Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (147/226) | 72% (286/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (147/226) | 72% (286/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/59) | 38% (31/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (41/83) | 52% (50/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.84 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
- 16', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ferreira P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dudu ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 46', Isaac ↓, Joel ↑,
- 59', Venancio F. 🟨,
- 64', Joel 🟨,
- 67', Ze Vitor ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 67', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 71', Costa J. ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 71', Venancio F. ↓, Sidney Lima ↑,
- 76', Paulinho Boia ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 81', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 81', Ricardinho ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 88', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 90', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Araujo M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
51.3% | Draw
28.7% | Nacional
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Santa Clara - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.81) |
3.27 ↓
(3.36) |
4.73 ↓
(4.75) |
5.6%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Santa Clara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Jose Gomes
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Nacional?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Santa Clara?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Nacional were as follows:
04.11.2024
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
2:0
17.03.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
0:1
11.01.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
2:1
04.11.2023
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
1:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 |
| 4 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
