Millonarios vs Fortaleza CEIF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF
Result
3:2
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
  • Referee: Ospina J. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.62
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
198
Shots on target
105
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
76% (214/281)77% (309/402)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.901.62
xG on target (xGOT)
1.741.22
Total shots
198
Shots on target
105
Shots off target
80
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
123
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1016
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
614
Passes
76% (214/281)77% (309/402)
Long passes
36% (18/50)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
52% (31/60)55% (51/93)
Crosses
29% (2/7)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.331.71
Throw-ins
1431
Fouls
146
Tackles
83% (15/18)85% (11/13)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
269
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.221.74
Goals prevented
-0.78-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ,
  • 31', Vega S. 🟨,
  • 33', Marulanda J. , Cabezas E. ,
  • 35', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Arevalo Chaparro J. N. (A),
  • 65', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
  • 67', Barrera J. , Amaya A. ,
  • 67', Cordoba S. , Salas J. ,
  • 67', Hurtado J. , Bruno Savio ,
  • 67', Vega S. , Victoria Palacios D. S. ,
  • 70', 3 - 1, Castro Espinosa B. D. , Castro A. (A),
  • 76', Bruno Savio 🟨,
  • 78', Arroyo A. , Florez K. ,
  • 78', Velasquez J. , Escorcia L. ,
  • 78', Castro A. , Canozales C. ,
  • 78', Castro L. , Giordana S. ,
  • 78', Diaz Samuel M. , Palacios H. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Valencia S. (Pen),
  • 90+3', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Millonarios
55.8%
Draw
26.6%
Fortaleza CEIF
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25.8% 18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 25.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.67)
    3.65
    (3.62)
    5.63
    (5.13)
    4.1%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Millonarios will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Millonarios is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios 0:2
    16.10.2024 Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF 2:1
    30.03.2024 Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios 1:2
    Latest results of Millonarios
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1373323:111224
    2Fortaleza1366119:13624
    3Junior1264224:16822
    4Ind. Medellin1163221:15621
    5Atl. Nacional1255220:15520
    6Deportes Tolima1262414:9520
    7Llaneros1253410:10018
    8Dep. Cali1245317:16117
    9Santa Fe1245312:11117
    10Once Caldas1344516:16016
    11Alianza1244413:15-216
    12Pereira1235410:11-114
    13Millonarios1242614:17-314
    14America De Cali123459:10-113
    15Envigado122649:11-212
    16Aguilas1125411:15-411
    17U. Magdalena1232712:20-811
    18La Equidad122557:15-811
    19Chico1325610:21-1111
    20Dep. Pasto1224612:16-410

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )