Result
0:2
17/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Benitez D. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (157/279) | 70% (248/355) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 2.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 56% (157/279) | 70% (248/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 18% (14/77) | 39% (27/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (53/119) | 55% (61/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.35 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Mendoza S. 🟥,
- 37', Salcedo J. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Bailone I. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gauto N. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 46', Camacho N. ↓, Melgarejo D. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 2, Bailone I. (Pen),
- 55', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 56', Roman J. 🟨,
- 58', Gimenez O. 🟨,
- 59', Roman J. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez J. ↓, Maciel A. R. ↑,
- 66', Bailone I. ↓, Jara F. ↑,
- 67', Zarza P. 🟨,
- 68', Salcedo J. ↓, Viera G. ↑,
- 68', Romero F. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
- 90+4', Canete Torres A. D. 🟨,
- 90+7', (Pen),
Chances of winning
Sportivo Trinidense
30.5% | Draw
31% | Nacional Asuncion
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↑
(2.82) |
2.97 ↓
(3.05) |
2.41 ↓
(2.54) |
8.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sportivo Trinidense will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 5)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 1.
- Sportivo Trinidense is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Trinidense won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo Trinidense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Nacional Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Nacional Asuncion has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion were as follows:
20.05.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
2:0
21.09.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:2
19.07.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
11.05.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Nacional Asuncion
0:1
18.02.2024
Nacional Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
2:1
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Latest results of Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cerro Porteno | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 18:12 | 6 | 20 |
| 2 | Sp. Luqueno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 17 |
| 4 | Guarani | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | General Caballero JLM | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 8 | 2 de Mayo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 9 | Recoleta | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Olimpia Asuncion | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
