Helmond Sport vs Jong Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 17
Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.27
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
81% (295/364)	89% (482/540)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93	0.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.78	0.66
Total shots
11	6
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
3	1
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	0
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
30	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free Kicks
5	13
Passes
81% (295/364)	89% (482/540)
Long passes
53% (28/53)	53% (37/70)
Passes in final third
64% (67/105)	69% (79/114)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	0% (0/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.27
Throw-ins
15	9
Fouls
13	5
Tackles
84% (16/19)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
36	37
Clearances
16	25
Interceptions
5	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.66	0.78
Goals prevented
-0.34	-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Vos D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
51', 2 - 0, Makanza N. ⚽, Leipold A. (A),
56', Absalem A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
62', Wolff K. ↓, Abildgaard L. ↑,
62', Konadu D. ↓, Kalokoh D. ↑,
73', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
73', Ingason H. ↓, Ludwig M. ↑,
74', O'Niel D. ↓, Ouazane Z. ↑,
74', Lukowicz M. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Kalokoh D. ⚽, Vink S. (A),
82', Peters T. ↓, Romers T. ↑,
87', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
87', Makanza N. ↓, Semic L. ↑,
90+4', Ludwig M. 🟨,
90+5', Bergsen M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
60.3%

Draw
21.3%

Jong Ajax
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

21.7%

20.5%

Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.68)	4.4 ↑ (4.09)	4.98 ↑ (4.34)	6% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Helmond Sport will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Helmond Sport: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75, 1st Half - Helmond Sport (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 1st Half - Helmond Sport (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 1st Half - Helmond Sport (4.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Helmond Sport (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Helmond Sport (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Helmond Sport (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Helmond Sport (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Helmond Sport (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Helmond Sport (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5, 2nd Half - Helmond Sport (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25, 2nd Half - Helmond Sport (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75, 2nd Half - Helmond Sport (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1, 2nd Half - Helmond Sport (3.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Helmond Sport will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 17 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 17 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 19).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 1.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
In this match, Helmond Sport is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:37. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 1.5:2.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against Jong Ajax?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Helmond Sport?

Jong Ajax has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax were as follows:

28.04.2025 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 1:0

04.10.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1

19.04.2024 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 3:1

27.11.2023 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 4:1

27.01.2023 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 1:1

Latest results of Helmond Sport

21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:3 ✺

31.10.2025 FC Oss - Helmond Sport 0:3 ✺

28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4 ✺

24.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Dordrecht 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Jong Ajax

21.11.2025 Jong Ajax - FC Eindhoven 1:3 ✺

07.11.2025 Jong Ajax - Dordrecht 0:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Cambuur - Jong Ajax 4:1 ✺

24.10.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:1 ✺

21.10.2025 FC Oss - Jong Ajax 1:1 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	24	17	2	5	59:29	30	53
2	Cambuur	23	15	5	3	50:26	24	50
3	Jong PSV	24	12	4	8	51:46	5	40
4	Almere City	25	12	3	10	53:41	12	39
5	Roda	25	10	9	6	43:37	6	39
6	De Graafschap	25	11	6	8	45:40	5	39
7	Waalwijk	25	10	7	8	42:38	4	37
8	Willem II	24	10	6	8	32:33	-1	36
9	Dordrecht	25	9	7	9	35:35	0	34
10	Den Bosch	25	10	4	11	45:46	-1	34
11	Jong Utrecht	25	8	8	9	44:46	-2	32
12	Venlo	25	10	2	13	34:39	-5	32
13	Eindhoven FC	24	9	4	11	35:44	-9	31
14	FC Emmen	23	8	5	10	40:44	-4	29
15	Maastricht	25	7	6	12	30:49	-19	27
16	Oss	24	6	8	10	32:40	-8	26
17	Jong AZ	25	8	2	15	43:51	-8	26
18	Helmond	25	7	5	13	31:45	-14	26
19	Vitesse	25	8	8	9	37:39	-2	20
20	Jong Ajax	24	4	7	13	33:46	-13	19

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