Monza vs Padova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
27/09/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 5
  • Referee: Arena A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
russiaRussiaTelekanal Futbol
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.380.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.121.24
Total shots
1313
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
97
Shots outside the Box
46
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2810
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
85% (477/560)78% (277/357)
Long passes
52% (24/46)42% (24/57)
Passes in final third
81% (151/187)65% (51/79)
Crosses
14% (5/37)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.55
Throw-ins
2413
Fouls
1012
Tackles
56% (9/16)53% (10/19)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
1244
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.241.12
Goals prevented
0.240.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', Perrotta M. 🟨,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Varas K. ,
  • 52', Birindelli S. 🟨,
  • 57', Colombo L. , Zeroli K. ,
  • 57', Colpani A. , Galazzi N. ,
  • 59', Lasagna K. , Buonaiuto C. ,
  • 66', Alvarez A. , Caprari G. ,
  • 66', Maric M. , Petagna A. ,
  • 66', Crisetig L. 🟨,
  • 74', Crisetig L. , Di Maggio L. ,
  • 75', Varas K. , Harder J. ,
  • 81', Barreca A. , Favale G. ,
  • 82', Lucchesi L. , Carboni A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Monza
51.9%
Draw
27.8%
Padova
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.1% 27.6% 24.3%

Monza - Padova Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.92)
3.39
(3.35)
4.61
(3.8)
5.9%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Monza - Padova?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Padova (2.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Monza (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Monza will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monza will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Padova (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Monza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Padova is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Padova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury) Ciurria P. (Red Card) Forson O. (Injury) Zeroli K. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Padova: Bacci J. (Inactive) Boi A. (Inactive) Papu Gomez (Suspended) Pastina C. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Padova: Fusi P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Monza won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Monza
    20.09.2025 Monza - Sampdoria 1:0
    12.09.2025 Avellino - Monza 2:1
    31.08.2025 Bari - Monza 1:1
    23.08.2025 Monza - Mantova 1:0
    17.08.2025 Monza - Frosinone 0:1
    Latest results of Padova
    21.09.2025 Padova - Virtus Entella 2:1
    13.09.2025 Padova - Frosinone 0:1
    31.08.2025 Carrarese - Padova 0:0
    23.08.2025 Empoli - Padova 3:1
    10.08.2025 Padova - Vicenza Virtus 0:2
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Frosinone20126238:182042
    2Venezia20125337:162141
    3Monza20115429:171238
    4Palermo20107330:141637
    5Cesena20104627:22534
    6Modena2095628:171132
    7Catanzaro2087527:24331
    8Juve Stabia2079422:22030
    9Empoli2076726:25127
    10Carrarese2068627:30-326
    11Padova2067720:22-225
    12Avellino2067724:33-925
    13Sudtirol20410619:22-322
    14Reggiana20551024:30-620
    15Entella2048818:27-920
    16Mantova20541118:29-1119
    17Sampdoria20461020:28-818
    18Spezia20451118:28-1017
    19Bari2038916:30-1417
    20Pescara20281025:39-1414

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation