Luton Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
1:0
01/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 1
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.03
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
75% (346/459)57% (142/251)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.00
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
41
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
163
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
75% (346/459)57% (142/251)
Long passes
44% (40/91)21% (16/78)
Passes in final third
60% (100/168)35% (40/114)
Crosses
6% (1/18)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.10
Throw-ins
3428
Fouls
1011
Tackles
60% (6/10)63% (19/30)
Duels won
4965
Clearances
2338
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Saville G. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
  • 67', Lonwijk N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
  • 70', Stevens M. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
  • 80', Kelly J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
  • 80', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
  • 80', Walsh L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
  • 83', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Johnson R. (Own goal),
  • 88', Hippolyte M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
  • 88', Walters R. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
61.7%		Draw
23.5%		AFC Wimbledon
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 23.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
    •

    Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↓
    (1.59)    		 3.97 ↓
    (4.02)    		 6.32 ↑
    (5.16)    		 7.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 66.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Luton (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
    • Wimbledon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Luton is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    26.07.2025 Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0
    22.07.2025 Southend United - Luton Town 0:2 ✺
    19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2
    05.07.2025 Boreham Wood - Luton Town 0:3
    03.05.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town 5:3 ✺
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    26.07.2025 Southend United - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    19.07.2025 Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon 2:0
    12.07.2025 Watford - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    09.07.2025 Enfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:4
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln38249571:343781
    2Cardiff38237873:413276
    3Bolton381715655:381766
    4Bradford City381981148:42665
    5Stockport County361781150:47359
    6Reading3815131057:50758
    7Huddersfield381691358:481057
    8Stevenage371691240:38257
    9Wycombe3815111255:411456
    10Plymouth381751657:53456
    11Luton381591451:48354
    12Barnsley3613111259:59050
    13Peterborough371541856:51549
    14AFC Wimbledon371471648:54-649
    15Mansfield3611131243:40346
    16Leyton Orient371361853:62-945
    17Doncaster371281740:59-1944
    18Burton3811101742:53-1143
    19Exeter381191842:50-842
    20Wigan3710121539:51-1242
    21Blackpool381181946:63-1741
    22Rotherham37991935:55-2036
    23Northampton38982132:52-2035
    24Port Vale356101928:49-2128

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