Result
1:0
11/06/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 4
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (211/285) | 73% (249/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (211/285) | 73% (249/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (34/71) | 43% (33/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (52/84) | 58% (61/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Rivera D. 🟨,
- 25', Berrio L. 🟨,
- 42', Chaverra F. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Leon B. ⚽, Ortiz J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 62', Gonzalez L. ↓, Enamorado J. ↑,
- 62', Rivera D. ↓, Cuenu J. ↑,
- 66', Berrio L. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 76', Castrillon B. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 76', Barrera J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
- 76', Rodallega Y. ↓, Loboa H. ↑,
- 76', Palacios J. ↓, Torijano F. ↑,
- 80', Paiva G. 🟨,
- 86', Fydriszewski F. 🟨,
- 87', Leon B. ↓, Angulo ↑,
- 88', Chaverra F. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
- 90+1', Moreno D. ↓, Quintero Y. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/592c8vr4
Chances of winning
Independiente Medellín
53.1% | Draw
26.4% | Junior Barranquilla
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Medellín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Medellín's performance.Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Junior Barranquilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Medellín than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independiente Medellín that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(2.47) |
3.54 ↑
(3.25) |
4.49 ↑
(2.78) |
6.4%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Ind Medellín will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Junior will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind Medellín: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ind Medellín (votes: 3 - 60%). Junior (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 2.
- Ind Medellín is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Junior has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ind Medellín is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ind Medellín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Medellín won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:5. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Medellín won against Junior Barranquilla?
Independiente Medellín has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Junior Barranquilla won against Independiente Medellín?
Junior Barranquilla has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Medellín - Junior Barranquilla were as follows:
08.06.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
0:1
06.04.2025
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
1:0
02.10.2024
Junior Barranquilla
-
Independiente Medellín
2:1
11.09.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
2:0
27.07.2024
Independiente Medellín
-
Junior Barranquilla
0:0
Latest results of Independiente Medellín
Latest results of Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
