Result
1:1
21/04/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 15
- Referee: Colman A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (349/426) | 81% (288/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (349/426) | 81% (288/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 47% (23/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (93/138) | 52% (42/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 24 | 50 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Alfaro J. L. 🟨,
- 23', Arrua C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Noguera J. ↓, Ferreira B. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 0, Arrua C. ⚽, Alfaro J. L. (A),
- 64', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 66', Lopez M. ↓, Baez W. ↑,
- 66', Romero L. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Arrua C. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
- 71', Prieto R. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 81', Caceres D. ↓, Monteagudo J. ↑,
- 81', Nunez J. ↓, Pereira M. ↑,
- 81', Sandoval H. ↓, Farias L. ↑,
- 87', Ferreira B. 🟨,
- 87', Nunez C. 🟨,
- 88', Caballero Fleytas T. I. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Silva A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nacional Asuncion
46.2% | Draw
29.2% | Deportivo Recoleta
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nacional Asuncion's performance.Deportivo Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Recoleta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nacional Asuncion that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Recoleta than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Recoleta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↓
(2.35) |
3.17 ↑
(3) |
3.76 ↑
(2.9) |
8%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Recoleta will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 and 5).
- Recent matches Nacional is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recoleta is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Deportivo Recoleta?
Nacional Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Recoleta won against Nacional Asuncion?
Deportivo Recoleta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Deportivo Recoleta were as follows:
08.02.2025
Deportivo Recoleta
-
Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Latest results of Deportivo Recoleta
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 4 | Guarani | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 de Mayo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 8 | Libertad Asuncion | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Ameliano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
| 11 | General Caballero JLM | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
