Result
5:0
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (281/371) | 72% (261/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.08 | 0.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (281/371) | 72% (261/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 43% (29/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (74/114) | 62% (95/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 3.12 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -1.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 8', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 20', 2 - 0, Hara T. ⚽,
- 30', 3 - 0, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 46', Miyamoto E. ↓, Tabei R. ↑,
- 49', Tabei R. 🟨,
- 54', Takeda S. 🟨,
- 62', Lucao ↓, Werik Popo ↑,
- 64', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 64', Yamada F. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 71', Yanagi T. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 76', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 77', Takeda S. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 77', Rafael Elias ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 80', 4 - 0, Nakano R. ⚽,
- 88', Fukuda S. ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 88', Hirato T. ↓, Sugai H. ↑,
- 90+3', 5 - 0, Okugawa M. ⚽, Nakano R. (A),
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
45.9% | Draw
28.1% | Fagiano Okayama
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(1.99) |
2.98 ↓
(3.35) |
3.27 ↓
(3.9) |
18.4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Kyoto Sanga will win
(22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.75% – 98.49%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Okayama's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Kyoto has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Kyoto is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Forearm injury)
Matsuda T.
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Motoyama H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kyoto Sanga?
Fagiano Okayama has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
15.02.2025
Fagiano Okayama
-
Kyoto Sanga
2:0
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:31 | 22 | 55 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 29 | 17 | 4 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 55 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 54 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Machida | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 46:32 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 35:21 | 14 | 51 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:38 | 15 | 48 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:31 | 8 | 47 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 43 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 46:41 | 5 | 42 |
| 11 | Okayama | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 26:29 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 36 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 31:42 | -11 | 34 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 32 |
| 16 | Verdy | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 16:29 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:38 | -12 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 26:50 | -24 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 19:36 | -17 | 24 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 27:49 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
