Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 37
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (181/252) | 87% (395/454) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (181/252) | 87% (395/454) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (18/61) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (30/63) | 78% (143/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Fiorillo V. 🟥,
- 23', Torregrossa E. ↓, Ravaglia N. ↑,
- 42', 1 - 0, Schiavi N. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', Cotali M. 🟨,
- 59', Bozhanaj K. ↓, Caso G. ↑,
- 60', Cotali M. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 64', Santoro S. 🟨,
- 65', Zuelli E. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
- 66', Zanon S. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
- 68', Santoro S. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 68', Di Pardo A. ↓, Idrissi R. ↑,
- 80', Cicconi M. 🟨,
- 81', Kamate I. 🟨,
- 84', Kamate I. ↓, Oliva M. ↑,
- 86', Schiavi N. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
- 86', Finotto M. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Illanes J. ⚽, Cicconi M. (A),
- 90', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Oliva M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Carrarese
38% | Draw
33.5% | Modena
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Carrarese - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.23) |
2.8 ↓
(3.09) |
3.3 ↓
(3.42) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Carrarese - Modena?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Carrarese will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Carrarese: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 9).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Carrarese: Imperiale M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Injury)
Caldara M.
(Inactive)
Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Mendes P.
(Red Card)
Palumbo A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Carrarese won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Modena?
Carrarese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Carrarese?
Modena has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carrarese - Modena were as follows:
09.11.2024
Modena
-
Carrarese
2:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cesena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Modena | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Frosinone | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Carrarese | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Monza | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Venezia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Palermo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Reggiana | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Empoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Mantova | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Entella | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Juve Stabia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Bari | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Avellino | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Padova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Spezia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Pescara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
