Result
0:2
18/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Frolov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (231/351) | 78% (343/442) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (231/351) | 78% (343/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (26/72) | 46% (35/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/129) | 68% (100/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (4/20) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', Mrezigue H. 🟨,
- 33', Petrov S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Spertsyan E. ⚽, Cordoba J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Serderov S. ↓, Hosseinnejad M. ↑,
- 61', Diego Costa 🟨,
- 61', Glushkov N. 🟨,
- 63', Kagermazov S. ↓, Azzi M. ↑,
- 63', Moubarik M. ↓, Agalarov G. ↑,
- 70', Spertsyan E. ↓, Krivtsov N. ↑,
- 70', Joao Batxi ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 73', Chernikov A. ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 2, Victor Sa ⚽, Olaza L. (A),
- 81', 🟨,
- 81', Mrezigue H. ↓, Mastouri H. ↑,
- 81', Victor Sa ↓, Furtado G. ↑,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', Lenini K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dynamo Makhachkala
18.5% | Draw
28% | Krasnodar
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.24 ↑
(5.03) |
3.46 ↓
(3.55) |
1.82 ↑
(1.76) |
3.1%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Krasnodar will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is -1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3).
- Dynamo Makhachkala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Krasnodar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Krasnodar is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Dapo J.
(Injury)
Sandrachuk A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Furtado G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Krasnodar: Tormena
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Dynamo Makhachkala won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Makhachkala won against Krasnodar?
Dynamo Makhachkala has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Dynamo Makhachkala?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar were as follows:
27.06.2025
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
4:1
25.04.2025
Dynamo Makhachkala
-
Krasnodar
2:3
28.07.2024
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
0:0
29.06.2024
Krasnodar
-
Dynamo Makhachkala
2:0
Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 49:17 | 32 | 53 |
| 2 | Zenit | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 44:17 | 27 | 52 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 50:33 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Baltika | 24 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 34:13 | 21 | 44 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:32 | 6 | 42 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 43:35 | 8 | 34 |
| 8 | Rubin Kazan | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 23:25 | -2 | 34 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 31 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 19:26 | -7 | 26 |
| 11 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 22 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 22 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 20:39 | -19 | 21 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Sochi | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 21:53 | -32 | 12 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
