Kyoto Sanga vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka
Result
1:4
21/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/16-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
japanJapanFuji TV Two

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
117
Shots on target
24
Corner Kicks
67
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
10
Total shots
117
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
93
Corner Kicks
67
Goalkeeper Saves
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Murilo de Souza ,
  • 38', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
  • 38', Funaki K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Nakajima M. , Uejo S. ,
  • 46', Yonemoto T. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Funaki K. ,
  • 55', Nakano R. , Okugawa M. ,
  • 55', Fukuoka S. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Thiago Andrade ,
  • 66', Kim Jin-Hyeon 🟨,
  • 69', Nishio R. , Hatanaka S. ,
  • 70', Shibayama M. , Vitor Bueno ,
  • 70', Kida H. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 71', Takeda S. , Marco Tulio ,
  • 72', Murilo de Souza , Nagasawa S. ,
  • 73', 1 - 3, Thiago Andrade ,
  • 79', Thiago Andrade , Rafael Ratao ,
  • 82', 1 - 4, Rafael Ratao ,
  • 90', Rafael Ratao 🟨,
  • 90+4', Marco Tulio 🟥,

Chances of winning


Kyoto Sanga
38.7%
Draw
27.8%
Cerezo Osaka
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 29% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 30.4% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.41
    (2.5)
    3.33
    (3.21)
    2.79
    (2.76)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 35.9%97.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kyoto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kyoto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.6:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 2:3
    17.08.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 3:5
    01.06.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 1:1
    25.11.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 0:1
    14.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Cerezo Osaka 0:1
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Draw
    Second stage

    Quarter-finals
    1Urawa RedsKawasaki Frontale2 : 3, 1 : 1
    2Yokohama F. MarinosKashiwa Reysol0 : 1, 1 : 4
    3Yokohama FCVissel Kobe0 : 1, 2 : 0
    4Shonan BellmareSanfrecce Hiroshima1 : 4, 3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kawasaki FrontaleKashiwa Reysol
    2Yokohama FCSanfrecce Hiroshima

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2