Santa Clara vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal Santa Clara - Nacional
Result
1:0
30/03/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 27
  • Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.52
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
65% (147/226)72% (286/395)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.830.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.920.84
Total shots
139
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
1815
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1623
Passes
65% (147/226)72% (286/395)
Long passes
31% (18/59)38% (31/81)
Passes in final third
49% (41/83)52% (50/96)
Crosses
25% (3/12)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.670.31
Fouls
2316
Tackles
50% (7/14)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4457
Clearances Total
2625
Interceptions
112
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
44
xGOT faced
0.840.92
Goals prevented
0.84-0.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Costa J. ,
  • 16', Soumare D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Ferreira P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Dudu , Macedo R. ,
  • 46', Isaac , Joel ,
  • 59', Venancio F. 🟨,
  • 64', Joel 🟨,
  • 67', Ze Vitor , Leo Santos ,
  • 67', Daniel Penha , Labidi C. ,
  • 71', Costa J. , Vinicius Lopes ,
  • 71', Venancio F. , Sidney Lima ,
  • 76', Paulinho Boia , Yamada F. ,
  • 81', Lucas Soares , Diogo Calila ,
  • 81', Ricardinho , Daniel Borges ,
  • 88', Ferreira P. , Serginho ,
  • 90', Soumare D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Araujo M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santa Clara
51.3%
Draw
28.7%
Nacional
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.1% 28.1% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 29.6% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Santa Clara - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (1.81)
    3.27
    (3.36)
    4.73
    (4.75)
    5.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and Liga Portugal with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : Gol (English)
  • What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: Santa Clara will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Santa Clara could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Santa Clara is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P. (Knee Injury) Wendell (Injury)
    • There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nacional: Jose Gomes (Injury)
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Santa Clara won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:11 (average 2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Santa Clara won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:4 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Nacional were as follows:
    04.11.2024 Nacional - Santa Clara 2:0
    17.03.2024 Santa Clara - Nacional 0:1
    11.01.2024 Santa Clara - Nacional 2:1
    04.11.2023 Nacional - Santa Clara 1:1
    Latest results of Santa Clara
    15.03.2025 Gil Vicente - Santa Clara 0:1
    09.03.2025 Santa Clara - Moreirense 1:1
    02.03.2025 Boavista - Santa Clara 1:0
    15.02.2025 Santa Clara - Benfica 0:1
    Latest results of Nacional
    08.03.2025 Benfica - Nacional 3:0
    01.03.2025 Nacional - Famalicão 2:1
    21.02.2025 Braga - Nacional 1:0
    15.02.2025 Nacional - Estoril Praia 2:2
    09.02.2025 Farense - Nacional 0:2
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estrela00000:000
    2Vitoria Guimaraes00000:000
    3Estoril00000:000
    4Gil Vicente00000:000
    5Rio Ave00000:000
    6Santa Clara00000:000
    7Moreirense00000:000
    8FC Porto00000:000
    9Sporting CP00000:000
    10Benfica00000:000
    11Braga00000:000
    12Nacional00000:000
    13Arouca00000:000
    14Casa Pia00000:000
    15Tondela00000:000
    16Alverca00000:000
    17Famalicao00000:000
    18AFS00000:000

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