Helmond Sport vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 19
Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.44
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
83% (388/469)	78% (294/377)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.25	2.21
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	18
Passes
83% (388/469)	78% (294/377)
Long passes
43% (23/53)	45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)	57% (61/107)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.41
Throw-ins
21	17
Fouls
18	8
Tackles
86% (18/21)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
46	58
Clearances
15	29
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.21	2.25
Goals prevented
-1.79	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Van Dessel S. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Makanza N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Klaasen R. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Makanza N. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Van Dessel S. ⚽, Tehubijuluw D. (A),
56', Foubert L. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Verheijen T. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
61', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
62', Absalem A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
62', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
62', Daneels L. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
69', Leipold A. 🟨,
74', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
80', 2 - 4, Braken S. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
84', Verheijen T. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
88', Amgar A. ↓, Francis S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
63%

Draw
21.1%

MVV Maastricht
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

21.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	4.48 ↑ (4.15)	5.83 ↑ (4.64)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Helmond Sport (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Helmond Sport will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Maastricht is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Breugelmans I. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against MVV Maastricht?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Helmond Sport?

MVV Maastricht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht were as follows:

07.03.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 4:0

27.10.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 1:2

05.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 3:0

08.12.2023 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 1:2

07.04.2023 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 1:2

Latest results of Helmond Sport

28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:3 ✺

31.10.2025 FC Oss - Helmond Sport 0:3 ✺

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - ADO Den Haag 3:4 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag	28	21	2	5	69:30	39	65
2	Cambuur	26	17	6	3	55:29	26	57
3	De Graafschap	28	14	6	8	52:41	11	48
4	Jong PSV	28	14	4	10	58:52	6	46
5	Roda	28	12	9	7	47:41	6	45
6	Willem II	28	12	7	9	38:36	2	43
7	Dordrecht	28	11	7	10	38:37	1	40
8	Almere City	27	12	3	12	55:45	10	39
9	Waalwijk	28	10	8	10	45:43	2	38
10	Den Bosch	28	11	5	12	49:51	-2	38
11	Venlo	28	11	4	13	38:42	-4	37
12	Eindhoven FC	28	10	4	14	40:51	-11	34
13	Jong Utrecht	27	8	9	10	45:48	-3	33
14	Helmond	28	9	5	14	35:48	-13	32
15	FC Emmen	26	8	6	12	42:48	-6	30
16	Jong AZ	28	9	3	16	49:55	-6	30
17	Maastricht	28	8	6	14	32:55	-23	30
18	Oss	28	6	9	13	34:48	-14	27
19	Vitesse	28	9	9	10	41:45	-4	24
20	Jong Ajax	28	5	8	15	35:52	-17	23

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