Gillingham vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Gillingham - Notts County
Result
1:2
01/02/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 30
  • Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.23
Ball Possession
45%55%
Goal Attempts
1410
Shots on Goal
43
Shots off Goal
46
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
24
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
Free Kicks
1113
Offsides
11
Fouls
1311
Yellow Cards
54
Throw-ins
2321
Touches in the Opposition Box
1514
Passes
75% (265/354)74% (322/436)
Passes in the final third
64% (69/107)50% (55/111)
Crosses
20% (3/15)16% (3/19)
Tackles
85% (11/13)68% (17/25)
Clearances Total
1515
Interceptions
98

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Tsaroulla N. ,
  • 20', 0 - 2, McGoldrick D. ,
  • 25', Ogie S. 🟨,
  • 44', Jones J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ehmer M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Agbinone A. , Gbode J. ,
  • 52', McKenzie R. 🟨,
  • 59', Nevitt E. 🟨,
  • 60', Gbode J. 🟨,
  • 60', McDonald R. 🟨,
  • 61', Tsaroulla N. , Gordon K. ,
  • 64', Khumbeni N. , Dack B. ,
  • 65', Morgan J. , Clarke J. ,
  • 65', Nevitt E. , Rowe A. ,
  • 73', Whitaker C. , Edwards C. ,
  • 74', Jones J. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Gbode J. , Little A. (A),
  • 90+1', Jarvis W. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Abbott G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gillingham
28.3%
Draw
27.1%
Notts County
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 28.3% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 27.5% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Notts County's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Gillingham - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (2.88)
    3.47
    (3.3)
    2.12
    (2.38)
    6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Notts County will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 17 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 3.
    • Gillingham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Notts County is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Notts County have a series of home games.
    • Notts County will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Gillingham won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gillingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 0:1
    09.02.2024 Notts County - Gillingham 1:3
    21.10.2023 Gillingham - Notts County 1:2
    Latest results of Gillingham
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe33006:159
    2Chesterfield33006:159
    3MK Dons32107:077
    4Grimsby32108:447
    5Fleetwood32106:337
    6Swindon32016:516
    7Walsall32014:316
    8Salford32015:506
    9Tranmere31206:245
    10Colchester31204:225
    11Bromley31204:225
    12Harrogate31205:415
    13Gillingham31203:215
    14Cambridge Utd31114:404
    15Newport31114:404
    16Barrow31022:4-23
    17Oldham30212:3-12
    18Notts Co30123:5-21
    19Accrington30122:5-31
    20Shrewsbury30120:6-61
    21Bristol Rovers30032:6-40
    22Barnet30031:6-50
    23Crawley30031:6-50
    24Cheltenham30030:8-80

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League