Gillingham vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 8
  • Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.480.04
Total shots
78
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2111
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
810
Passes
62% (159/255)73% (275/378)
Long passes
37% (31/84)32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
54% (64/119)53% (63/118)
Crosses
18% (4/22)33% (5/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.38
Throw-ins
3124
Fouls
108
Tackles
85% (11/13)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4554
Clearances
3027
Interceptions
83
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.041.48
Goals prevented
0.040.48

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Dennis M. 🟨,
  • 36', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. , Hutton R. (A),
  • 58', Gordon K. , Cotter B. ,
  • 59', Tsaroulla N. , Jones J. ,
  • 59', Iorpenda T. , Hall T. ,
  • 65', Smith A. 🟨,
  • 69', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 69', Smith J. , Rowe A. ,
  • 75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
  • 78', Norburn O. , Grant C. ,
  • 84', Dennis M. , Robertson S. ,
  • 90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dack B. , Wyllie M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
40.1%
Draw
30.1%
Notts County
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.1% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27.4% 28.5%

Gillingham - Notts County Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.36
(2.29)
3.11
(3.18)
3.16
(3.06)
6.3%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29%96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
    • Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C. (Calf Injury) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S. (Inactive) Palmer-Houlden S. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W. (Injury) Luker J. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
    01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Gillingham
    06.09.2025 Bromley - Gillingham 2:2
    02.09.2025 Gillingham - Fulham U21 4:1
    19.08.2025 Gillingham - Chesterfield 4:1
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall18112528:181035
    2Swindon18104431:24734
    3MK Dons1895435:201532
    4Notts Co1894530:201031
    5Bromley1886428:22630
    6Gillingham1978426:20629
    7Cambridge Utd1885520:16429
    8Salford1892724:25-129
    9Colchester1977528:21728
    10Chesterfield1877432:29328
    11Crewe1883727:24327
    12Grimsby1875632:25726
    13Fleetwood1875627:26126
    14Barnet1867522:19325
    15Tranmere1858530:27323
    16Oldham1858516:13323
    17Accrington1856721:22-121
    18Barrow1855818:23-520
    19Crawley1845922:30-817
    20Shrewsbury1845918:31-1317
    21Bristol Rovers18521115:31-1617
    22Cheltenham18521114:32-1817
    23Harrogate18441017:28-1116
    24Newport18331218:33-1512

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League