Cerezo Osaka vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Yodoko Sakura Stadium (Osaka).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Australia	Stan Sport
China	K-Ball
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.08
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	6
Passes
79% (312/394)	75% (240/319)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
1.94	1.51
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
4	4
Blocked Shots
6	6
Shots inside the Box
10	10
Shots outside the Box
3	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
13	6
Touches in opposition box
32	33
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
79% (312/394)	75% (240/319)
Long passes
40% (20/50)	28% (17/60)
Passes in final third
67% (86/128)	64% (82/129)
Crosses
19% (4/21)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.92	1.06
Throw-ins
15	24
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
75% (15/20)	67% (8/12)
Duels won
62	34
Clearances
35	29
Interceptions
4	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
1.51	1.94
Goals prevented
-0.49	0.94

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Rafael Elias ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
26', Fernandes L. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
44', 0 - 1, Matsuda T. ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
45+5', Miyamoto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Joao Pedro 🟨,
58', 1 - 1, Cools D. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
59', Joao Pedro ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
59', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
71', Inoue R. 🟨,
75', Hirato T. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
75', Fukuoka S. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
82', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
82', Shibayama M. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Nagasawa S. ⚽,
88', Rafael Ratao ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
88', Thiago Andrade ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
90+6', Nakajima M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Cerezo Osaka
41.1%

Draw
24.9%

Kyoto Sanga
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

25.2%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.8%

26.5%

Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (1.98)	3.8 ↑ (3.74)	2.8 ↓ (3.48)	5.3% (6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 21.5% – 71.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kyoto: Takeda S. (Yellow Cards) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Sugai H. (Injury)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?

Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Cerezo Osaka?

Kyoto Sanga has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

21.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:4

03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3

17.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 3:5

01.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:1

25.11.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:1

Latest results of Cerezo Osaka

23.09.2025 Kashima Antlers - Cerezo Osaka 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Cerezo Osaka 2:4 ✺

31.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

23.08.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Vissel Kobe 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama 5:0 ✺

24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers ✔	36	21	7	8	55:30	25	70
2	Kashiwa Reysol	36	19	12	5	56:33	23	69
3	Vissel Kobe	36	18	9	9	46:31	15	63
4	Kyoto	36	17	11	8	59:40	19	62
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	36	18	8	10	42:26	16	62
6	Kawasaki Frontale	36	15	12	9	66:51	15	57
7	Machida	36	16	9	11	49:36	13	57
8	Gamba Osaka	36	16	6	14	49:53	-4	54
9	Urawa Reds	36	14	11	11	40:39	1	53
10	Cerezo Osaka	36	14	10	12	58:51	7	52
11	FC Tokyo	36	13	9	14	40:47	-7	48
12	Avispa Fukuoka	36	11	12	13	33:37	-4	45
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	36	11	11	14	40:48	-8	44
14	Verdy	36	11	10	15	22:36	-14	43
15	Okayama	36	11	9	16	32:41	-9	42
16	Yokohama F. Marinos	36	11	7	18	42:44	-2	40
17	Nagoya Grampus	36	10	10	16	42:53	-11	40
18	Yokohama FC ✔	36	8	8	20	24:43	-19	32
19	Shonan Bellmare ✔	36	7	8	21	34:61	-27	29
20	Albirex Niigata ✔	36	4	11	21	34:63	-29	23

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League