Helmond Sport vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.27
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
81% (295/364)89% (482/540)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.780.66
Total shots
116
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
31
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
63
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3013
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
513
Passes
81% (295/364)89% (482/540)
Long passes
53% (28/53)53% (37/70)
Passes in final third
64% (67/105)69% (79/114)
Crosses
18% (4/22)0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.27
Throw-ins
159
Fouls
135
Tackles
84% (16/19)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3637
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.660.78
Goals prevented
-0.34-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. , Vos D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Appiah A. , Kasanwirjo K. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Makanza N. , Leipold A. (A),
  • 56', Absalem A. , Essakkati T. ,
  • 62', Wolff K. , Abildgaard L. ,
  • 62', Konadu D. , Kalokoh D. ,
  • 73', Leipold A. , Ogenia J. ,
  • 73', Ingason H. , Ludwig M. ,
  • 74', O'Niel D. , Ouazane Z. ,
  • 74', Lukowicz M. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 1, Kalokoh D. , Vink S. (A),
  • 82', Peters T. , Romers T. ,
  • 87', Lukowicz M. , Bajrami L. ,
  • 87', Makanza N. , Semic L. ,
  • 90+4', Ludwig M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bergsen M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Helmond Sport
60.3%
Draw
21.3%
Jong Ajax
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 22.8% 21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 21.7% 20.5%

Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.58
(1.68)
4.4
(4.09)
4.98
(4.34)
6%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Helmond Sport is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.5:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax were as follows:
    28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0
    04.10.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1
    19.04.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 3:1
    27.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 4:1
    27.01.2023 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1
    Latest results of Helmond Sport
    08.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:3
    31.10.2025 FC Oss - Helmond Sport 0:3
    28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4
    24.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Dordrecht 1:2
    Latest results of Jong Ajax
    21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3
    07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0
    01.11.2025 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:1
    24.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:1
    21.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong Ajax 1:1
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag20171256:213552
    2Cambuur21145246:222447
    3De Graafschap20104639:31834
    4Jong PSV21104741:39234
    5Roda2087533:29431
    6Venlo211001128:30-230
    7Almere City2092941:33829
    8Den Bosch2092938:39-129
    9Willem II2085725:28-329
    10FC Emmen2084837:35228
    11Eindhoven FC21831029:41-1227
    12Jong Utrecht2075832:34-226
    13Waalwijk2075831:33-226
    14Dordrecht2166926:31-524
    15Helmond20721127:34-723
    16Maastricht21641125:40-1522
    17Oss2048824:34-1020
    18Jong AZ21621332:43-1120
    19Vitesse1975731:31014
    20Jong Ajax20261227:40-1312

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