Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Optus Sport |
 China | QQ Sports |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/566) | 74% (217/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (487/566) | 74% (217/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (27/54) | 38% (20/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (121/164) | 54% (49/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.98 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sato R. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 60', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 60', Nakama H. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 60', Koizumi Y. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
- 67', Fujita I. 🟨,
- 69', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 69', Kimura T. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 74', Kumasaka K. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Hosoya M. ⚽,
- 78', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 78', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 87', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
- 87', Kakita Y. ↓, Nakagawa N. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Diego ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
46.8% | Draw
30.3% | Fagiano Okayama
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.11) |
3.13 ↓
(3.25) |
4.09 ↑
(3.77) |
6%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Okayama is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Kashiwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kashiwa Reysol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
| 10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
| 11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
| 16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
