Result
2:0
14/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 25
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/354) | 77% (280/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (279/354) | 77% (280/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (35/65) | 50% (26/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (102/150) | 52% (36/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/29) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.83 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Beyuku G. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Massolin Y. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Beyuku G. ↓, Zanimacchia L. ↑,
- 53', Schiavi N. 🟨,
- 56', Rubino T. ↓, Sekulov N. ↑,
- 56', Belloni N. ↓, Rouhi J. ↑,
- 56', Schiavi N. ↓, Hasa L. ↑,
- 61', Ruggeri F. 🟨,
- 61', Nieling B. 🟨,
- 62', Zanimacchia L. 🟨,
- 70', Ambrosino G. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 70', Melegoni F. ↓, Di Stefano F. ↑,
- 70', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 73', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
- 79', Dellavalle A. ↓, Nador S. ↑,
- 80', Ruggeri F. ↓, Torregrossa E. ↑,
- 88', Illanes J. 🟨,
- 89', Zampano F. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 90+1', Hasa L. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Defrel G. ⚽, Cotali M. (A),
- 90+1', Zuelli E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Defrel G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
59.5% | Draw
25.1% | Carrarese
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Modena - Carrarese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.52) |
3.75 ↓
(3.97) |
6.14 ↑
(5.85) |
6.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Carrarese?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 48.9% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Carrarese (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Carrarese (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Sersanti A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Carrarese: Bouah D.
(Inactive)
Salamon B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Carrarese: Rouhi J.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Carrarese?
Modena has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carrarese won against Modena?
Carrarese has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Carrarese were as follows:
01.10.2025
Carrarese
-
Modena
0:0
04.05.2025
Carrarese
-
Modena
2:1
09.11.2024
Modena
-
Carrarese
2:0
Latest results of Carrarese
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
