Fenerbahçe vs Fatih Karagümrükspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 9
  • Referee: Sansalan A. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiaTOD
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
hungaryHungarySport 2
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaSportklub
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 6 South
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.84
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
82% (367/446)75% (236/313)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.730.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.191.31
Total shots
2116
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
186
Shots outside the Box
310
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4116
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1910
Passes
82% (367/446)75% (236/313)
Long passes
42% (19/45)38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
72% (86/119)73% (62/85)
Crosses
29% (5/17)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.720.56
Throw-ins
1619
Fouls
1019
Tackles
67% (16/24)53% (9/17)
Duels won
6354
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
146
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
56
xGOT faced
1.312.19
Goals prevented
0.310.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 21', Balkovec J. 🟨,
  • 23', 1 - 0, Talisca (Pen),
  • 41', 2 - 0, Asensio M. , Akturkoglu K. (A),
  • 45', Nene D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Roco E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Roco E. , Kadioglu M. ,
  • 55', Cinar A. 🟨,
  • 59', 2 - 1, Serginho , Johnson D. (A),
  • 60', Johnson D. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 61', Kranevitter M. , Doh M. ,
  • 64', Talisca , En Nesyri Y. ,
  • 64', Alvarez E. , Fred ,
  • 72', Serginho , Kalpakli T. ,
  • 72', Larsson S. , Sivri A. ,
  • 78', Nene D. , Szymanski S. ,
  • 78', Akturkoglu K. , Aydin O. ,
  • 83', Cankaya A. R. 🟨,
  • 89', Mercan L. , Brown A. ,
  • 90+5', Cetin T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
77.5%
Draw
13.7%
Fatih Karagümrükspor
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.8% 12.6% 7.6%

Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.24
(1.18)
6.86
(7.45)
10.69
(12.44)
4.8%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 17 - 89.5%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 75.7%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Karagümrük (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 4.
    • Fenerbahçe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Karagümrük is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Karagümrük has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Duran J. (Injury) Skriniar M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Roco E. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Esgaio R. (Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fenerbahçe won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fenerbahçe won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    26.11.2023 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    10.04.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    09.10.2022 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 5:4
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    05.10.2025 Samsunspor - Fenerbahçe 0:0
    02.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Nice 2:1
    28.09.2025 Fenerbahçe - Antalyaspor 2:0
    21.09.2025 Kasımpaşa - Fenerbahçe 1:1
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray21164150:143652
    2Fenerbahce21147048:183049
    3Trabzonspor21136241:231845
    4Goztepe21117327:121540
    5Besiktas21107437:271037
    6Basaksehir2196636:221433
    7Samsunspor2179524:24030
    8Gaziantep2177729:35-628
    9Kocaelispor2176818:22-427
    10Alanyaspor21411622:24-223
    11Genclerbirligi21641126:31-522
    12Konyaspor2148924:33-920
    13Rizespor2148924:33-920
    14Antalyaspor21551119:34-1520
    15Eyupspor21461117:30-1318
    16Kasimpasa21371116:29-1316
    17Kayserispor21291017:43-2615
    18Karagumruk21331518:39-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig