Result
2:1
08/12/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Quadrangular - Round 6
- Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.98 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 84% (386/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (393/471) | 84% (386/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (31/56) | 38% (15/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (97/143) | 66% (68/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.19 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽, Fydriszewski F. (A),
- 40', Herrera E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+6', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 45+10', 2 - 0, Ortiz J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Suarez Y. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
- 46', Rivas J. ↓, Castrillon B. ↑,
- 46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Castrillon B. ⚽, Paiva G. (A),
- 58', Paiva G. ↓, Titi ↑,
- 61', Leon B. 🟨,
- 65', Leon B. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 74', Alvarado J. 🟨,
- 77', Barrera J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 79', Baez C. ↓, Monzon L. ↑,
- 84', Fydriszewski F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ymseefpe
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
41.1% | Draw
29.5% | Junior Barranquilla
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.25) |
3.14 ↓
(3.34) |
3.19 ↑
(3.07) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Junior (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Junior (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Junior (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Junior (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
- Ind Medellín has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Junior is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Medellín has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Medellín?
Junior Barranquilla has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
19.11.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
21.09.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:2
11.06.2025
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
1:0
08.06.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
06.04.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:12 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 15 |
| 3 | Dep. Pasto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 15 |
| 4 | America De Cali | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Junior | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 10 | Aguilas | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 11 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Santa Fe | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Fortaleza | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cucuta | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Pereira | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
| 19 | Chico | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | -6 | 4 |
| 20 | Alianza | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:14 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
