Result
1:2
19/06/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Primera A - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 6
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/428) | 87% (364/419) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/428) | 87% (364/419) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 69% (37/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (76/113) | 64% (56/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 27 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.60 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | -0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Salazar A. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽,
- 32', Barrios M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Castano J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia Castillo A. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
- 46', Castro J. ↓, Uribe C. ↑,
- 57', Rosa J. ↓, Landazuri L. ↑,
- 61', Beltran E. ↓, Valencia Y. ↑,
- 65', Salazar A. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 67', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 67', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 75', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 76', Castano J. ↓, Rincon Jacome H. ↑,
- 76', 0 - 2, Hinestroza M. ⚽,
- 80', Zuleta M. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 80', Rojas I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 83', Campuzano J. ↓, Garcia S. ↑,
- 84', Morelos A. ↓, Toscano Bassa K. D. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Moreno D. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/duk3cdwr
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
26.6% | Draw
26.8% | Atlético Nacional
46.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.48 ↑
(3.24) |
3.46 ↑
(3.13) |
2.03 ↓
(2.32) |
7%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
- AH +0.5 - Once Caldas (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 4 and 3)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.
- Once Caldas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Atlético Nacional has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.8:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Nacional?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
01.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
0:0
25.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
4:0
27.07.2024
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
07.07.2024
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
01.02.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
1:1
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Draw
Apertura - Play OffsFinal| 1 | Santa Fe | Ind. Medellin | 2 : 1, 0 : 0 |
Which TV channels are streaming of Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
