Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.66 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
62% (159/255) | 73% (275/378) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.66 | 0.66 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.48 | 0.04 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
0 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 11 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
62% (159/255) | 73% (275/378) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (31/84) | 32% (24/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
54% (64/119) | 53% (63/118) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (4/22) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.79 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
31 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
85% (11/13) | 68% (13/19) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 54 |
Clearances |
---|
30 | 27 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.04 | 1.48 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.04 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 36', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. ⚽, Hutton R. (A),
- 58', Gordon K. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
- 59', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 59', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 65', Smith A. 🟨,
- 69', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 69', Smith J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 78', Norburn O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 84', Dennis M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Dack B. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gillingham 40.1% | Draw 30.1% | Notts County 29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Gillingham - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↑ (2.29) |
3.11 ↓ (3.18) |
3.16 ↑ (3.06) |
6.3% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
- Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Notts County?
Gillingham has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Gillingham?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
01.02.2025
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
21.09.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
0:1
09.02.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
1:3
21.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 22 |
2 | Swindon | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 21 |
3 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 21 |
4 | Salford | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Grimsby | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Chesterfield | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
7 | Bristol Rovers | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Crewe | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 16 |
9 | MK Dons | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
10 | Cambridge Utd | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 15 |
11 | Fleetwood | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
12 | Notts Co | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 14 |
13 | Oldham | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
14 | Bromley | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
15 | Barnet | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Harrogate | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
17 | Barrow | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
18 | Tranmere | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 10 |
19 | Accrington | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
20 | Colchester | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 8 |
21 | Crawley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 |
22 | Newport | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 5 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:20 | -13 | 5 |
24 | Cheltenham | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4:24 | -20 | 4 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League