Result
1:2
19/06/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/444) | 64% (133/209) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (362/444) | 64% (133/209) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (63/90) | 33% (20/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (118/175) | 62% (56/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (3/27) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Rodallega H. ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
- 9', 0 - 2, Murillo E. ⚽, Rodallega H. (A),
- 21', Ruiz D. ↓, Palacios K. ↑,
- 31', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 33', Falcao R. 🟨,
- 40', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 45+3', Torres D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Villarreal N. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 46', Perlaza E. ↓, Melendez J. ↑,
- 50', Moreno V. 🟨,
- 56', Murillo E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 56', Mosquera H. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
- 60', Valencia J. ↓, Cordoba Mosquera J. E. ↑,
- 61', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 71', Vega S. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 75', Fernandez O. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 87', Velasquez Y. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 88', Mosquera A. 🟨,
- 88', Arias J. 🟨,
- 90', Torres J. 🟨,
- 90+11', Rodallega H. ↓, Rios L. ↑,
- 90+11', Palacios H. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
- 90+14', 1 - 2, Falcao R. ⚽,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/3f8a38mh
Chances of winning
Millonarios
45% | Draw
29.5% | Independiente Santa Fe
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Millonarios's form might have worsened.Independiente Santa Fe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente Santa Fe's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+12.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↑
(1.71) |
3.17 ↓
(3.53) |
3.71 ↓
(5.21) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Santa Fe (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final) and 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 3.
- Millonarios is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Santa Fe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:20. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Millonarios has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Millonarios?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:
01.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
26.03.2025
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
2:0
22.03.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
3:2
05.12.2024
Millonarios
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:1
26.11.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Millonarios
0:1
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
