Notts County vs Gillingham – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
03/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 25
  • Referee: Swallow E. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.060.75
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
43
Passes
75% (351/467)67% (236/351)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.060.75
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.51
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
65
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
1629
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
32
Free kicks
1210
Passes
75% (351/467)67% (236/351)
Long passes
28% (20/72)47% (35/75)
Passes in final third
66% (70/106)52% (73/140)
Crosses
27% (3/11)34% (10/29)
Expected assists (xA)
0.441.17
Throw ins
2632
Fouls
1012
Tackles
80% (16/20)75% (18/24)
Duels won
6076
Clearances
3317
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
0.510.78
Goals prevented
0.51-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Robertson S. , Norburn O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Andrews J. 🟨,
  • 63', Andrews J. , Vokes S. ,
  • 63', Palmer-Houlden S. , McCleary G. ,
  • 63', Macari L. , Ness L. ,
  • 64', Hall T. , Ndlovu L. ,
  • 71', McKenzie R. , Dack B. ,
  • 71', Gale S. , Hutton R. ,
  • 76', Ness L. 🟨,
  • 80', Dennis M. , Bennetts K. ,
  • 81', Dack B. 🟨,
  • 86', Beckles O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Notts County
46.9%
Draw
28.1%
Gillingham
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 26.8% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.4% 25.6%

Notts County - Gillingham Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.99
(1.98)
3.34
(3.43)
3.72
(3.4)
7.1%
(9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Notts County - Gillingham?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 25.5%74.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Notts County (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Notts County will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Notts County (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Gillingham (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 2.
    • In recent matches, Notts County has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Gillingham is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Notts County could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Gillingham: McCleary G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Notts County: Palmer M. (Inactive) Robertson S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Williams E. (Shoulder Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Gillingham were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:0
    01.02.2025 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Notts County
    Latest results of Gillingham
    31.01.2026 Gillingham - Bromley 1:4
    27.01.2026 Cheltenham Town - Gillingham Postponed
    10.01.2026 Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons Postponed
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley30188454:322262
    2Notts Co30176746:301657
    3Cambridge Utd30168642:241856
    4Swindon30174950:341655
    5MK Dons30159659:332654
    6Salford29164941:35652
    7Walsall30147938:31749
    8Chesterfield301212649:41848
    9Crewe311381047:38947
    10Barnet301210840:31946
    11Colchester29129843:311245
    12Grimsby29129841:32945
    13Accrington291271035:30543
    14Gillingham291011840:36441
    15Fleetwood291071238:39-137
    16Oldham28811928:29-135
    17Tranmere30881443:51-832
    18Cheltenham29931729:51-2230
    19Bristol Rovers30831928:50-2227
    20Crawley31681732:51-1926
    21Shrewsbury30681625:50-2526
    22Barrow29661730:46-1624
    23Newport29561829:54-2521
    24Harrogate31562022:50-2821

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League