Result
06/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Millonarios
45.9% | Draw
29% | Independiente Santa Fe
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.78) |
3.24 ↓
(3.4) |
3.74 ↓
(4.76) |
5.8%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Millonarios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Millonarios is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Millonarios has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Millonarios?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 4 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
19.06.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
01.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
26.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
22.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
3:2
05.12.2024
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 17 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Llaneros | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 |
| 7 | Bucaramanga | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 8 | Pereira | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Alianza | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Envigado | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Chico | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Dep. Cali | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | U. Magdalena | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
| 16 | Millonarios | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Aguilas | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 6 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
