Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 26
- Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Romania | Prima Sport 2, Prima TV |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 2 |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 88% (528/600) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (221/295) | 88% (528/600) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (17/50) | 70% (28/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 80% (155/194) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 6% (3/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 69 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Elmaz B. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Lichnovsky I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Yuksek I. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
- 46', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 46', Muldur M. ↓, Brown A. ↑,
- 46', Fred ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
- 50', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
- 50', Serginho 🟨,
- 55', Larsson S. ↓, Ozcan B. ↑,
- 65', Elmaz B. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 75', Kalayci B. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 75', Mladenovic F. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 75', Serginho ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 79', Mercan L. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
- 82', Kante N. 🟨,
- 90+7', Aydin O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
13.9% | Draw
21.2% | Fenerbahçe
64.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.73 ↓
(7.45) |
4.46 ↓
(4.76) |
1.46 ↑
(1.43) |
6%
(4.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe?
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 27 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 79.3% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Karagümrük (5.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Fenerbahçe (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
- In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Karagümrük has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Ederson
(Yellow Cards)
Semedo N.
(Injury)
Soyuncu C.
(Muscle Injury)
Talisca
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D.
(Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Fenerbahçe?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Fenerbahçe has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
19.10.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
14.04.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Fenerbahçe
1:2
26.11.2023
Fenerbahçe
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
10.04.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Fenerbahçe
1:2
09.10.2022
Fenerbahçe
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
5:4
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 62:18 | 44 | 64 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 27 | 17 | 9 | 1 | 61:28 | 33 | 60 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 53:29 | 24 | 60 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 49:31 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 44:30 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 30:20 | 10 | 43 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 29:31 | -2 | 35 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 33 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:46 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | Alanyaspor | 27 | 6 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 31 |
| 11 | Rizespor | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 12 | Konyaspor | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 30 |
| 13 | Genclerbirligi | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 25 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 25:43 | -18 | 25 |
| 15 | Kasimpasa | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 24 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 21:48 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19:38 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 24:47 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
