Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | AntenaPLAY |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4 |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 0.52 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
65% (147/226) | 72% (286/395) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 0.52 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.92 | 0.84 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 15 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 23 |
Passes |
---|
65% (147/226) | 72% (286/395) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (18/59) | 38% (31/81) |
Passes in final third |
---|
49% (41/83) | 52% (50/96) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (3/12) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.67 | 0.31 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
50% (7/14) | 70% (7/10) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 57 |
Clearances Total |
---|
26 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.84 | 0.92 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.84 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Costa J. ⚽,
- 16', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Ferreira P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dudu ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 46', Isaac ↓, Joel ↑,
- 59', Venancio F. 🟨,
- 64', Joel 🟨,
- 67', Ze Vitor ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 67', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 71', Costa J. ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 71', Venancio F. ↓, Sidney Lima ↑,
- 76', Paulinho Boia ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 81', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 81', Ricardinho ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
- 88', Ferreira P. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 90', Soumare D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Araujo M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara 51.3% | Draw 28.7% | Nacional 20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Santa Clara - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.85 ↑ (1.81) |
3.27 ↓ (3.36) |
4.73 ↓ (4.75) |
5.6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers) Network on : Gol (English)
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
Santa Clara will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Santa Clara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
Wendell
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Jose Gomes
(Injury)
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Nacional?
Santa Clara has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Santa Clara?
Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Nacional were as follows:
04.11.2024
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
2:0
17.03.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
0:1
11.01.2024
Santa Clara
-
Nacional
2:1
04.11.2023
Nacional
-
Santa Clara
1:1
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estrela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Estoril | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Gil Vicente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Rio Ave | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Santa Clara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Moreirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | FC Porto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Sporting CP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Benfica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Braga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Nacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Arouca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Tondela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Alverca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Famalicao | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2