Modena vs Virtus Entella – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.91
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
83% (371/447)77% (262/342)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.91
xG on target (xGOT)
2.620.18
Total shots
1815
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1112
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3623
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1711
Passes
83% (371/447)77% (262/342)
Long passes
46% (22/48)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
76% (109/143)69% (65/94)
Crosses
13% (3/23)35% (7/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.46
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
1117
Tackles
38% (5/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
6044
Clearances
2037
Interceptions
167
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
0.182.62
Goals prevented
0.180.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 55', Santoro S. 🟨,
  • 62', Di Mariano F. , Mendes P. ,
  • 62', Pyyhtia N. , Sersanti A. ,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Gliozzi E. (Pen),
  • 73', Zanimacchia L. , Cotali M. ,
  • 73', Gliozzi E. , Defrel G. ,
  • 73', Bariti D. , Fumagalli T. ,
  • 81', Dalla Vecchia M. , Russo F. ,
  • 81', Parodi L. , Del Lungo T. ,
  • 89', Santoro S. , Magnino L. ,
  • 89', Di Mario S. , Boccadamo A. ,
  • 90', Debenedetti A. , Ankeye D. ,
  • 90', 2 - 0, Mendes P. , Magnino L. (A),

Chances of winning


Modena
51.2%
Draw
28.4%
Virtus Entella
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.8% 28.4% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 27.9% 26.3%

Modena - Virtus Entella Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(2.09)
3.29
(3.3)
4.6
(3.49)
6.8%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Modena - Virtus Entella?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Modena (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Modena (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Modena (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Modena will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 82.71%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Modena will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 18 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
    • Modena is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Virtus Entella has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Modena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Modena: Beyuku G. (International duty) Strizzolo L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Virtus Entella: Guiu B. (Inactive) Russo F. (Inactive) Siaulys O. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
    Latest results of Modena
    01.10.2025 Carrarese - Modena 0:0
    28.09.2025 Modena - Pescara 2:1
    20.09.2025 Mantova - Modena 1:3
    13.09.2025 Modena - Bari 3:0
    31.08.2025 Modena - Avellino 1:1
    Latest results of Virtus Entella
    30.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Bari 2:2
    27.09.2025 Avellino - Virtus Entella 2:0
    21.09.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 2:1
    14.09.2025 Virtus Entella - Mantova 1:0
    30.08.2025 Cesena - Virtus Entella 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia22145344:192547
    2Frosinone22137240:192146
    3Monza22135434:181644
    4Palermo22118333:141941
    5Modena2297628:171134
    6Cesena22104829:27234
    7Juve Stabia22810424:23134
    8Catanzaro2288628:26232
    9Carrarese2278731:32-129
    10Sudtirol22610624:23128
    11Empoli2277826:28-228
    12Avellino2277827:35-828
    13Padova2267921:27-625
    14Sampdoria22571021:28-722
    15Reggiana22561125:32-721
    16Entella2249919:29-1021
    17Spezia22551219:29-1020
    18Mantova22551222:36-1420
    19Bari22481018:34-1620
    20Pescara22291127:44-1715

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation