Result
 
                    2:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        04/10/2025 at  09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie B - Round 7
- Referee: Perri M. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel | 
|  World | Onefootball | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.68 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 41% | 59% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 88% (464/530) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 1 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.68 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.28 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 10 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 5 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 28 | 9 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 9 | 17 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 82% (292/356) | 88% (464/530) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 28% (9/32) | 51% (22/43) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 68% (79/116) | 69% (71/103) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 16% (3/19) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.93 | 0.81 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 14 | 7 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 17 | 9 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 62% (8/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 30 | 45 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 21 | 22 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 1 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.13 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.13 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A), 
- 19', Zeroli K. 🟨, 
- 34', Birindelli S. 🟨, 
- 34', Cisse A. 🟨, 
- 37', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Birindelli S. (A), 
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Cassandro T. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑, 
- 66', 2 - 1, Birindelli S. ⚽, 
- 73', Oudin R. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑, 
- 73', Bettella D. ↓, Di Chiara G. ↑, 
- 73', Colpani A. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑, 
- 73', Iemmello P. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑, 
- 76', Balde K. ↓, Colombo L. ↑, 
- 76', Alvarez A. ↓, Maric M. ↑, 
- 84', Favasuli C. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑, 
- 90+1', Carboni A. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑, 
- 90+1', Birindelli S. ↓, Brorsson A. ↑, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Monza 49.9%
 | Draw 28.9%
 | Catanzaro 21.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Monza - Catanzaro Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.91 ↑ (1.78)
 | 3.24 ↓ (3.59)
 | 4.5 ↑ (4.39)
 | 5.5% (7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Monza - Catanzaro?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 12).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Catanzaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Monza is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Injury)
Pessina M.
(Inactive)
Sardo J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Liberali M.
(International duty)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- There are questionable in Monza: Caprari G.
(Injury)
Ciurria P.
(Injury)
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Catanzaro?
                    
                    
                        
                            Monza has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Monza?
                    
                    
                        
                             Catanzaro has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Catanzaro were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Catanzaro                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 21 | 
| 2 | Monza | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 20 | 
| 3 | Cesena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 4 | Frosinone | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 18 | 
| 5 | Venezia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 16 | 
| 6 | Palermo | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 | 
| 7 | Reggiana | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 | 
| 8 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 14 | 
| 9 | Juve Stabia | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 | 
| 10 | Padova | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 | 
| 11 | Avellino | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 12 | Catanzaro | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 | 
| 13 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 | 
| 14 | Sudtirol | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | 
| 15 | Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 10 | 
| 16 | Bari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 9 | 
| 17 | Pescara | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 8 | 
| 18 | Spezia | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 7 | 
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 | 
| 20 | Mantova | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation