Modena vs Carrarese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 25
Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.03
Ball possession
50%	50%
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
6	4
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
6	5
Passes
79% (279/354)	77% (280/365)
Yellow cards
5	5
Expected goals (xG)
0.89	1.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.46	1.13
Total shots
13	13
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
7	9
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
6	5
Touches in opposition box
23	14
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
13	16
Passes
79% (279/354)	77% (280/365)
Long passes
54% (35/65)	50% (26/52)
Passes in final third
68% (102/150)	52% (36/69)
Crosses
10% (3/29)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.83
Throw ins
21	21
Fouls
16	13
Tackles
75% (6/8)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
40	48
Clearances
21	32
Interceptions
2	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
1.13	2.46
Goals prevented
1.13	0.46

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Beyuku G. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Massolin Y. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
53', Schiavi N. 🟨,
56', Rubino T. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
56', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
56', Schiavi N. ↓, Hasa L. ↑,
61', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
61', Nieling B. 🟨,
62', Zanimacchia L. 🟨,
70', Ambrosino G. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
70', Melegoni F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
70', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
73', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
79', Dellavalle A. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
80', Ruggeri F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
88', Illanes J. 🟨,
89', Zampano F. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
90+1', Hasa L. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 0, Defrel G. ⚽, Cotali M. (A),
90+1', Zuelli E. 🟨,
90+3', Defrel G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Modena
59.5%

Draw
25.1%

Carrarese
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.3%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

24.4%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Modena - Carrarese Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.52)	3.75 ↓ (3.97)	6.14 ↑ (5.85)	6.1% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Modena - Carrarese?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Carrarese (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Carrarese (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Modena: Sersanti A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Carrarese: Bouah D. (Inactive) Salamon B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Carrarese: Rouhi J. (Injury)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Carrarese?

Modena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Modena?

Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Carrarese were as follows:

01.10.2025 Carrarese - Modena 0:0

04.05.2025 Carrarese - Modena 2:1

09.11.2024 Modena - Carrarese 2:0

Latest results of Modena

10.02.2026 Venezia - Modena 0:2 ✺

07.02.2026 Modena - Sampdoria 1:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Empoli - Modena 0:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Modena - Palermo 0:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Pescara - Modena 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Carrarese

10.02.2026 Padova - Carrarese 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Carrarese - Südtirol-Alto Adige 0:0 ✺

31.01.2026 Venezia - Carrarese 2:1 ✺

23.01.2026 Carrarese - Empoli 3:0 ✺

17.01.2026 Avellino - Carrarese 1:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	33	19	11	3	64:32	32	68
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	33	18	10	5	54:27	27	64
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation