Result
2:0
09/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 38
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 1.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
78% (303/388) | 85% (355/418) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.33 | 1.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.81 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 12 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
78% (303/388) | 85% (355/418) |
Long passes |
---|
34% (21/62) | 60% (37/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
46% (37/81) | 73% (68/93) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (2/9) | 13% (2/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.61 | 0.81 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 67% (8/12) |
Duels won |
---|
50 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
15 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.76 | 1.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.76 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Brunori M. ⚽, Di Francesco F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 0, Brunori M. ⚽, Gomes C. (A),
- 49', Bracaglia G. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 65', Ghedjemis F. ↓, Partipilo A. ↑,
- 65', Mateus Lusuardi ↓, Oyono A. ↑,
- 70', Di Francesco F. ↓, Lund K. ↑,
- 77', Segre J. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
- 77', Diakite S. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 81', Blin A. 🟨,
- 82', Brunori M. 🟨,
- 90', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 90+1', Gomes C. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 90+3', Kone B. L. ↓, Grosso F. ↑,
- 90+3', Pecorino E. ↓, Cichero A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo 48.6% | Draw 29.4% | Frosinone 21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Palermo - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.83) |
3.19 ↓ (3.6) |
4.27 ↑ (4.15) |
6.1% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Palermo - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Frosinone will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palermo: Ceccaroni P.
(Injury)
Gomis A.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Biraschi D.
(Inactive)
Darboe E.
(Foot Injury)
Di Chiara G.
(Inactive)
Kalaj S.
(Injury)
Koutsoupias I.
(Injury)
Szyminski P.
(Injury)
Tsadjout F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Frosinone?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Palermo?
Frosinone has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Frosinone were as follows:
08.11.2024
Frosinone
-
Palermo
1:1
18.02.2023
Palermo
-
Frosinone
1:1
17.09.2022
Frosinone
-
Palermo
1:0
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Frosinone
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |