Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 34
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.19 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (213/274) | 85% (339/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.19 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.23 | 2.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (213/274) | 85% (339/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (20/42) | 50% (23/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (46/76) | 73% (70/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (12/22) | 45% (10/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', Michel 🟨,
- 8', Kiki 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Alanzinho ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Teguia C. ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
- 33', Assuncao G. A. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Roux B. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
- 48', Fonseca F. 🟨,
- 50', 0 - 3, Jorquera Romero J. ⚽,
- 52', Ze Luis 🟨,
- 54', Kiki 🟨,
- 59', Michel ↓, Batista G. ↑,
- 61', Ze Luis ↓, Galletto T. ↑,
- 61', Lucas Piazon ↓, Rodrigues R. ↑,
- 66', Bernardo 🟨,
- 72', Mercado J. ↓, Lopes V. ↑,
- 73', Galletto T. 🟨,
- 75', Teguia C. ↓, Asue L. ↑,
- 75', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 75', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Antonisse J. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 87', Buta L. 🟨,
- 88', Caio ↓, Mika ↑,
- 90+1', Lopes V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AVS
49.2% | Draw
28.2% | Moreirense
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AVS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in AVS's performance.Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moreirense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for AVS than the current prediction. (-9.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with AVS that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moreirense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
AVS - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.3) |
3.35
(3.35) |
4.18 ↑
(2.7) |
5.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AVS - Moreirense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. AVS (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
AVS will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 11).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- AVS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, AVS is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in AVS: Rodrigues G.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
Hernani Infande
(Knee Injury)
Ofori L.
(Injury)
Ramos R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, AVS won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has AVS won against Moreirense?
AVS has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against AVS?
Moreirense has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AVS - Moreirense were as follows:
04.01.2025
Moreirense
-
AVS
1:1
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 21 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Braga | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 12 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Arouca | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:18 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 17 | Tondela | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
