Monza vs Catanzaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Monza - Catanzaro
Result
2:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 7
  • Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.68
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (292/356)88% (464/530)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.410.68
xG on target (xGOT)
2.131.28
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
83
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
289
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
917
Passes
82% (292/356)88% (464/530)
Long passes
28% (9/32)51% (22/43)
Passes in final third
68% (79/116)69% (71/103)
Crosses
33% (8/24)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.930.81
Throw-ins
147
Fouls
179
Tackles
80% (8/10)62% (8/13)
Duels won
3045
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
38
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.282.13
Goals prevented
0.280.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 0 - 1, Cisse A. , Iemmello P. (A),
  • 19', Zeroli K. 🟨,
  • 34', Birindelli S. 🟨,
  • 34', Cisse A. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. , Birindelli S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Cassandro T. , D'Alessandro M. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Birindelli S. ,
  • 73', Oudin R. , Di Francesco F. ,
  • 73', Bettella D. , Di Chiara G. ,
  • 73', Colpani A. , Galazzi N. ,
  • 73', Iemmello P. , Pandolfi L. ,
  • 76', Balde K. , Colombo L. ,
  • 76', Alvarez A. , Maric M. ,
  • 84', Favasuli C. , Pittarello F. ,
  • 90+1', Carboni A. , Delli Carri F. ,
  • 90+1', Birindelli S. , Brorsson A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
49.9%
Draw
28.9%
Catanzaro
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 26.1% 21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 25.7% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Monza - Catanzaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.78)
    3.19
    (3.59)
    4.51
    (4.39)
    5.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Monza - Catanzaro?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Forson O. (Injury) Pessina M. (Inactive) Sardo J. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Catanzaro: Liberali M. (International duty) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Caprari G. (Injury) Ciurria P. (Injury)
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Monza
    01.10.2025 Empoli - Monza 1:1
    27.09.2025 Monza - Padova 0:1
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    Latest results of Catanzaro
    01.10.2025 Sampdoria - Catanzaro 0:0
    26.09.2025 Catanzaro - Juve Stabia 2:2
    20.09.2025 Reggiana - Catanzaro 2:2
    13.09.2025 Catanzaro - Carrarese 1:1
    30.08.2025 Spezia - Catanzaro 0:0
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena752013:31017
    2Palermo74309:3615
    3Frosinone742113:7614
    4Venezia733110:5512
    5Avellino733111:9212
    6Cesena732211:10111
    7Monza73227:6111
    8Carrarese724111:7410
    9Juve Stabia72418:8010
    10Sudtirol723211:1019
    11Reggiana723210:1009
    12Empoli723210:13-39
    13Padova72237:9-28
    14Catanzaro70617:8-16
    15Entella71336:10-46
    16Bari71337:12-56
    17Pescara712411:14-35
    18Sampdoria71247:10-35
    19Mantova71155:13-84
    20Spezia70344:11-73

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation