Result
0:2
03/01/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 17
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Angola | Z Sports 1 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/350) | 84% (439/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (268/350) | 84% (439/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (12/46) | 35% (19/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/87) | 58% (56/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.52 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Travassos ⚽,
- 23', Santos A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Neiva G. ↓, Perea O. ↑,
- 46', Devenish C. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 2, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Rodri (A),
- 56', Santos A. ↓, Assuncao G. ↑,
- 56', Grau J. ↓, Mendonca G. ↑,
- 56', Pedro Lima ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
- 60', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 60', Tomane 🟨,
- 64', Rodri ↓, Bernardo ↑,
- 70', Tomane ↓, Nene ↑,
- 74', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 75', Pinto D. ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 78', Caio 🟨,
- 90+1', Alanzinho ↓, Gower J. ↑,
- 90+2', Landerson 🟨,
- 90+2', Assuncao G. 🟨,
- 90+4', Nene 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
26.1% | Draw
29.4% | Moreirense
44.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AVS's form might have worsened.Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Moreirense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AVS than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AVS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Moreirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AVS - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.6 ↑
(3.05) |
3.18 ↓
(3.21) |
2.12 ↓
(2.56) |
6.5%
(3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. AVS will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Moreirense will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 38.6% – 78%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Moreirense (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 8).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Moreirense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Moreirense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in AVS: Duarte D.
(Inactive)
Molina G.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Jorquera Romero J.
(Ankle Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in AVS: Galletto T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
- Including home match between the teams, AVS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Moreirense?
AVS has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against AVS?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Moreirense were as follows:
17.05.2025
AVS
-
Moreirense
0:3
04.01.2025
Moreirense
-
AVS
1:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 27 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 72 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 26 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 68:15 | 53 | 65 |
| 3 | Benfica | 27 | 19 | 8 | 0 | 58:17 | 41 | 65 |
| 4 | Braga | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 53:27 | 26 | 46 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 33:22 | 11 | 45 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 48:44 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 31:39 | -8 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 29:42 | -13 | 32 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 28:46 | -18 | 30 |
| 11 | Alverca | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Arouca | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 24:31 | -7 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26:48 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:39 | -10 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 20 |
| 18 | AFS | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
