Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/447) | 77% (262/342) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 0.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.62 | 0.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (371/447) | 77% (262/342) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (22/48) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (109/143) | 69% (65/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 35% (7/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.18 | 2.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Santoro S. 🟨,
- 62', Di Mariano F. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 62', Pyyhtia N. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
- 73', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 73', Gliozzi E. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
- 73', Bariti D. ↓, Fumagalli T. ↑,
- 81', Dalla Vecchia M. ↓, Russo F. ↑,
- 81', Parodi L. ↓, Del Lungo T. ↑,
- 89', Santoro S. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 89', Di Mario S. ↓, Boccadamo A. ↑,
- 90', Debenedetti A. ↓, Ankeye D. ↑,
- 90', 2 - 0, Mendes P. ⚽, Magnino L. (A),
Chances of winning
Modena
51.2% | Draw
28.4% | Virtus Entella
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.Virtus Entella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Entella might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Modena that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Entella could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Modena - Virtus Entella Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↓
(2.09) |
3.26 ↓
(3.3) |
4.58 ↑
(3.49) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Modena - Virtus Entella?
Users Predictions:
Modena will win
(25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.71% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
- Modena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Modena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G.
(International duty)
Strizzolo L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Virtus Entella: Guiu B.
(Inactive)
Russo F.
(Inactive)
Siaulys O.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Virtus Entella?
Modena has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Virtus Entella won against Modena?
Virtus Entella has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Virtus Entella were as follows:
Latest results of Virtus Entella
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:3 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Palermo | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Venezia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Avellino | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Cesena | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Monza | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Carrarese | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Empoli | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Padova | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Catanzaro | 7 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 | Entella | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Bari | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Pescara | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 5 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 20 | Spezia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
