Nacional Asuncion vs Deportivo Recoleta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Paraguayan Primera Division Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
54.3%
Draw
25.1%
Deportivo Recoleta
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 21.6% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1% 20.5% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.72
    (1.44)
    3.67
    (4.25)
    4.5
    (6.3)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 7).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recoleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
    21.04.2025 Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta 1:1
    08.02.2025 Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion 1:0
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guarani1071226:91722
    2Cerro Porteno1063119:13621
    3Sportivo Trinidense1052315:13217
    4Sp. Luqueno1052313:9417
    5Nacional Asuncion1044211:8316
    6Libertad Asuncion1034311:9213
    7Olimpia Asuncion1033413:16-312
    8Recoleta1033414:15-112
    9General Caballero JLM103257:15-811
    102 de Mayo1024410:15-510
    11Ameliano1022610:18-88
    12Atl. Tembetary1012710:19-95

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )