Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/352) | 81% (268/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 2.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/352) | 81% (268/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 52% (22/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (68/103) | 73% (87/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 33% (8/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.68 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.89 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.89 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Bracaglia G. ↓, Oyono J. ↑,
- 29', De Luca M. 🟨,
- 35', Cittadini G. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Massolin Y. ⚽, Zanimacchia L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
- 46', Cittadini G. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Ghedjemis F. ⚽,
- 66', De Luca M. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 69', Calo G. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
- 69', Raimondo A. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 74', Ghedjemis F. 🟨,
- 77', Kvernadze G. 🟨,
- 79', Beyuku G. ↓, Imputato A. ↑,
- 79', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 82', Calvani G. 🟨,
- 86', Massolin Y. ↓, Colpo E. ↑,
- 87', Gelli F. ↓, Gelli J. ↑,
- 88', Colpo E. 🟨,
- 90+2', Santoro S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
37.1% | Draw
27.6% | Frosinone
35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Modena's form might have worsened.Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Frosinone's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Frosinone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Modena - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.54 ↑
(2.09) |
3.39 ↓
(3.45) |
2.66 ↓
(3.12) |
6.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Modena - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 0.
- Recent performances by Modena have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Frosinone is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Frosinone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Modena: Chichizola L.
(Injury)
Defrel G.
(Inactive)
Gerli F.
(Yellow Cards)
Gliozzi E.
(Injury)
Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Marchizza R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Frosinone: Corrado N.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Frosinone?
Modena has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Modena?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Frosinone were as follows:
08.11.2025
Frosinone
-
Modena
2:2
18.01.2025
Modena
-
Frosinone
1:1
27.08.2024
Frosinone
-
Modena
1:1
14.01.2023
Frosinone
-
Modena
2:1
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 73:29 | 44 | 78 |
| 2 | Monza | 36 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 57:27 | 30 | 75 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 36 | 21 | 12 | 3 | 70:34 | 36 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:29 | 29 | 69 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 58:45 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 47:34 | 13 | 52 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 43:43 | 0 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 42:54 | -12 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 43 |
| 11 | Mantova | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:50 | -8 | 43 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 34:47 | -13 | 41 |
| 13 | Sudtirol | 36 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 37:46 | -9 | 40 |
| 14 | Padova | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 34:46 | -12 | 40 |
| 15 | Entella | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 34:48 | -14 | 39 |
| 16 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 37 |
| 17 | Pescara | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 50:64 | -14 | 34 |
| 18 | Bari | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 33:58 | -25 | 34 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34:54 | -20 | 34 |
| 20 | Spezia | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 40:56 | -16 | 33 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
