Result
5:0
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.31 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
76% (281/371) | 72% (261/365) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.08 | 0.31 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.12 | 0.74 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
6 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
76% (281/371) | 72% (261/365) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (26/59) | 43% (29/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (74/114) | 62% (95/153) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 11% (3/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.93 | 1.02 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (14/18) | 88% (14/16) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
40 | 13 |
Interceptions |
---|
7 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.74 | 3.12 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.26 | -1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Hara T. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 46', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
- 49', Tabei R. 🟨,
- 54', Takeda S. 🟨,
- 62', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 64', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 64', Yamada F. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 71', Yanagi T. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 76', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 77', Takeda S. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 77', Rafael Elias ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Nakano R. ⚽,
- 88', Fukuda S. ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 88', Hirato T. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 90+3', 5 - 0, Okugawa M. ⚽, Nakano R. (A),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga 45.9% | Draw 28.1% | Fagiano Okayama 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↓ (1.99) |
2.98 ↓ (3.35) |
3.27 ↓ (3.9) |
18.4% (5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Okayama's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Kyoto has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Kyoto is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Matsuda T.
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Motoyama H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
15.02.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League