Result
3:1
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Massimi L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/391) | 73% (289/394) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.90 | 1.80 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (297/391) | 73% (289/394) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (15/37) | 43% (33/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (99/135) | 61% (77/126) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 71 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.80 | 2.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', Salvi A. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Favilli A. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Tessiore A. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Rabbi S. ⚽,
- 55', Maiello R. 🟨,
- 59', Favilli A. 🟨,
- 60', Bonfanti N. ↓, Lasagna K. ↑,
- 60', Favilli A. ↓, Novakovich A. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Palmieri R. ⚽, Salvi A. (A),
- 67', Palmieri R. 🟨,
- 67', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 69', Palmieri R. ↓, D'Alessio F. ↑,
- 72', Oliveri A. ↓, Maggiore G. ↑,
- 80', Maiello R. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Pandolfi L. ⚽, Rabbi S. (A),
- 87', Pereiro G. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tronchin S. ↓, Vita A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cittadella
32.7% | Draw
29.8% | Bari
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Cittadella - Bari Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(3.05) |
3.15 ↑
(3.13) |
2.53 ↑
(2.38) |
6.3%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cittadella - Bari?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Bari will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bari: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bari (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Cittadella (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bari (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 0.
- Cittadella is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bari has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Cittadella: Cecchetto A.
(Inactive)
Diaw D.
(Inactive)
Djibril A.
(Injury)
Masciangelo E.
(Yellow Cards)
Negro S.
(Injury)
Rizza A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bari: Maita M.
(Yellow Cards)
Radunovic B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 16:23. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cittadella won against Bari?
Cittadella has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bari won against Cittadella?
Bari has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cittadella - Bari were as follows:
24.11.2024
Bari
-
Cittadella
3:2
05.05.2024
Cittadella
-
Bari
1:1
30.08.2023
Bari
-
Cittadella
1:1
01.05.2023
Bari
-
Cittadella
1:1
08.12.2022
Cittadella
-
Bari
0:3
Latest results of Cittadella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
