Notts County vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 25
Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.75
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Passes
75% (351/467)	67% (236/351)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.06	0.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	0.51
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
8	7
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
3	3
Corner kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
16	29
Accurate through passes
0	2
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
12	10
Passes
75% (351/467)	67% (236/351)
Long passes
28% (20/72)	47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)	52% (73/140)
Crosses
27% (3/11)	34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.17
Throw ins
26	32
Fouls
10	12
Tackles
80% (16/20)	75% (18/24)
Duels won
60	76
Clearances
33	17
Interceptions
6	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.51	0.78
Goals prevented
0.51	-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. ⚽, Norburn O. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Andrews J. 🟨,
63', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
63', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
63', Macari L. ↓, Ness L. ↑,
64', Hall T. ↓, Ndlovu L. ↑,
71', McKenzie R. ↓, Dack B. ↑,
71', Gale S. ↓, Hutton R. ↑,
76', Ness L. 🟨,
80', Dennis M. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
81', Dack B. 🟨,
86', Beckles O. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Notts County
46.9%

Draw
28.1%

Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

26.8%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Notts County - Gillingham Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.34 ↓ (3.43)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Notts County - Gillingham?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Gillingham?

Notts County has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Notts County?

Gillingham has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Gillingham were as follows:

13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0

01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2

21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1

09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3

21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2

Latest results of Notts County

31.01.2026 Fleetwood Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

27.01.2026 Notts County - Swindon Town 2:1 ✺

24.01.2026 Notts County - Crewe Alexandra 1:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Crawley Town - Notts County 1:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Notts County - Accrington Stanley 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Gillingham

31.01.2026 Gillingham - Bromley 1:4 ✺

27.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Postponed ✺

24.01.2026 Harrogate Town - Gillingham 0:3 ✺

17.01.2026 Gillingham - Newport County 3:2 ✺

01.01.2026 Swindon Town - Gillingham 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	26	79
2	MK Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	36	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	28	72
4	Notts Co	38	21	7	10	65:39	26	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	18	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	6	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	16	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	9	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	11	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	7	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	13	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	6	57
13	Fleetwood	39	14	12	13	48:46	2	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	9	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	-4	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	-12	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	-20	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	-22	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	-26	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	-21	36
21	Crawley	39	6	13	20	36:60	-24	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	-28	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	-29	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	-27	29

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League