Result
1:0
28/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 82% (323/393) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (281/345) | 82% (323/393) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 52% (33/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (86/117) | 60% (30/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Verkuijl M. 🟨,
- 30', Van Den Eynden F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bisselink S. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
- 61', Ingason H. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
- 61', Ostrc E. ↓, Doudah M. ↑,
- 71', Wolff K. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
- 72', Absalem A. ↓, Van Hove B. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 0, Janse D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Jong Ajax
43.1% | Draw
25.3% | Helmond Sport
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jong Ajax's performance.Helmond Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Helmond Sport might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jong Ajax that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Helmond Sport could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↓
(2.58) |
3.72 ↓
(3.72) |
2.95 ↑
(2.49) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Helmond Sport will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 1.
- Jong Ajax has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Helmond Sport is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Jong Ajax could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Helmond Sport: Ludwig M.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Jong Ajax won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:24 (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Jong Ajax won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:9 (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Helmond Sport?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong Ajax?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport were as follows:
04.10.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
19.04.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
3:1
27.11.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Helmond Sport
4:1
27.01.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
07.10.2022
Jong Ajax
-
Helmond Sport
0:1
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
