Newport County vs Cheltenham Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 13
  • Referee: Wright P. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.64
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
79% (375/472)77% (274/355)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.370.64
xG on target (xGOT)
0.912.18
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
137
Passes
79% (375/472)77% (274/355)
Long passes
49% (44/89)40% (27/68)
Passes in final third
56% (78/140)63% (50/79)
Crosses
24% (6/25)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.55
Throw-ins
3013
Fouls
713
Tackles
77% (10/13)70% (14/20)
Duels won
6454
Clearances
2153
Interceptions
716
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
2.180.91
Goals prevented
0.180.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Young L. ,
  • 39', Warner J. , Clarke J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
  • 61', 0 - 2, Young L. ,
  • 62', Baker-Richardson C. , Reindorf M. ,
  • 63', Spellman M. , Garner G. ,
  • 71', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
  • 76', Bickerstaff J. , Taylor T. ,
  • 77', Thomas J. , Broom R. ,
  • 82', Archer E. , Harmon G. ,
  • 87', Hutchinson I. , Kinsella L. ,
  • 90+4', Garner G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newport County
36.3%
Draw
29.5%
Cheltenham Town
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.6% 27.2% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 25.4% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.
  • Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Newport County - Cheltenham Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.15)
    3.44
    (3.46)
    2.88
    (3.22)
    -2.6%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Newport County - Cheltenham Town?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
    • Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Newport might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Newport: Lloyd B. (International duty) Patten K. (Broken Leg) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury) Tzanev N. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury) Bennett S. (Inactive) Cundy R. (Hamstring Injury) Miller G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Newport: Ogunneye H. (Injury) Thomas J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Newport County - Cheltenham Town 0:3
    03.09.2024 Newport County - Cheltenham Town 1:2
    10.08.2024 Cheltenham Town - Newport County 3:2
    10.10.2023 Cheltenham Town - Newport County 0:2
    Latest results of Newport County
    Latest results of Cheltenham Town
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley341911458:352368
    2Cambridge Utd341810649:272264
    3MK Dons341711663:342962
    4Swindon351951157:411662
    5Notts Co34187952:331961
    6Crewe351681152:411156
    7Salford331741246:43355
    8Chesterfield341314752:44853
    9Barnet3514111044:37753
    10Walsall331581042:36653
    11Grimsby331410946:37952
    12Colchester3313101048:351349
    13Accrington341371437:36146
    14Oldham321112936:30645
    15Fleetwood331291243:42145
    16Gillingham3311111141:41044
    17Shrewsbury351081734:54-2038
    18Cheltenham331061734:55-2136
    19Tranmere34981746:59-1335
    20Bristol Rovers34942133:57-2431
    21Crawley356101933:56-2328
    22Barrow33762033:51-1827
    23Harrogate35692025:52-2727
    24Newport34672132:60-2825

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League