AVS vs Moreirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio do CD das Aves (Vila das Aves).

Liga Portugal - Round 34
Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV4
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	1.19
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
8	19
Shots on target
3	11
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
78% (213/274)	85% (339/398)
Yellow Cards
7	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	1.19
xG on target (xGOT)
0.23	2.20
Total shots
8	19
Shots on target
3	11
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
4	12
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
6	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
10	24
Passes
78% (213/274)	85% (339/398)
Long passes
48% (20/42)	50% (23/46)
Passes in final third
61% (46/76)	73% (70/96)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	33% (2/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	0.82
Throw-ins
19	18
Fouls
24	10
Tackles
55% (12/22)	45% (10/22)
Duels won
50	59
Clearances
14	32
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
8	3
xGOT faced
2.20	0.23
Goals prevented
-0.80	0.23

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Michel 🟨,
8', Kiki 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Alanzinho ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Teguia C. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
33', Assuncao G. A. ↓, Nene ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Roux B. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
48', Fonseca F. 🟨,
50', 0 - 3, Jorquera Romero J. ⚽,
52', Ze Luis 🟨,
54', Kiki 🟨,
59', Michel ↓, Batista G. ↑,
61', Ze Luis ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
61', Lucas Piazon ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
66', Bernardo 🟨,
72', Mercado J. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
73', Galletto T. 🟨,
75', Teguia C. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
75', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
75', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
82', 🟨,
87', Buta L. 🟨,
88', Caio ↓, Mika ↑,
90+1', Lopes V. 🟨,

Chances of winning

AVS
49.2%

Draw
28.2%

Moreirense
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AVS's performance.

Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AVS that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

AVS - Moreirense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.3)	3.35 (3.35)	4.18 ↑ (2.7)	5.5% (10.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AVS - Moreirense?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AVS (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: AVS will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 11).
Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, AVS is considered a favorite.
There will not play in AVS: Rodrigues G. (Injury)
There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury) Hernani Infande (Knee Injury) Ofori L. (Injury) Ramos R. (Inactive)
In the last 1 head-to-head match, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Moreirense?

AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against AVS?

Moreirense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Moreirense were as follows:

04.01.2025 Moreirense - AVS 1:1

Latest results of AVS

11.05.2025 Estrela da Amadora - AVS 0:1 ✺

05.05.2025 AVS - Boavista 1:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Benfica - AVS 6:0 ✺

19.04.2025 AVS - Casa Pia 1:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Braga - AVS 4:1 ✺

Latest results of Moreirense

11.05.2025 Moreirense - Estoril Praia 2:2 ✺

02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Moreirense - Nacional 1:1 ✺

18.04.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Moreirense 3:1 ✺

13.04.2025 Moreirense - Rio Ave 0:2 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estrela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Vitoria Guimaraes	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Estoril	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Gil Vicente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Rio Ave	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Santa Clara	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Moreirense	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	FC Porto	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Sporting CP	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Benfica	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Braga	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Nacional	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Arouca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Casa Pia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Tondela	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Alverca	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Famalicao	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	AFS	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

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