Result
1:0
03/03/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.02 | 0.34 |
Ball Possession |
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69% | 31% |
Goal Attempts |
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20 | 9 |
Shots on Goal |
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3 | 2 |
Shots off Goal |
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9 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
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8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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7 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
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11 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 16 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Fouls |
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16 | 14 |
Yellow Cards |
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3 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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31 | 5 |
Passes |
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87% (493/564) | 68% (173/254) |
Passes in the final third |
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75% (129/172) | 57% (35/61) |
Crosses |
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36% (5/14) | 0% (0/7) |
Tackles |
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70% (7/10) | 100% (5/5) |
Clearances Total |
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14 | 15 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Caicedo J. ↓, Charrupi G. ↑,
- 30', Alba I. 🟨,
- 32', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 35', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
- 38', Cabezas V. 🟨,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Sandoval L. ⚽, Berrio L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Torres G. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 61', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
- 65', Berrio L. ↓, Perlaza B. ↑,
- 65', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 68', Castilla J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 68', Alba I. ↓, Bone F. ↑,
- 79', Leon B. ↓, Fydriszewski F. ↑,
- 79', Chaverra F. ↓, Rodallega Y. ↑,
- 81', Caicedo L. 🟨,
- 90', Sandoval L. ↓, Marcus Vinicius ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno D. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mfzfbc9c
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín 69.4% | Draw 20.5% | Deportivo Pasto 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Deportivo Pasto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.54) |
4.52 ↑ (3.75) |
9.29 ↑ (6.5) |
7.2% (7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 2.
- Ind Medellín in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Deportivo Pasto is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ind Medellín could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Ind Medellín is a favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Ind Medellín to win the game is with odds 1.57.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ind Medellín won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:17 (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ind Medellín won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Deportivo Pasto?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Pasto won against Independiente Medellín?
Deportivo Pasto has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pasto were as follows:
08.09.2024
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
29.02.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Pasto
1:0
26.10.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
0:0
17.08.2023
Deportivo Pasto
-
Independiente Medellín
3:2
09.08.2023
Independiente Medellín
-
Deportivo Pasto
3:1
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
5 | Fortaleza | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
6 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
9 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
10 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
11 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
14 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
15 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
16 | Ind. Medellin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )