Frosinone vs Monza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Frosinone - Monza
Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 8
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.93
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
29
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
81% (297/365)73% (210/287)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.572.93
xG on target (xGOT)
0.122.08
Total shots
1520
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
714
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
2325
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
2211
Passes
81% (297/365)73% (210/287)
Long passes
33% (16/48)31% (19/61)
Passes in final third
66% (69/104)57% (50/88)
Crosses
14% (3/22)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.66
Throw-ins
1817
Fouls
1122
Tackles
71% (5/7)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
1631
Interceptions
54
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
82
xGOT faced
2.080.12
Goals prevented
1.080.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', Balde K. 🟨,
  • 34', Koutsoupias I. 🟨,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Balde K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Monterisi I. , Gelli J. ,
  • 57', Raimondo A. , Zilli M. ,
  • 57', Masciangelo E. , Kvernadze G. ,
  • 58', Colpani A. , Petagna A. ,
  • 58', Mota D. , Ciurria P. ,
  • 71', Obiang P. , Zeroli K. ,
  • 71', Koutsoupias I. , Vergani E. ,
  • 71', Balde K. , Caprari G. ,
  • 73', Ravanelli L. 🟨,
  • 78', Oyono A. , Cichella M. ,
  • 83', Birindelli S. , Brorsson A. ,
  • 84', Zeroli K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Frosinone
15.7%
Draw
35%
Monza
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 29.7% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8% 29.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Frosinone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Frosinone's form might have worsened.
  • Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monza's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frosinone than the current prediction. (+20.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Frosinone, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Frosinone - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    8.87
    (2.63)
    3.47
    (3.13)
    2.38
    (2.67)
    -17.8%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Frosinone - Monza?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Frosinone will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Monza will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Frosinone: Biraschi D. (Knee Injury) Corrado N. (Broken Leg) Gelli F. (Injury) Gori L. (Knee Injury) Hegelund V. (Knee Injury) Selvini A. (Knee Injury) Sherri A. (Face Injury)
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Ciurria P. (Injury) Forson O. (Knee Injury) Mota D. (Inactive) Pessina M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Frosinone: Barcella K. (Muscle Injury) Marchizza R. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Frosinone won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Frosinone won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Frosinone - Monza were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    19.05.2024 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    06.01.2024 Frosinone - Monza 2:3
    Latest results of Frosinone
    04.10.2025 Venezia - Frosinone 3:0
    30.09.2025 Frosinone - Cesena 3:1
    27.09.2025 Mantova - Frosinone 1:5
    23.09.2025 Cagliari - Frosinone 4:1
    Latest results of Monza
    04.10.2025 Monza - Catanzaro 2:1
    01.10.2025 Empoli - Monza 1:1
    27.09.2025 Monza - Padova 0:1
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Modena963016:51121
    2Monza952211:7417
    3Cesena952214:11317
    4Palermo944110:5516
    5Frosinone943214:9515
    6Carrarese935116:11514
    7Venezia934213:9413
    8Juve Stabia834110:8213
    9Reggiana933314:14012
    10Avellino933311:15-412
    11Padova83238:9-111
    12Sudtirol924312:12010
    13Entella924310:12-210
    14Empoli924312:16-410
    15Catanzaro91628:9-19
    16Pescara914414:17-37
    17Spezia91359:13-46
    18Sampdoria91359:14-56
    19Bari81348:15-76
    20Mantova81256:14-85

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation