Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 88% (464/530) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 88% (464/530) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 51% (22/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (79/116) | 69% (71/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 19', Zeroli K. 🟨,
- 34', Birindelli S. 🟨,
- 34', Cisse A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Birindelli S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Cassandro T. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 1, Birindelli S. ⚽,
- 73', Oudin R. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 73', Bettella D. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑,
- 73', Colpani A. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
- 73', Iemmello P. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
- 76', Balde K. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
- 76', Alvarez A. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
- 84', Favasuli C. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 90+1', Carboni A. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 90+1', Birindelli S. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
49.9% | Draw
28.9% | Catanzaro
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Monza - Catanzaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.78) |
3.24 ↓
(3.59) |
4.5 ↑
(4.39) |
5.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Monza - Catanzaro?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Catanzaro (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Pessina M.
(Inactive)
Sardo J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Liberali M.
(International duty)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- There are questionable in Monza: Caprari G.
(Injury)
Ciurria P.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Catanzaro?
Monza has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Monza?
Catanzaro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Catanzaro were as follows:
Latest results of Catanzaro
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
