Helmond Sport vs MVV Maastricht – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

GS Staalwerken Stadion (Helmond).

Eerste Divisie - Round 19
Referee: Van Kommer B. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.44
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
5	8
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Passes
83% (388/469)	78% (294/377)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89	1.44
xG on target (xGOT)
2.25	2.21
Total shots
12	11
Shots on target
5	8
Shots off target
5	1
Blocked Shots
2	2
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
1	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
12	2
Touches in opposition box
24	14
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
8	18
Passes
83% (388/469)	78% (294/377)
Long passes
43% (23/53)	45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)	57% (61/107)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	47% (8/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.96	1.41
Throw-ins
21	17
Fouls
18	8
Tackles
86% (18/21)	68% (15/22)
Duels won
46	58
Clearances
15	29
Interceptions
11	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
2.21	2.25
Goals prevented
-1.79	0.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Van Dessel S. ⚽, Braken S. (A),
40', 1 - 1, Lukowicz M. ⚽, Makanza N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Klaasen R. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
53', 2 - 1, Makanza N. ⚽,
56', 2 - 2, Van Dessel S. ⚽, Tehubijuluw D. (A),
56', Foubert L. ↓, Silva Timas I. ↑,
59', 2 - 3, Verheijen T. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
61', Lukowicz M. ↓, Bajrami L. ↑,
62', Absalem A. ↓, Essakkati T. ↑,
62', Van Den Eynden F. ↓, Koglin B. ↑,
62', Daneels L. ↓, Ingason H. ↑,
69', Leipold A. 🟨,
74', Leipold A. ↓, Ogenia J. ↑,
80', 2 - 4, Braken S. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
84', Verheijen T. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
88', Amgar A. ↓, Francis S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Helmond Sport
63%

Draw
21.1%

MVV Maastricht
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

21.7%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helmond Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Helmond Sport's performance.

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helmond Sport than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.63)	4.48 ↑ (4.15)	5.83 ↑ (4.64)	6.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1 - Helmond Sport (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Helmond Sport will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Helmond Sport (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 2.
Helmond Sport has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Maastricht is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Helmond Sport is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Breugelmans I. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helmond Sport won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Helmond Sport won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:14. (average 1.8:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Helmond Sport won against MVV Maastricht?

Helmond Sport has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Helmond Sport?

MVV Maastricht has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht were as follows:

07.03.2025 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 4:0

27.10.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 1:2

05.04.2024 MVV Maastricht - Helmond Sport 3:0

08.12.2023 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 1:2

07.04.2023 Helmond Sport - MVV Maastricht 1:2

Latest results of Helmond Sport

28.11.2025 Cambuur - Helmond Sport 0:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

21.11.2025 De Graafschap - Helmond Sport 3:1 ✺

08.11.2025 Helmond Sport - Jong PSV 2:3 ✺

31.10.2025 FC Oss - Helmond Sport 0:3 ✺

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

30.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Roda 0:0 ✺

25.11.2025 Waalwijk - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

21.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺

07.11.2025 Almere City - MVV Maastricht 4:0 ✺

02.11.2025 MVV Maastricht - ADO Den Haag 3:4 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie