Result
4:0
02/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EFL Trophy - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/549) | 82% (314/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (472/549) | 82% (314/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/148) | 72% (49/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Nordas L. ⚽, Alli M. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Morris S. ⚽, Nordas L. (A),
- 39', Fitzwater J. 🟨,
- 40', 3 - 0, Nordas L. ⚽, Johnson J. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Dean T. 🟨,
- 59', Morris S. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 60', Yfeko J. ↓, Swinkels S. ↑,
- 60', Aitchison J. ↓, Higgins A. ↑,
- 60', Fitzwater J. ↓, McMillan J. ↑,
- 67', 4 - 0, Nelson Z. ⚽,
- 71', Niskanen I. 🟨,
- 71', Walters R. ↓, Ioannidis Z. ↑,
- 71', Johnson J. ↓, Fox H. ↑,
- 72', Francis E. 🟨,
- 79', Niskanen I. ↓, Wareham J. ↑,
- 79', Turns E. ↓, McDonald K. ↑,
- 80', Kodua G. ↓, Lorentzen-Jones J. ↑,
- 84', Wareham J. 🟨,
- 90+3', Lorentzen-Jones J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
61.6% | Draw
22.4% | Exeter City
16% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Luton Town - Exeter City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↓
(1.63) |
4.12 ↑
(3.64) |
5.66 ↑
(4.98) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Exeter City?
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Exeter may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Exeter has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Luton is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Luton won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Exeter City?
Luton Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Exeter City won against Luton Town?
Exeter City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Exeter City were as follows:
26.09.2023
Exeter City
-
Luton Town
1:0
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Exeter City
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Lincoln | Huddersfield | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Salford | Rotherham | 2 : 7 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Chesterfield | 5 : 1 |
| 4 | Tranmere | Fleetwood | 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Bolton | Bradford City | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Port Vale | Barnsley | 5 : 0 |
| 7 | Crewe | Stockport County | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Harrogate | Blackpool | 4 : 2 |
| 9 | Colchester | West Ham U21 | |
| 10 | Cardiff | AFC Wimbledon | 1 : 5 |
| 11 | Luton | Exeter | 4 : 0 |
| 12 | Swindon | Peterborough | 1 : 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | Wycombe | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Stevenage | Walsall | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | Cambridge Utd | 3 : 2 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | Plymouth | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Huddersfield | Rotherham | |
| 2 | Doncaster | Fleetwood | |
| 3 | Bolton | Port Vale | |
| 4 | Stockport County | Harrogate | |
| 5 | TBD #9 | AFC Wimbledon | |
| 6 | Luton | Swindon | |
| 7 | Northampton | Walsall | |
| 8 | Bristol Rovers | Plymouth | |
