Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Trinidense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
01/11/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 19
  • Referee: Colman A. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.27
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
69% (258/373)73% (305/418)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.070.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.400.52
Total shots
206
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
133
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1312
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (258/373)73% (305/418)
Long passes
40% (32/80)44% (43/97)
Passes in final third
44% (53/121)53% (68/129)
Crosses
14% (2/14)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.430.56
Throw-ins
2027
Fouls
915
Tackles
87% (13/15)60% (6/10)
Duels won
6850
Clearances
2729
Interceptions
137
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.520.40
Goals prevented
0.520.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Zarza P. , Baez Mendoza R. ,
  • 46', Alvarez A. , Romero F. ,
  • 48', Vera J. 🟨,
  • 65', Rayer T. , Gaona M. ,
  • 65', Benitez H. , Bailone I. ,
  • 66', Avalos Gimenez F. A. , Prieto R. ,
  • 66', Almeida M. , Gaona Lugo O. ,
  • 73', Arrua C. , Jara F. ,
  • 73', Sanabria T. , Meza L. ,
  • 73', Camacho N. , Salcedo J. ,
  • 76', Melgarejo D. , Mendoza S. ,
  • 79', Benitez C. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Salcedo J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nacional Asuncion
38.8%
Draw
29.1%
Sportivo Trinidense
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 26% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 25.7% 29.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacional Asuncion's form might have worsened.
  • Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacional Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.07)
    3.21
    (3.53)
    2.99
    (3.11)
    7.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Sportivo Trinidense (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Sportivo Trinidense (3.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 and 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion 0:1
    17.08.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion 0:2
    20.05.2025 Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion 2:0
    21.09.2024 Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion 0:2
    19.07.2024 Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense 0:0
    Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion752010:5517
    2Nacional Asuncion641112:5713
    3Recoleta63219:5411
    4Ameliano73228:5311
    5Cerro Porteno73228:6211
    6Sportivo Trinidense72417:6110
    7Sp. Luqueno73139:10-110
    8Guarani622213:948
    9Rubio Nu61324:8-46
    10Libertad Asuncion71246:9-35
    112 de Mayo60243:12-92
    12San Lorenzo60154:13-91

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