Result
0:0
01/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 6
- Referee: Galipo S. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (258/347) | 76% (243/320) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (258/347) | 76% (243/320) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (36/67) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 57% (46/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.48 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 78 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.78 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
- 43', Pyyhtia N. 🟨,
- 45+2', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 45+3', Calabro A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Santoro S. ↑,
- 48', Tonoli D. 🟨,
- 54', Magnino L. 🟨,
- 55', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 62', Defrel G. ↓, Di Mariano F. ↑,
- 62', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 62', Mendes P. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 68', Abiuso F. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 68', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Hasa L. ↑,
- 80', Schiavi N. ↓, Rubino T. ↑,
- 80', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 82', Magnino L. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 85', Finotto M. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/ycrp8t74
Chances of winning
Carrarese
28.9% | Draw
30.3% | Modena
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carrarese's form might have worsened.Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Carrarese - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.21 ↑
(2.72) |
3.12 ↓
(3.22) |
2.35 ↓
(2.57) |
5.7%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Modena?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). Modena will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- Recent performances by Carrarese have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Modena is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Modena might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Mazzini S.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G.
(International duty)
Pergreffi A.
(Inactive)
Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Carrarese: Hasa L.
(Inactive)
Illanes J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carrarese won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Modena?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Carrarese?
Modena has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Modena were as follows:
04.05.2025
Carrarese
-
Modena
2:1
09.11.2024
Modena
-
Carrarese
2:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
