Result
3:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
76% (297/391) | 73% (289/394) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.86 | 0.85 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.90 | 1.80 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
11 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
76% (297/391) | 73% (289/394) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (15/37) | 43% (33/77) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (99/135) | 61% (77/126) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (8/24) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.21 | 0.68 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
40% (6/15) | 45% (10/22) |
Duels won |
---|
52 | 71 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.80 | 2.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.07 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Salvi A. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Favilli A. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Tessiore A. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Rabbi S. ⚽,
- 55', Maiello R. 🟨,
- 59', Favilli A. 🟨,
- 60', Bonfanti N. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 60', Favilli A. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Palmieri R. ⚽, Salvi A. (A),
- 67', Palmieri R. 🟨,
- 67', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 69', Palmieri R. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
- 72', Oliveri A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 80', Maiello R. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Pandolfi L. ⚽, Rabbi S. (A),
- 87', Pereiro G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tronchin S. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cittadella 32.7% | Draw 29.8% | Bari 37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Cittadella - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.86 ↓ (3.05) |
3.15 ↑ (3.13) |
2.53 ↑ (2.38) |
6.3% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Bari?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 0.
- Cittadella is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Masciangelo E.
(Yellow Cards)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Rizza A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Maita M.
(Yellow Cards)
Radunovic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Bari?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Cittadella?
Bari has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Bari were as follows:
24.11.2024
Bari
-
Cittadella
3:2
05.05.2024
Cittadella
-
Bari
1:1
30.08.2023
Bari
-
Cittadella
1:1
01.05.2023
Bari
-
Cittadella
1:1
08.12.2022
Cittadella
-
Bari
0:3
Latest results of Cittadella
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |