Result
22/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
56.5% | Draw
24.4% | Once Caldas
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-1%)
Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62
(1.62) |
3.75 ↓
(3.8) |
4.79 ↑
(4.75) |
9.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 4.
- Atlético Nacional has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Once Caldas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Atlético Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 1.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Nacional?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Once Caldas were as follows:
09.10.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
11.07.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
1:3
19.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
01.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
0:0
25.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
4:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Once Caldas
Draw
Second stage1/8-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Fortaleza | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Santa Fe | Alianza | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Real Cundinamarca | Pereira | 2 : 2, 3 : 4 |
| 4 | Millonarios | Envigado | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | America De Cali | Bucaramanga | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Atletico F.C. | Junior | 2 : 1, 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Atl. Nacional | Quindio | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Dep. Pasto | 4 : 0, 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ind. Medellin | Santa Fe | 3 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Pereira | Envigado | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | America De Cali | Junior | 1 : 1, 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Atl. Nacional | Once Caldas | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal
