Result
2:3
12/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 78 | 98 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 45 | 66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Lucas Barros 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Costinha (Pen),
- 41', Witi 🟨,
- 44', Ulisses 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽, Gustavo (A),
- 54', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Witi (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, dos Anjos D. (Pen),
- 70', Xavier ↓, Farias L. ↑,
- 74', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
- 78', Costinha ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 79', Gomes R. ↓, Cuba ↑,
- 79', Danilovic V. 🟨,
- 85', Tavares H. ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 85', dos Anjos D. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
- 86', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 86', Witi ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 90+1', Gustavo ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Danilovic V. (A),
- 90+8', Ramirez J. ↓, Pola J. ↑,
- 90+8', Esteves L. ↓, Marakis S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tondela
21.5% | Draw
25.2% | Nacional
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tondela - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(3.43) |
3.67 ↑
(3.45) |
1.75 ↓
(2.07) |
7.6%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tondela - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3.
- Tondela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Tondela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Tondela won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Nacional?
Tondela has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Tondela?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Nacional were as follows:
06.01.2024
Nacional
-
Tondela
1:1
29.01.2023
Tondela
-
Nacional
1:0
09.11.2022
Nacional
-
Tondela
1:0
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15:3 | 12 | 18 |
| 2 | Vizela | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Torreense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Maritimo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Chaves | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 6 | Leiria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Felgueiras | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Feirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | SC Farense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 10 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 9 |
| 13 | Penafiel | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Lusitania FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Pacos Ferreira | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 17 | Benfica B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
