Result
2:2
17/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 20
- Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV, Fox Soccer Plus, Fox |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/395) | 74% (222/299) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (325/395) | 74% (222/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (105/133) | 59% (50/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 33% (5/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Ghedjemis F. ⚽, Kvernadze G. (A),
- 12', Bracaglia G. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Hernani ⚽,
- 39', Hernani 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mota D. ↓, Balde K. ↑,
- 61', Colpani A. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
- 62', Hernani ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 66', Kvernadze G. ↓, Gelli F. ↑,
- 67', Cichella M. ↓, Kone B. L. ↑,
- 67', Kone B. L. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 1, Petagna A. ⚽, Azzi P. (A),
- 74', Calo G. 🟨,
- 75', Koutsoupias I. ↓, Zilli M. ↑,
- 76', Kone B. L. 🟨,
- 81', Bracaglia G. ↓, Marchizza R. ↑,
- 81', Oyono A. ↓, Cittadini G. ↑,
- 82', Lucchesi L. ↓, Delli Carri F. ↑,
- 83', Balde K. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Monterisi I. ⚽, Calo G. (A),
- 89', Birindelli S. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 90+2', Pessina M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Monza
50.3% | Draw
27% | Frosinone
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Frosinone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Monza - Frosinone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↑
(1.78) |
3.46 ↑
(3.43) |
4.08 ↓
(4.57) |
7.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Frosinone?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 25%). Frosinone (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monza won 3.
- In recent matches, Monza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Frosinone is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Monza is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monza: Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Inactive)
Obiang P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Frosinone: Oyono A.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Monza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Frosinone?
Monza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Frosinone won against Monza?
Frosinone has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Frosinone were as follows:
18.10.2025
Frosinone
-
Monza
0:1
17.08.2025
Monza
-
Frosinone
0:1
19.05.2024
Monza
-
Frosinone
0:1
06.01.2024
Frosinone
-
Monza
2:3
Latest results of Frosinone
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
