De Graafschap vs Jong AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar
Result
5:1
21/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie - Round 27
  • Referee: Timmer L. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.790.59
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1810
Shots on Goal
104
Shots off Goal
63
Blocked Shots
23
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
25
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
Free Kicks
98
Offsides
23
Fouls
89
Throw-ins
2530
Touches in the Opposition Box
2127
Passes
69% (241/351)81% (431/532)
Passes in the final third
43% (36/83)69% (94/136)
Crosses
40% (2/5)30% (3/10)
Tackles
59% (13/22)93% (14/15)
Clearances Total
1322
Interceptions
1119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, van Gilst T. ,
  • 21', 2 - 0, van Gilst T. , Fortes J. (A),
  • 31', 3 - 0, van de Haar J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Najah A. , Kaak L. ,
  • 46', van de Haar J. , Seuntjens R. ,
  • 46', Willemsen M. , Besselink R. ,
  • 46', Gerold J. , Splinter I. ,
  • 46', Boogaard K. , Twisk N. ,
  • 46', Oerip J. , van den Ban Y. ,
  • 46', Toppenberg K. , Esajas J. ,
  • 65', 4 - 0, Niemeijer R. , van der Heide A. (A),
  • 71', Dijkstra E. , Bouziane W. ,
  • 73', van der Heide A. , Warmerdam D. ,
  • 77', Niemeijer R. , Schoppema L. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Kalisvaart J. , Splinter I. (A),
  • 90+2', 5 - 1, Warmerdam D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


De Graafschap
62.4%
Draw
20.9%
Jong AZ Alkmaar
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 22.2% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 23.7% 20.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • De Graafschap has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in De Graafschap's performance.
  • Jong AZ Alkmaar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jong AZ Alkmaar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for De Graafschap than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong AZ Alkmaar than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.68)
    4.3
    (4.21)
    5.25
    (4.21)
    8.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar?
  • Users Predictions: De Graafschap will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • De Graafschap could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match De Graafschap is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Jong AZ: Addai J. (Ankle Injury) Meerdink M. (Injury) van Bommel R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in De Graafschap: Wevers S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Jong AZ: Twisk N. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches De Graafschap won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:21 (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams De Graafschap won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 1.8:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    23.09.2024 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 2:2
    29.03.2024 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:1
    23.10.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 3:0
    03.04.2023 Jong AZ Alkmaar - De Graafschap 0:1
    30.09.2022 De Graafschap - Jong AZ Alkmaar 2:0
    Latest results of De Graafschap
    16.02.2025 Vitesse - De Graafschap 2:0
    07.02.2025 De Graafschap - Den Bosch 1:0
    31.01.2025 Dordrecht - De Graafschap 1:1
    24.01.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 4:0
    Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )