Krasnodar vs Dynamo Makhachkala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
26/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 27
  • Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.371.39
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
62
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
84
Passes
79% (366/461)58% (135/233)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.371.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.710.39
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
62
Blocked shots
67
Shots inside the box
138
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3018
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1215
Passes
79% (366/461)58% (135/233)
Long passes
47% (31/66)28% (18/64)
Passes in final third
68% (102/150)45% (43/96)
Crosses
37% (11/30)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.380.34
Throw ins
2525
Fouls
1512
Tackles
63% (12/19)62% (8/13)
Duels won
5345
Clearances
2534
Interceptions
416
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.391.71
Goals prevented
0.39-0.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Diego Costa (Own goal),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Krivtsov N. ,
  • 33', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 35', Tabidze J. 🟨,
  • 36', Spertsyan E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', Dapo J. , Sandrachuk A. ,
  • 58', Agalarov G. , Miro ,
  • 59', Chernikov A. , Boselli J. ,
  • 60', Mastouri H. 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Cordoba J. , Gonzalez G. (A),
  • 69', Hosseinnejad M. , Magomedov R. ,
  • 71', Boselli J. 🟨,
  • 74', Dzhabrailov A. , Kagermazov S. ,
  • 74', Azzi M. , Zinovich K. ,
  • 78', Joao Batxi , Cobnan M. D. ,
  • 82', Spertsyan E. , Paltsev V. ,
  • 87', Miro 🟨,
  • 90+1', Diego Costa 🟨,
  • 90+5', Miro 🟨,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
72.1%
Draw
17.8%
Dynamo Makhachkala
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.7% 22.8% 11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 21.7% 11%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Krasnodar's performance.
  • Dynamo Makhachkala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Makhachkala than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.5)
    5.42
    (4.33)
    9.59
    (8.55)
    3.5%
    (1.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Dynamo Makhachkala will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
    • Krasnodar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dynamo Makhachkala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Recently, Krasnodar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Krasnodar: Koksharov A. (Injury) Petrov S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Stezhko V. (Knee Injury) Victor Sa (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Makhachkala: Shumakhov I. (Injury) Sundukov T. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Dynamo Makhachkala: Mastouri H. (Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar 0:2
    27.06.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala 4:1
    25.04.2025 Dynamo Makhachkala - Krasnodar 2:3
    28.07.2024 Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala 0:0
    29.06.2024 Krasnodar - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:0
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    23.04.2026 Spartak Moscow - Krasnodar 1:2
    12.04.2026 Zenit - Krasnodar 1:1
    08.04.2026 Dynamo Moscow - Krasnodar 0:0
    04.04.2026 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 0:1
    Latest results of Dynamo Makhachkala
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar28196356:213563
    2Zenit28188250:183262
    3Lokomotiv Moscow281311452:361650
    4Spartak Moscow28146845:38748
    5Baltika281113437:181946
    6CSKA Moscow28136939:31845
    7Rubin Kazan28119826:26042
    8Dynamo Moscow28109947:38939
    9Akhmat Grozny28981133:37-435
    10FK Rostov28791222:30-830
    11Krylya Sovetov28781331:48-1729
    12Akron Togliatti28691333:46-1327
    13Orenburg28681428:41-1326
    14Dynamo Makhachkala28591418:36-1824
    15Pari NN28641823:46-2322
    16Sochi28631927:57-3021

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL