Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Russia | Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (366/461) | 58% (135/233) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (366/461) | 58% (135/233) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 28% (18/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/150) | 45% (43/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (11/30) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (12/19) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Diego Costa (Own goal),
- 29', 1 - 1, Krivtsov N. ⚽,
- 33', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 35', Tabidze J. 🟨,
- 36', Spertsyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Dapo J. ↓, Sandrachuk A. ↑,
- 58', Agalarov G. ↓, Miro ↑,
- 59', Chernikov A. ↓, Boselli J. ↑,
- 60', Mastouri H. 🟨,
- 66', 2 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽, Gonzalez G. (A),
- 69', Hosseinnejad M. ↓, Magomedov R. ↑,
- 71', Boselli J. 🟨,
- 74', Dzhabrailov A. ↓, Kagermazov S. ↑,
- 74', Azzi M. ↓, Zinovich K. ↑,
- 78', Joao Batxi ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 82', Spertsyan E. ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 87', Miro 🟨,
- 90+1', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 90+5', Miro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar 72.1% | Draw 17.8% | Dynamo Makhachkala 10.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar's performance.Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.34 ↓ (1.5) |
5.42 ↑ (4.33) |
9.59 ↑ (8.55) |
3.5% (1.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- Krasnodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dynamo Makhachkala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Krasnodar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Krasnodar is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A.
(Injury)
Petrov S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Stezhko V.
(Knee Injury)
Victor Sa
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Shumakhov I.
(Injury)
Sundukov T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Dynamo Makhachkala: Mastouri H.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Krasnodar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Krasnodar?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:
18.10.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Krasnodar
0:2
27.06.2025
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
4:1
25.04.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Krasnodar
2:3
28.07.2024
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
29.06.2024
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 56:21 | 35 | 63 |
| 2 | Zenit | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 50:18 | 32 | 62 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 52:36 | 16 | 50 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | 37:18 | 19 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 39:31 | 8 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 26:26 | 0 | 42 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 22:30 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 31:48 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 27 |
| 13 | Orenburg | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 23:46 | -23 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 28 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 27:57 | -30 | 21 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL