Tondela vs Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Tondela - Nacional
Result
2:3
12/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33
  • Referee: Silva D. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
511
Shots on Goal
29
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
21
Free Kicks
1317
Corner Kicks
45
Offsides
63
Throw-ins
2336
Goalkeeper Saves
60
Fouls
1110
Yellow Cards
23
Attacks
7898
Dangerous Attacks
4566

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Lucas Barros 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Costinha (Pen),
  • 41', Witi 🟨,
  • 44', Ulisses 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. , Gustavo (A),
  • 54', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel , Witi (A),
  • 58', 2 - 2, dos Anjos D. (Pen),
  • 70', Xavier , Farias L. ,
  • 74', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
  • 78', Costinha , Sithole S. ,
  • 79', Gomes R. , Cuba ,
  • 79', Danilovic V. 🟨,
  • 85', Tavares H. , Roberto ,
  • 85', dos Anjos D. , Ceitil A. ,
  • 86', Jose Gomes , Sousa A. ,
  • 86', Witi , Macedo R. ,
  • 90+1', Gustavo , Dudu ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Carlos Daniel , Danilovic V. (A),
  • 90+8', Ramirez J. , Pola J. ,
  • 90+8', Esteves L. , Marakis S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tondela
21.5%
Draw
25.2%
Nacional
53.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 27.3% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27% 26.9% 46.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.
  • Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tondela - Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (3.43)
    3.67
    (3.45)
    1.75
    (2.07)
    7.6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Tondela - Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3.
    • Tondela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tondela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Nacional is a favorite.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Tondela won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Nacional were as follows:
    06.01.2024 Nacional - Tondela 1:1
    29.01.2023 Tondela - Nacional 1:0
    09.11.2022 Nacional - Tondela 1:0
    Latest results of Tondela
    04.05.2024 Oliveirense - Tondela 2:1
    28.04.2024 Tondela - Benfica B 1:1
    20.04.2024 Santa Clara - Tondela 1:0
    13.04.2024 Tondela - Penafiel 0:1
    06.04.2024 Feirense - Tondela 1:3
    Latest results of Nacional
    05.05.2024 Nacional - Porto B 4:0
    28.04.2024 Belenenses - Nacional 1:3
    22.04.2024 Nacional - Benfica B 3:1
    06.04.2024 Nacional - AVS 2:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3