Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 7
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/459) | 76% (269/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 3.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (385/459) | 76% (269/355) |
| Long passes |
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| 55% (41/74) | 59% (39/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (95/126) | 63% (67/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
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| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
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| 21 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.11 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 37', Robbemond R. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
- 45', Raterink O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Inge K. ↓, Zwart J. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, Boersma B. ⚽,
- 53', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. ⚽, Menu M. (A),
- 62', Boersma B. ↓, Theodoridis D. ↑,
- 62', Simons J. ↓, van der Heide A. ↑,
- 69', Robbemond R. ↓, van den Ban Y. ↑,
- 69', Hartog J. ↓, Mastoras E. ↑,
- 74', 1 - 3, Raterink O. ⚽, El Kadiri I. (A),
- 79', Symons K. ↓, Schoppema L. ↑,
- 79', El Kadiri I. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
- 87', Toppenberg K. ↓, van der Klaauw D. ↑,
- 88', Meerstadt J. ↓, Braem T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.6% | Draw
25.4% | De Graafschap
45% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jong AZ Alkmaar's form might have worsened.De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for De Graafschap, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.65) |
3.98 ↑
(3.75) |
2.21 ↓
(2.3) |
-1.7%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against De Graafschap?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
De Graafschap has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap were as follows:
21.02.2025
De Graafschap
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
5:1
23.09.2024
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
De Graafschap
2:2
29.03.2024
De Graafschap
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
2:1
23.10.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
De Graafschap
3:0
03.04.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
De Graafschap
0:1
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of De Graafschap
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
