De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Vijverberg (Doetinchem).

Eerste Divisie - Round 35
Referee: Gerrets L. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
4.54	0.22
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
27	6
Shots on target
15	3
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
9	2
Passes
85% (422/498)	78% (238/307)
Yellow cards
1	1
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
4.54	0.22
xG on target (xGOT)
5.27	0.25
Total shots
27	6
Shots on target
15	3
Shots off target
8	0
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
19	4
Shots outside the box
8	2
Hit the woodwork
2	0
Big chances
5	0
Corner kicks
9	2
Touches in opposition box
40	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	1
Free kicks
9	8
Passes
85% (422/498)	78% (238/307)
Long passes
56% (40/71)	39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
76% (90/118)	54% (42/78)
Crosses
33% (8/24)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.65	0.32
Throw ins
13	17
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
59% (16/27)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
54	40
Clearances
14	22
Interceptions
9	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
3	10
xGOT faced
0.25	5.27
Goals prevented
0.25	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Menu M. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Kok T. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Hardeman J. ↓, Bultman S. ↑,
46', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Andersen F. E. ↑,
52', Robbemond R. 🟥,
57', van den Ban Y. ↓, Kovacs B. ↑,
57', Bouziane W. ↓, Smits A. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Niemeijer R. (Penalty Awarded),
62', El Allachi C. ↓, Kaninda N. ↑,
62', Eggens N. ↓, Kwint K. ↑,
65', Bultman S. 🟨,
67', Martens N. ↓, de Jong F. ↑,
68', Zwart J. ↓, Inge K. ↑,
72', 3 - 0, Bultman S. ⚽, Niemeijer R. (A),
74', Gijselhart T. ↓, Smits M. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Niemeijer R. ⚽, Simons J. (A),
80', Oerip J. ↓, Oud J. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Kwint K. ⚽,

Chances of winning

De Graafschap
47.1%

Draw
23%

Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

21.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

21%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

De Graafschap has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that De Graafschap's form might have worsened.

Jong AZ Alkmaar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Graafschap, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jong AZ Alkmaar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.74)	4.06 ↓ (4.3)	3.12 ↓ (3.66)	6.9% (8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. De Graafschap will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Jong AZ will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Graafschap: 40% – 93.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Jong AZ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, De Graafschap is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Jong AZ: Daal R. (Inactive) Kwakman D. (Injury) Owusu-Oduro R. (Injury)
There are questionable in De Graafschap: El Kadiri I. (Muscle Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, De Graafschap won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 29:23. (average 1.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, De Graafschap won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:4. (average 2.3:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has De Graafschap won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?

De Graafschap has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against De Graafschap?

Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:

22.09.2025 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 1:3

21.02.2025 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 5:1

23.09.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 2:2

29.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1

23.10.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 3:0

Latest results of De Graafschap

03.04.2026 FC Eindhoven - De Graafschap 2:2 ✺

28.03.2026 Willem II - De Graafschap 0:2 ✺

22.03.2026 De Graafschap - ADO Den Haag 1:2 ✺

14.03.2026 De Graafschap - Dordrecht 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 De Graafschap - Vitesse 1:4 ✺

Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar

03.04.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Helmond Sport 2:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Cambuur - Jong AZ Alkmaar 3:4 ✺

16.03.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - MVV Maastricht 1:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Waalwijk - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1 ✺

09.03.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Emmen 2:3 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	35	27	2	6	82:34	48	83
2	Cambuur ✔	35	22	8	5	71:43	28	74
3	De Graafschap	35	17	8	10	68:53	15	59
4	Willem II	35	17	8	10	52:40	12	59
5	Almere City	35	17	4	14	72:57	15	55
6	Jong PSV	35	16	5	14	63:59	4	53
7	Waalwijk	35	14	10	11	61:53	8	52
8	Roda	35	13	12	10	54:49	5	51
9	Den Bosch	34	14	7	13	60:60	0	49
10	Dordrecht	35	11	11	13	45:50	-5	44
11	Eindhoven FC	35	13	5	17	49:63	-14	44
12	Venlo	35	12	5	18	44:52	-8	41
13	FC Emmen	35	11	8	16	55:65	-10	41
14	Vitesse	35	14	10	11	60:53	7	40
15	Jong Utrecht	34	10	9	15	52:58	-6	39
16	Jong AZ	35	11	4	20	59:71	-12	37
17	Maastricht	35	9	9	17	41:71	-30	36
18	Oss	35	8	11	16	46:61	-15	35
19	Helmond	35	9	8	18	40:61	-21	35
20	Jong Ajax	35	8	8	19	48:69	-21	32

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie