Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
---|
35% | 65% |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
72% (181/252) | 87% (395/454) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.10 | 1.56 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.39 | 1.21 |
Total shots |
---|
7 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 10 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
0 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
9 | 20 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 20 |
Passes |
---|
72% (181/252) | 87% (395/454) |
Long passes |
---|
30% (18/61) | 55% (21/38) |
Passes in final third |
---|
48% (30/63) | 78% (143/183) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (2/7) | 16% (4/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.29 | 1.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
20 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
46 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 9 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.21 | 1.39 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.21 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Fiorillo V. 🟥,
- 23', Torregrossa E. ↓, Ravaglia N. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Cotali M. 🟨,
- 59', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 60', Cotali M. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 64', Santoro S. 🟨,
- 65', Zuelli E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 66', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 68', Santoro S. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 68', Di Pardo A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 80', Cicconi M. 🟨,
- 81', Kamate I. 🟨,
- 84', Kamate I. ↓, Oliva M. ↑,
- 86', Schiavi N. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 86', Finotto M. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Illanes J. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
- 90', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Oliva M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Carrarese 38% | Draw 33.5% | Modena 28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Carrarese - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.49 ↑ (2.23) |
2.8 ↓ (3.09) |
3.3 ↓ (3.42) |
6.3% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Modena?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Injury)
Caldara M.
(Inactive)
Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Mendes P.
(Red Card)
Palumbo A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Modena?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Carrarese?
Modena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Modena were as follows:
09.11.2024
Modena
-
Carrarese
2:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |