Result
1:1
09/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Juliadoza G. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports, Tigo Sports+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.59 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (189/270) | 74% (238/322) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (189/270) | 74% (238/322) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (34/66) | 43% (31/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (51/95) | 59% (62/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Prieto R. ⚽, Canete Torres A. D. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Camacho N. ⚽, Baez Mendoza R. (A),
- 43', Camacho N. 🟨,
- 44', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
- 45', Ramirez Antunez R. C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Benitez G. ↓, Vargas S. ↑,
- 46', Melgarejo D. ↓, Morinigo A. ↑,
- 61', Morinigo A. 🟨,
- 62', Benitez H. A. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
- 62', Colman Escobar D. J. ↓, Santacruz J. ↑,
- 62', Zarza P. ↓, Mana N. ↑,
- 63', Camacho N. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 69', Baez Mendoza R. 🟨,
- 69', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 77', Valdez I. ↓, Gaona Lugo O. ↑,
- 84', Baez Mendoza R. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 87', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 88', Vargas S. ↓, Trinidad J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
25.1% | Draw
30.1% | Nacional Asuncion
44.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.7 ↑
(3.25) |
3.07 ↓
(3.13) |
2.09 ↓
(2.26) |
7.6%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nacional (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nacional will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Nacional Asuncion has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
01.11.2025
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
02.10.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:1
17.08.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
20.05.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:0
21.09.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
