Modena vs Palermo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 21
Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.36	0.29
Ball possession
46%	54%
Total shots
9	3
Shots on target
1	2
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	4
Passes
70% (239/341)	76% (309/404)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
0.36	0.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.05	0.36
Total shots
9	3
Shots on target
1	2
Shots off target
7	1
Blocked shots
1	0
Shots inside the box
3	1
Shots outside the box
6	2
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
16	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
17	17
Passes
70% (239/341)	76% (309/404)
Long passes
44% (40/91)	43% (22/51)
Passes in final third
52% (51/98)	62% (78/126)
Crosses
14% (2/14)	13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.25	0.25
Throw ins
31	21
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
83% (10/12)	56% (10/18)
Duels won
54	60
Clearances
30	26
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.36	0.05
Goals prevented
-0.64	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Gomes C. ↓, Gyasi E. ↑,
63', De Luca M. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
63', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
76', Gyasi E. 🟨,
77', Peda P. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
80', Massolin Y. ↓, Pyyhtia N. ↑,
80', Mendes P. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
83', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
83', Palumbo A. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
84', Nador S. 🟨,
89', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Modena
41.4%

Draw
30.4%

Palermo
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

28.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Modena - Palermo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.17)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	3.34 ↑ (3.33)	6.2% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Modena - Palermo?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Palermo will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 17% – 68.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Palermo (1.62) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Modena (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Palermo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 0.
Modena has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Palermo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Modena could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Modena: Sersanti A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Palermo: Magnani G. (Leg Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Palermo?

Modena has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Modena?

Palermo has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Palermo were as follows:

19.10.2025 Palermo - Modena 1:1

12.01.2025 Palermo - Modena 2:0

19.10.2024 Modena - Palermo 2:2

20.01.2024 Palermo - Modena 4:2

07.10.2023 Modena - Palermo 0:2

Latest results of Modena

18.01.2026 Pescara - Modena 0:2 ✺

11.01.2026 Padova - Modena 2:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Modena - Monza 1:2 ✺

20.12.2025 Modena - Venezia 1:2 ✺

13.12.2025 Spezia - Modena 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Palermo

18.01.2026 Palermo - Spezia 1:0 ✺

11.01.2026 Mantova - Palermo 1:1 ✺

27.12.2025 Palermo - Padova 1:0 ✺

20.12.2025 Avellino - Palermo 2:2 ✺

12.12.2025 Palermo - Sampdoria 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	31	20	7	4	63:26	37	67
2	Monza	31	19	7	5	49:25	24	64
3	Frosinone	31	17	11	3	59:31	28	62
4	Palermo	31	16	10	5	51:27	24	58
5	Catanzaro	30	14	10	6	48:35	13	52
6	Modena	30	13	8	9	40:24	16	47
7	Juve Stabia	31	9	15	7	35:37	-2	42
8	Cesena	31	11	7	13	38:46	-8	40
9	Avellino	31	10	9	12	36:49	-13	39
10	Sudtirol	31	8	14	9	33:32	1	38
11	Carrarese	31	8	12	11	38:42	-4	36
12	Padova	31	8	10	13	32:42	-10	34
13	Mantova	31	9	7	15	35:46	-11	34
14	Empoli	31	7	12	12	39:45	-6	33
15	Sampdoria	31	7	10	14	29:42	-13	31
16	Bari	31	7	10	14	30:47	-17	31
17	Entella	31	7	10	14	28:45	-17	31
18	Spezia	31	7	9	15	30:43	-13	30
19	Reggiana	31	7	9	15	30:46	-16	30
20	Pescara	31	6	11	14	41:54	-13	29

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation