Luton Town vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
1:0
01/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 1
  • Referee: Parsons T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandV Sport 2
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 1
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Premier League
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Ultra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.03
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
75% (346/459)57% (142/251)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
0.550.03
xG on target (xGOT)
0.190.00
Total shots
62
Shots on target
10
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
41
Shots outside the Box
21
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
163
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
36
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
75% (346/459)57% (142/251)
Long passes
44% (40/91)21% (16/78)
Passes in final third
60% (100/168)35% (40/114)
Crosses
6% (1/18)10% (1/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.330.10
Throw-ins
3428
Fouls
1011
Tackles
60% (6/10)63% (19/30)
Duels won
4965
Clearances
2338
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.19
Goals prevented
0.000.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 36', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', Saville G. ↓, Dabo L. ↑,
  • 67', Lonwijk N. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
  • 70', Stevens M. ↓, Orsi-Dadomo D. ↑,
  • 80', Kelly J. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
  • 80', Clark J. ↓, Woodrow C. ↑,
  • 80', Walsh L. ↓, Baptiste S. ↑,
  • 83', Alli M. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 0, Johnson R. (Own goal),
  • 88', Hippolyte M. ↓, Sasu A. ↑,
  • 88', Walters R. ↓, McGuinness M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
61.7%		Draw
23.5%		AFC Wimbledon
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 23.2% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
    •

    Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.51 ↓
    (1.59)    		 3.97 ↓
    (4.02)    		 6.32 ↑
    (5.16)    		 7.1%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Luton will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Luton: 66.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Luton (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3.
    • Wimbledon's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Wimbledon has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Luton is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Luton will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Luton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    26.07.2025 Luton Town - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0
    22.07.2025 Southend United - Luton Town 0:2 ✺
    19.07.2025 Gillingham - Luton Town 0:2
    05.07.2025 Boreham Wood - Luton Town 0:3
    03.05.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Luton Town 5:3 ✺
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    26.07.2025 Southend United - AFC Wimbledon 1:0
    22.07.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Millwall 0:3
    19.07.2025 Sutton United - AFC Wimbledon 2:0
    12.07.2025 Watford - AFC Wimbledon 1:1
    09.07.2025 Enfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:4
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff33216664:362869
    2Lincoln33208559:312868
    3Bolton341513645:331258
    4Bradford City33177942:36658
    5Stockport County33168946:41556
    6Huddersfield341571255:451052
    7Reading331212948:43548
    8Stevenage321391035:34148
    9Wycombe3312111046:361047
    10Luton331371342:40246
    11Plymouth331441549:49046
    12Peterborough341431749:48145
    13AFC Wimbledon321261439:46-742
    14Exeter321181337:34341
    15Barnsley301181150:52-241
    16Mansfield311091237:35239
    17Burton331091438:46-839
    18Doncaster321161536:51-1539
    19Blackpool331071640:50-1037
    20Leyton Orient321061643:53-1036
    21Wigan328101434:46-1234
    22Northampton34971830:46-1634
    23Rotherham32871732:47-1531
    24Port Vale31681725:43-1826

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