Kyoto Sanga vs Fagiano Okayama – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama
Result
5:0
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.31
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
167
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
76% (281/371)72% (261/365)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.080.31
xG on target (xGOT)
3.120.74
Total shots
167
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2624
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
67
Passes
76% (281/371)72% (261/365)
Long passes
44% (26/59)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
65% (74/114)62% (95/153)
Crosses
31% (5/16)11% (3/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.02
Throw-ins
1727
Fouls
77
Tackles
78% (14/18)88% (14/16)
Duels won
5952
Clearances
4013
Interceptions
72
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.743.12
Goals prevented
-0.26-1.88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 8', Iwabuchi H. 🟨,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Hara T. ,
  • 30', 3 - 0, Rafael Elias , Hara T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Iwabuchi H. , Ichimi K. ,
  • 46', Miyamoto E. , Tabei R. ,
  • 49', Tabei R. 🟨,
  • 54', Takeda S. 🟨,
  • 62', Lucao , Werik Popo ,
  • 64', Yamada F. 🟨,
  • 64', Yamada F. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 71', Yanagi T. , Kato H. ,
  • 76', Esaka A. , Kamiya Yuta ,
  • 77', Takeda S. , Nakano R. ,
  • 77', Rafael Elias , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 80', 4 - 0, Nakano R. ,
  • 88', Fukuda S. , Gustavo Barreto ,
  • 88', Hirato T. , Sugai H. ,
  • 90+3', 5 - 0, Okugawa M. , Nakano R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
45.9%
Draw
28.1%
Fagiano Okayama
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.5% 28.2% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 28.1% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Fagiano Okayama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.99)
    2.98
    (3.35)
    3.27
    (3.9)
    18.4%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Kyoto Sanga will win (22 of 26 users predict this - 84.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.75%98.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kyoto Sanga will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Kyoto is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Okayama's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Kyoto has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Okayama has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Kyoto is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Forearm injury) Matsuda T. (Yellow Cards) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Okayama: Motoyama H. (Inactive)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Kyoto Sanga 2:0
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League