Gillingham vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Notts County
Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.04
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Long passes
37% (31/84)32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
54% (64/119)53% (63/118)
Crosses
18% (4/22)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.38
Throw-ins
3124
Fouls
108
Tackles
85% (11/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
3027
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.041.48
Goals prevented
0.040.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 36', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. , Hutton R. (A),
  • 58', Gordon K. , Cotter B. ,
  • 59', Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. ,
  • 59', Iorpenda T. , Hall T. ,
  • 65', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 69', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 69', Smith J. , Rowe A. ,
  • 75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
  • 78', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 84', Dennis M. , Robertson S. ,
  • 90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dack B. , Wyllie M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Notts County
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.1% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Gillingham - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.29)
    3.11
    (3.18)
    3.16
    (3.06)
    6.3%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Gillingham
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1382319:12726
    2Swindon1381424:19525
    3MK Dons1373326:131324
    4Grimsby1373325:151024
    5Gillingham1364318:12622
    6Chesterfield1364323:20322
    7Salford1371518:17122
    8Notts Co1363423:15821
    9Cambridge Utd1363416:13321
    10Barnet1362516:13320
    11Crewe1361617:16119
    12Fleetwood1354419:19019
    13Bromley1346319:17218
    14Colchester1345421:18317
    15Barrow1352611:13-217
    16Bristol Rovers1352614:21-717
    17Oldham1336410:10015
    18Tranmere1235420:18214
    19Harrogate1342715:20-514
    20Accrington1233611:14-312
    21Shrewsbury1333710:20-1012
    22Cheltenham133289:25-1611
    23Crawley1323810:22-129
    24Newport1322911:23-128

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League