Fagiano Okayama vs Kashiwa Reysol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

City Light Stadium (Okayama).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.61
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
70% (228/328)	85% (526/621)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.70	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.54	1.11
Total shots
15	8
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
6	2
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
4	3
Touches in opposition box
28	25
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	4
Passes
70% (228/328)	85% (526/621)
Long passes
32% (18/56)	33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
57% (83/146)	74% (116/157)
Crosses
43% (9/21)	19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.38	1.19
Throw-ins
31	27
Fouls
4	10
Tackles
79% (15/19)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
50	53
Clearances
28	53
Interceptions
18	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.11	1.54
Goals prevented
0.11	-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Iwabuchi H. ⚽, Esaka A. (A),
28', Kakita Y. 🟨,
32', Tatsuta Y. ↓, Matsumoto M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
46', Harakawa R. ↓, Yamada Y. ↑,
62', Suzuki Y. ↓, Kudo K. ↑,
62', Iwabuchi H. ↓, Kimura T. ↑,
67', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
67', Watai M. ↓, Konishi Y. ↑,
81', Ichimi K. ↓, Lucao ↑,
82', Esaka A. ↓, Kamiya Yuta ↑,
84', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
90', 2 - 0, Lucao ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Nakama H. ⚽, Diego (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Fagiano Okayama
25.1%

Draw
28.4%

Kashiwa Reysol
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.3%

27.7%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

27.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fagiano Okayama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fagiano Okayama than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.76)	3.45 ↑ (3.43)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	1.8% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol?

Users Predictions: Kashiwa Reysol will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
Okayama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kashiwa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
There will not play in Okayama: Motoyama H. (Inactive)
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K. (Knee Injury) Tezuka K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Okayama: Suzuki Y. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Okayama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Okayama won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

How many head-to-head matches has Fagiano Okayama won against Kashiwa Reysol?

Fagiano Okayama has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Fagiano Okayama?

Kashiwa Reysol has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Fagiano Okayama - Kashiwa Reysol were as follows:

10.05.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Fagiano Okayama 2:0

Latest results of Fagiano Okayama

10.08.2025 Gamba Osaka - Fagiano Okayama 0:3 ✺

20.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Fagiano Okayama 0:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol

10.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Reims 2:1 ✺

20.07.2025 Kashima Antlers - Kashiwa Reysol 3:2 ✺

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kyoto Sanga 3:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League