Result
0:2
19/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sport TV Africa, ZAP |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Serbia | SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (309/398) | 83% (533/640) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (309/398) | 83% (533/640) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (16/45) | 41% (36/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (37/72) | 63% (71/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.59 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 50% (14/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.31 | 0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Gharbi I. ⚽, Moutinho J. (A),
- 21', 0 - 2, Gharbi I. ⚽, Moutinho J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Begraoui Y. ↓, Brito T. ↑,
- 49', Lacximicant A. 🟨,
- 60', Zalazar R. ↓, Martinez G. ↑,
- 60', Patrao A. ↓, El Ouazzani A. ↑,
- 60', Oliveira P. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
- 64', Costa G. ↓, Garcia Andrade F. ↑,
- 64', Lacximicant A. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
- 79', Guitane R. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
- 79', Moutinho J. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
- 84', Horta R. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 84', Boma K. ↓, Mangala E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estoril Praia
20.4% | Draw
26.1% | Braga
53.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Estoril Praia - Braga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.58 ↑
(3.92) |
3.58 ↑
(3.5) |
1.76 ↓
(1.93) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estoril Praia - Braga?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Estoril won 0.
- Recent matches Estoril is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Braga in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Braga is a favorite.
- There will not play in Estoril: Bacher F.
(Yellow Cards)
Carvalho J.
(Yellow Cards)
Pina W.
(Yellow Cards)
Xeka
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Braga: Fernandes R.
(Thigh Injury)
Navarro F.
(Injury)
Noro J.
(Inactive)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 15:47 (average 0.8:2.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:17 (average 0.6:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Estoril Praia won against Braga?
Estoril Praia has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Estoril Praia?
Braga has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estoril Praia - Braga were as follows:
06.12.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:2
13.04.2024
Estoril Praia
-
Braga
0:1
27.01.2024
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
2:1
03.12.2023
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
3:1
08.04.2023
Braga
-
Estoril Praia
4:1
Latest results of Estoril Praia
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 11 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
