | 88% (453/517) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (312/375) | 88% (453/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (22/51) | 65% (28/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (58/73) | 77% (148/191) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 14% (5/35) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.94 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 32', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Blesa J. ⚽, Klinsmann J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Defrel G. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 55', Sersanti A. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 62', Blesa J. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 74', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 74', Santoro S. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 79', Berti T. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 79', Shpendi C. ↓, Bastoni S. ↑,
- 89', Nieling B. 🟨,
- 90', Castagnetti M. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 90', Ciervo R. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cesena
31% | Draw
31.9% | Modena
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Cesena - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.67) |
2.98 ↓
(3.08) |
2.56 ↓
(2.64) |
5.4%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Cesena - Modena?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Cesena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). Modena will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 61.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.1% – 82.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 3 - 30%). Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Cesena (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Modena (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Modena (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 7 - 58.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Modena: Cauz C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Cesena: Bisoli D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Cesena won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 0.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cesena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Modena?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Cesena?
Modena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cesena - Modena were as follows:
13.05.2025
Modena
-
Cesena
0:1
13.09.2024
Cesena
-
Modena
2:2
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 47 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 22 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Monza | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Palermo | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Modena | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28:17 | 11 | 34 |
| 6 | Cesena | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29:27 | 2 | 34 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 24:23 | 1 | 34 |
| 8 | Catanzaro | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 11 | Empoli | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 28 |
| 12 | Avellino | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Padova | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 22 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
| 16 | Entella | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:29 | -10 | 21 |
| 17 | Spezia | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Mantova | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
| 19 | Bari | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 18:34 | -16 | 20 |
| 20 | Pescara | 22 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 27:44 | -17 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
