Result
2:0
10/05/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Australia | Optus Sport |
China | QQ Sports |
India | FanCode, FanCode |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.47 |
Ball Possession |
---|
65% | 35% |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
86% (487/566) | 74% (217/295) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.68 | 0.47 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.00 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
---|
16 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
14 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
36 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
86% (487/566) | 74% (217/295) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (27/54) | 38% (20/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
74% (121/164) | 54% (49/91) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.64 | 0.35 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 32 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 9 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 82% (9/11) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
29 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.98 | 2.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.98 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sato R. ↓, Kato H. ↑,
- 60', Tabei R. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 60', Nakama H. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 60', Koizumi Y. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
- 67', Fujita I. 🟨,
- 69', Esaka A. ↓, Iwabuchi H. ↑,
- 69', Kimura T. ↓, Ichimi K. ↑,
- 74', Kumasaka K. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Hosoya M. ⚽,
- 78', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 78', Lucao ↓, Browne N. ↑,
- 87', Harada W. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
- 87', Kakita Y. ↓, Nakagawa N. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Diego ⚽,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol 46.8% | Draw 30.3% | Fagiano Okayama 22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.02 ↓ (2.11) |
3.13 ↓ (3.25) |
4.09 ↑ (3.77) |
6% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Okayama will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashiwa: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 50%). Okayama (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
- Kashiwa is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Okayama is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Kashiwa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Harada W.
(Injury)
Sugioka D.
(Hamstring Injury)
- We predict that Kashiwa will win today's game, with odds of 1.96.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Kashiwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kashiwa Reysol has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Fagiano Okayama has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama were as follows:
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League