Result
1:1
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Referee: Chiffi D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (219/311) | 79% (348/439) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (219/311) | 79% (348/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (28/61) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (58/91) | 71% (91/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Tonoli D. ↓, Dellavalle A. ↑,
- 17', Gerli F. 🟨,
- 18', Segre J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Segre J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 56', Brunori M. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 56', Ranocchia F. ↓, Blin A. ↑,
- 65', Di Mariano F. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
- 65', Gerli F. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
- 66', Sersanti A. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 70', Diakite S. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Bereszynski B. (Own goal),
- 79', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 82', Palumbo A. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palermo
41% | Draw
31.5% | Modena
27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1%)
Palermo - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.16) |
3.01 ↓
(3.17) |
3.44 ↓
(3.52) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Modena?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Palermo will win (votes: 10 - 47.6%). Modena will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palermo: 26.2% – 69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Palermo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 4.
- In recent matches, Palermo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Modena is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Palermo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Palermo: Bardi F.
(Foot Injury)
Gomis A.
(Arm Injury)
Ranocchia F.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G.
(International duty)
Pergreffi A.
(Inactive)
Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Palermo: Bani M.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 2.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Modena?
Palermo has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Palermo?
Modena has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Modena were as follows:
12.01.2025
Palermo
-
Modena
2:0
19.10.2024
Modena
-
Palermo
2:2
20.01.2024
Palermo
-
Modena
4:2
07.10.2023
Modena
-
Palermo
0:2
17.03.2023
Palermo
-
Modena
5:2
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
