Result
3:1
03/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 17
- Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 7 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 6 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/417) | 85% (338/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 1.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (340/417) | 85% (338/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (84/129) | 66% (53/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | -1.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),
- 45+3', 2 - 1, Carvalho J. ⚽, Guitane R. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Sanchez R. ↓, Tsoungui A. ↑,
- 66', Marques A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
- 69', Bacher F. 🟨,
- 77', Prestianni G. ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
- 77', Sudakov G. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
- 77', Amaral P. ↓, Parente T. ↑,
- 78', Jandro ↓, Pizzi ↑,
- 80', 3 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽,
- 87', Parente T. 🟨,
- 87', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 90+2', Barreiro L. ↓, Rego J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Benfica
77.6% | Draw
14% | Estoril Praia
8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Estoril Praia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Benfica - Estoril Praia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.22 ↓
(1.23) |
6.68 ↑
(5.94) |
11.19 ↓
(12.73) |
5.7%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Estoril Praia?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Estoril will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 75.7% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Estoril (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Estoril (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
- Benfica is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estoril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estoril may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Benfica is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Estoril: Costa G.
(Injury)
Guitane R.
(International duty)
Xeka
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lopes Cabral S.
(Inactive)
Soares S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estoril: Israelov O.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 43:18. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 23:11. (average 2.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Estoril Praia?
Benfica has won 7 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Benfica?
Estoril Praia has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Estoril Praia were as follows:
03.05.2025
Estoril Praia
-
Benfica
1:2
23.12.2024
Benfica
-
Estoril Praia
3:0
10.03.2024
Benfica
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
24.01.2024
Benfica
-
Estoril Praia
1:2
07.10.2023
Estoril Praia
-
Benfica
0:1
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
