Result
1:0
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 8
- Referee: Mulhall S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (159/255) | 73% (275/378) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (159/255) | 73% (275/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (31/84) | 32% (24/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (64/119) | 53% (63/118) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Dennis M. 🟨,
- 36', Andrews J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 0, Andrews J. ⚽, Hutton R. (A),
- 58', Gordon K. ↓, Cotter B. ↑,
- 59', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 59', Iorpenda T. ↓, Hall T. ↑,
- 65', Smith A. 🟨,
- 69', Andrews J. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
- 69', Smith J. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
- 75', Nevitt E. 🟨,
- 78', Norburn O. ↓, Grant C. ↑,
- 84', Dennis M. ↓, Robertson S. ↑,
- 90+3', Dack B. 🟨,
- 90+5', Dack B. ↓, Wyllie M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Gillingham
40.1% | Draw
30.1% | Notts County
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Gillingham - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.29) |
3.11 ↓
(3.18) |
3.16 ↑
(3.06) |
6.3%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gillingham - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Gillingham will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gillingham: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gillingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 3.
- Gillingham is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Notts County is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gillingham is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Gillingham: Masterson C.
(Calf Injury)
Williams E.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Gillingham: Ogie S.
(Inactive)
Palmer-Houlden S.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Notts County: Jarvis W.
(Injury)
Luker J.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gillingham won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gillingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gillingham won against Notts County?
Gillingham has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Gillingham?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gillingham - Notts County were as follows:
01.02.2025
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
21.09.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
0:1
09.02.2024
Notts County
-
Gillingham
1:3
21.10.2023
Gillingham
-
Notts County
1:2
Latest results of Gillingham
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:12 | 7 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 25 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 24 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Gillingham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 23:20 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Salford | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18:17 | 1 | 22 |
| 8 | Notts Co | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:15 | 8 | 21 |
| 9 | Cambridge Utd | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 21 |
| 10 | Barnet | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Crewe | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 17:16 | 1 | 19 |
| 12 | Fleetwood | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 13 | Bromley | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 14 | Colchester | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 17 |
| 15 | Barrow | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 11:13 | -2 | 17 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 15 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 20:18 | 2 | 14 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 20 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 12 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 22 | Cheltenham | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9:25 | -16 | 11 |
| 23 | Crawley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10:22 | -12 | 9 |
| 24 | Newport | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
