Result
2:1
24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 17
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (295/364) | 89% (482/540) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (295/364) | 89% (482/540) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (28/53) | 53% (37/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (67/105) | 69% (79/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 0% (0/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 84% (16/19) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -1.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Vos D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 0, Makanza N. ⚽, Leipold A. (A),
- 56', Absalem A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
- 62', Wolff K. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
- 62', Konadu D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
- 73', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
- 73', Ingason H. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
- 74', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
- 74', Lukowicz M. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 1, Kalokoh D. ⚽, Vink S. (A),
- 82', Peters T. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
- 87', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
- 87', Makanza N. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
- 90+4', Ludwig M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bergsen M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Helmond Sport 60.3% | Draw 21.3% | Jong Ajax 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.68) |
4.4 ↑ (4.09) |
4.98 ↑ (4.34) |
6% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Helmond Sport is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.5:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong Ajax?
Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Helmond Sport?
Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax were as follows:
28.04.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Helmond Sport
1:0
04.10.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
19.04.2024
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
3:1
27.11.2023
Jong Ajax
-
Helmond Sport
4:1
27.01.2023
Helmond Sport
-
Jong Ajax
1:1
Latest results of Helmond Sport
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 20 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 56:21 | 35 | 52 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 46:22 | 24 | 47 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 34 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 41:39 | 2 | 34 |
| 5 | Roda | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Venlo | 21 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Almere City | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 20 | 9 | 2 | 9 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 9 | Willem II | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:28 | -3 | 29 |
| 10 | FC Emmen | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 37:35 | 2 | 28 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32:34 | -2 | 26 |
| 13 | Waalwijk | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Dordrecht | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26:31 | -5 | 24 |
| 15 | Helmond | 20 | 7 | 2 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 23 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 25:40 | -15 | 22 |
| 17 | Oss | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 24:34 | -10 | 20 |
| 18 | Jong AZ | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 32:43 | -11 | 20 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 14 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )