Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 22
- Referee: de Vivar M. D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (348/449) | 81% (332/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (348/449) | 81% (332/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/64) | 65% (41/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/115) | 61% (89/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 16% (5/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 0.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.85 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 44', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Vidal T. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 61', Benitez H. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 61', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Colman C. ↑,
- 61', Noguera J. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 62', Gonzalez A. ↓, Schupp M. ↑,
- 68', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 77', Cabrera M. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 77', Arrua C. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 79', Baez W. ↓, Britos R. J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Deportivo Recoleta 25% | Draw 27.6% | Nacional Asuncion 47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.73 ↑ (3.62) |
3.39 ↑ (3.22) |
1.96 ↓ (2.01) |
7.3% (8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Recoleta will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Recoleta (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Recoleta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recoleta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
- Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Recoleta won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Recoleta - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
06.09.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:0
21.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:1
08.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 21 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Guarani | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 42:19 | 23 | 42 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 26:17 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 33 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 32 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 25 |
| 10 | General Caballero JLM | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 24 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 22:40 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 15 |
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