Jong AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
22/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 7
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.27
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
28
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
84% (385/459)76% (269/355)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.503.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.313.11
Total shots
921
Shots on target
28
Shots off target
68
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
617
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
02
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
07
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1434
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
84% (385/459)76% (269/355)
Long passes
55% (41/74)59% (39/66)
Passes in final third
75% (95/126)63% (67/107)
Crosses
14% (2/14)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.96
Throw-ins
1626
Fouls
1115
Tackles
65% (15/23)82% (9/11)
Duels won
5543
Clearances
2120
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
3.110.31
Goals prevented
0.11-0.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 37', Robbemond R. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Niemeijer R. , Simons J. (A),
  • 45', Raterink O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Inge K. , Zwart J. ,
  • 47', 0 - 2, Boersma B. ,
  • 53', Niemeijer R. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 2, van Duijn S. , Menu M. (A),
  • 62', Boersma B. , Theodoridis D. ,
  • 62', Simons J. , van der Heide A. ,
  • 69', Robbemond R. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 69', Hartog J. , Mastoras E. ,
  • 74', 1 - 3, Raterink O. , El Kadiri I. (A),
  • 79', Symons K. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 79', El Kadiri I. , de Jong F. ,
  • 87', Toppenberg K. , van der Klaauw D. ,
  • 88', Meerstadt J. , Braem T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jong AZ Alkmaar
29.6%
Draw
25.4%
De Graafschap
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 24.7% 40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3% 23.8% 38.9%

Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.59
(2.65)
3.98
(3.75)
2.21
(2.3)
-1.7%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). De Graafschap will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. De Graafschap (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 1.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • De Graafschap may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, De Graafschap has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.6:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2.6:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap were as follows:
    21.02.2025 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 5:1
    23.09.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    23.10.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 3:0
    03.04.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 0:1
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    12.09.2025 De Graafschap - Willem II 1:1
    05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3
    15.08.2025 Roda - De Graafschap 1:0
    08.08.2025 De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo 3:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag17151149:153446
    2Cambuur18115239:211838
    3Den Bosch1892737:36129
    4Jong PSV1784534:30428
    5Roda1776428:24427
    6Waalwijk1775528:26226
    7Willem II1875623:27-426
    8De Graafschap1674530:25525
    9FC Emmen1874732:32025
    10Dordrecht1866622:22024
    11Almere City1872935:29623
    12Helmond1872924:26-223
    13Jong Utrecht1865726:30-423
    14Venlo18701122:28-621
    15Oss1847721:30-919
    16Eindhoven FC1753918:34-1618
    17Jong AZ18521126:34-817
    18Maastricht17431019:33-1415
    19Vitesse1564528:26210
    20Jong Ajax17161022:35-139

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