Jong AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.27
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
84% (385/459)76% (269/355)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.313.11
Total shots
921
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
617
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
84% (385/459)76% (269/355)
Long passes
55% (41/74)59% (39/66)
Passes in final third
75% (95/126)63% (67/107)
Crosses
14% (2/14)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.96
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
1115
Tackles
65% (15/23)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5543
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
3.110.31
Goals prevented
0.11-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', Robbemond R. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. , Simons J. (A),
  • 45', Raterink O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Inge K. , Zwart J. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Boersma B. ,
  • 53', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. , Menu M. (A),
  • 62', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 62', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 69', Robbemond R. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 69', Hartog J. , Mastoras E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Raterink O. , El Kadiri I. (A),
  • 79', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 79', El Kadiri I. , de Jong F. ,
  • 87', Toppenberg K. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 88', Meerstadt J. , Braem T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.6%
Draw
25.4%
De Graafschap
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 24.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 23.8% 38.9%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.59
(2.65)
3.98
(3.75)
2.21
(2.3)
-1.7%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap were as follows:
    21.02.2025 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 5:1
    23.09.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    23.10.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 3:0
    03.04.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 0:1
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap20104639:31834
    4Jong PSV21104741:39234
    5Roda2087533:29431
    6Venlo211001128:30-230
    7Almere City2092941:33829
    8Den Bosch2092938:39-129
    9Willem II2085725:28-329
    10FC Emmen2084837:35228
    11Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    12Jong Utrecht2075832:34-226
    13Waalwijk2075831:33-226
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond20721127:34-723
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Oss2048824:34-1020
    18Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    19Vitesse1975731:31014
    20Jong Ajax20261227:40-1312

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )