Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (263/374) | 78% (374/477) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (263/374) | 78% (374/477) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 32% (22/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (103/168) | 78% (101/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (10/41) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 67 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Bordon F. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Shpendi C. ⚽, Berti T. (A),
- 34', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Martini J. ↓, Coulibaly M. ↑,
- 46', El Kaouakibi H. ↓, Davi F. ↑,
- 55', Bordon F. ↓, Masiello A. ↑,
- 62', Davi S. ↓, Zedadka K. ↑,
- 66', Shpendi C. ↓, Olivieri M. ↑,
- 73', Ciervo R. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 73', Berti T. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 78', Odogwu R. ↓, Italeng J. ↑,
- 80', Blesa J. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 80', Frabotta G. ↓, Celia R. ↑,
- 80', Davi F. 🟨,
- 90+3', Olivieri M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Südtirol-Alto Adige
32.1% | Draw
30.5% | Cesena
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Südtirol-Alto Adige has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Südtirol-Alto Adige than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Südtirol-Alto Adige, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.53) |
3.09 ↓
(3.19) |
2.56 ↓
(2.67) |
6.1%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Südtirol will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Cesena will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 43.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cesena (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Südtirol: Pietrangeli N.
(Inactive)
Veseli F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Cesena: Bisoli D.
(Inactive)
Magni V.
(Inactive)
Olivieri M.
(Inactive)
Siano A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Südtirol won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Südtirol won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Südtirol-Alto Adige won against Cesena?
Südtirol-Alto Adige has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Südtirol-Alto Adige?
Cesena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cesena were as follows:
05.04.2025
Südtirol-Alto Adige
-
Cesena
1:1
03.11.2024
Cesena
-
Südtirol-Alto Adige
1:0
Latest results of Südtirol-Alto Adige
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
