Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 13
- Referee: Wright P. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/472) | 77% (274/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (375/472) | 77% (274/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (44/89) | 40% (27/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (78/140) | 63% (50/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Young L. ⚽,
- 39', Warner J. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Hutchinson I. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Young L. ⚽,
- 62', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
- 63', Spellman M. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 71', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
- 76', Bickerstaff J. ↓, Taylor T. ↑,
- 77', Thomas J. ↓, Broom R. ↑,
- 82', Archer E. ↓, Harmon G. ↑,
- 87', Hutchinson I. ↓, Kinsella L. ↑,
- 90+4', Garner G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newport County
36.3% | Draw
29.5% | Cheltenham Town
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.Cheltenham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Newport County - Cheltenham Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.15) |
3.44 ↓
(3.46) |
2.88 ↓
(3.22) |
-2.6%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Cheltenham Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cheltenham will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 2.
- Newport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cheltenham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newport might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Newport: Lloyd B.
(International duty)
Patten K.
(Broken Leg)
Shephard L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith M.
(Back Injury)
Tzanev N.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Cheltenham: Anderson T.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bennett S.
(Inactive)
Cundy R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Miller G.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Newport: Ogunneye H.
(Injury)
Thomas J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 0.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Cheltenham Town?
Newport County has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cheltenham Town won against Newport County?
Cheltenham Town has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Cheltenham Town were as follows:
22.02.2025
Newport County
-
Cheltenham Town
0:3
03.09.2024
Newport County
-
Cheltenham Town
1:2
10.08.2024
Cheltenham Town
-
Newport County
3:2
10.10.2023
Cheltenham Town
-
Newport County
0:2
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Cheltenham Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
