Result
1:0
06/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (322/421) | 70% (234/333) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (322/421) | 70% (234/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (36/69) | 41% (27/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (99/150) | 55% (44/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Torres I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Cabrera A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 46', Nunez J. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 46', Nunez C. ↓, Franco F. ↑,
- 61', Jara F. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 69', Valdez I. ↓, Prieto R. ↑,
- 69', Franco F. 🟨,
- 71', Ferreira B. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 76', Sandoval H. ↓, Hernan Perez ↑,
- 79', Arrua C. ↓, Sanabria T. ↑,
- 80', Benitez H. ↓, Almeida M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 0, Gaona Lugo O. ⚽,
- 90', Gaona Lugo O. 🟨,
- 90+4', Silva A. ↓, Vidal T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
52.2% | Draw
27.7% | Deportivo Recoleta
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.Deportivo Recoleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Recoleta's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+14.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Recoleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.44) |
3.33 ↓
(4.25) |
4.72 ↓
(6.3) |
6.7%
(8.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 8).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recoleta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Nacional has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Nacional is considered a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
21.04.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Deportivo Recoleta
1:1
08.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 31:12 | 19 | 28 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 22 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 18 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 13 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 13:23 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
