Result
2:1
17/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (228/328) | 85% (526/621) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (228/328) | 85% (526/621) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 33% (14/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (83/146) | 74% (116/157) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 50% (9/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 53 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 1.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
- 28', Kakita Y. 🟨,
- 32', Tatsuta Y. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
- 46', Harakawa R. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
- 62', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
- 62', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
- 67', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 67', Watai M. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
- 81', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
- 82', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
- 84', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Lucao ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Nakama H. ⚽, Diego (A),
Chances of winning
Fagiano Okayama
25.1% | Draw
28.4% | Kashiwa Reysol
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↑
(3.76) |
3.45 ↑
(3.43) |
2.14 ↑
(2.02) |
1.8%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol?
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- Okayama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Okayama: Motoyama H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Okayama: Suzuki Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Fagiano Okayama?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:
10.05.2025
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Fagiano Okayama
2:0
Latest results of Fagiano Okayama
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
