Result
2:3
12/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | Sport TV |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots on Goal |
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2 | 9 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
1 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
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2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 17 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 5 |
Offsides |
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6 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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23 | 36 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
6 | 0 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 10 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 3 |
Attacks |
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78 | 98 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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45 | 66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Lucas Barros 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Costinha (Pen),
- 41', Witi 🟨,
- 44', Ulisses 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 1 - 1, Ramirez J. ⚽, Gustavo (A),
- 54', 1 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Witi (A),
- 58', 2 - 2, dos Anjos D. (Pen),
- 70', Xavier ↓, Farias L. ↑,
- 74', dos Anjos D. 🟨,
- 78', Costinha ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 79', Gomes R. ↓, Cuba ↑,
- 79', Danilovic V. 🟨,
- 85', Tavares H. ↓, Roberto ↑,
- 85', dos Anjos D. ↓, Ceitil A. ↑,
- 86', Jose Gomes ↓, Sousa A. ↑,
- 86', Witi ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 90+1', Gustavo ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 3, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Danilovic V. (A),
- 90+8', Ramirez J. ↓, Pola J. ↑,
- 90+8', Esteves L. ↓, Marakis S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tondela 21.5% | Draw 25.2% | Nacional 53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tondela's form might have worsened.Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tondela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tondela - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.31 ↑ (3.43) |
3.67 ↑ (3.45) |
1.75 ↓ (2.07) |
7.6% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tondela - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3.
- Tondela is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Nacional is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Tondela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Nacional is a favorite.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Tondela won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.
- Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Nacional?
Tondela has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Tondela?
Nacional has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Nacional were as follows:
06.01.2024
Nacional
-
Tondela
1:1
29.01.2023
Tondela
-
Nacional
1:0
09.11.2022
Nacional
-
Tondela
1:0
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Nacional
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Leixoes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Feirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Penafiel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Portimonense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Vizela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Chaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Oliveirense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Torreense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maritimo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Pacos Ferreira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leiria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Academico Viseu | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lusitania FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | SC Farense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Felgueiras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | FC Porto B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Sporting CP B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Benfica B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3