Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 China | K-Ball |
 Hong-kong | myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/394) | 75% (240/319) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/394) | 75% (240/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (20/50) | 28% (17/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (86/128) | 64% (82/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.06 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Rafael Elias ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 26', Fernandes L. ↓, Homma S. ↑,
- 44', 0 - 1, Matsuda T. ⚽, Hirato T. (A),
- 45+5', Miyamoto Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Joao Pedro 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Cools D. ⚽, Shibayama M. (A),
- 59', Joao Pedro ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
- 59', Sugai H. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 71', Inoue R. 🟨,
- 75', Hirato T. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 75', Fukuoka S. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 82', Kagawa S. ↓, Yoshino K. ↑,
- 82', Shibayama M. ↓, Nakajima M. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 2, Nagasawa S. ⚽,
- 88', Rafael Ratao ↓, Vitor Bueno ↑,
- 88', Thiago Andrade ↓, Takahashi N. ↑,
- 90+6', Nakajima M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerezo Osaka
41.1% | Draw
24.9% | Kyoto Sanga
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerezo Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerezo Osaka's form might have worsened.Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyoto Sanga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyoto Sanga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.98) |
3.8 ↑
(3.74) |
2.8 ↓
(3.48) |
5.3%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 21.5% – 71.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Cerezo Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Hirano Y.
(Knee Injury)
Noborizato K.
(Knee Injury)
Uejo S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Kyoto: Takeda S.
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Sugai H.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cerezo Osaka won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:25. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerezo Osaka won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerezo Osaka won against Kyoto Sanga?
Cerezo Osaka has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Cerezo Osaka?
Kyoto Sanga has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
21.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:4
03.05.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
2:3
17.08.2024
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:5
01.06.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Cerezo Osaka
1:1
25.11.2023
Cerezo Osaka
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
