Result
0:2
06/04/2025 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Trujillo F. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 77% (251/324) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (404/483) | 77% (251/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (20/45) | 44% (18/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (75/109) | 57% (43/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.02 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Palacios K. ⚽,
- 36', 0 - 2, Marimon L. ⚽, Montero A. (A),
- 38', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
- 40', Ramiirez S. ↓, Cortez S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cordoba S. ↓, Lucumi C. ↑,
- 46', Marimon L. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
- 66', Palacios K. ↓, Catano D. ↑,
- 66', Villarreal N. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
- 70', Pico L. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 70', Barrera J. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
- 70', Sanchez L. ↓, Camacho D. ↑,
- 73', Ruiz D. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 79', Navarro S. ↓, Charrupi F. ↑,
- 90+5', Pajaro R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Catano D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
27.1% | Draw
29.7% | Millonarios
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortaleza CEIF's form might have worsened.Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortaleza CEIF, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millonarios, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.45 ↑
(2.55) |
3.15 ↓
(3.25) |
2.15 ↓
(2.55) |
7.1%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Millonarios will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Millonarios will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Fortaleza is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Millonarios is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Fortaleza have a series of guest games.
- Millonarios will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:10 (average 1:2.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Millonarios?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Millonarios has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios were as follows:
16.10.2024
Millonarios
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:1
30.03.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Millonarios
1:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Millonarios
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
