Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Orlando City - New York Red Bulls
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.40
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2820
Through passes
0% (0/1)25% (1/4)
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Long passes
57% (38/67)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
64% (68/106)82% (138/169)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.15
Fouls
1114
Tackles
47% (7/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances Total
1524
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.402.02
Goals prevented
0.401.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 45', Donkor R. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 56', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 62', Pasalic M. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
  • 62', Ngoma S. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 64', Stroud P. 🟨,
  • 68', Muriel L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
  • 78', Stroud P. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
  • 78', Hall J. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 79', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
  • 79', Ojeda M. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
  • 79', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
  • 89', Valencia O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
53%		Draw
25.2%		New York Red Bulls
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Orlando City - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.8 ↓
    (1.96)    		 3.77 ↓
    (3.82)    		 4.36 ↑
    (3.65)    		 5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Orlando City have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Orlando City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Loyola F. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez N. (Thigh Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:25 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2
    30.11.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    01.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 1:0
    30.03.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 1:1
    03.06.2023 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 0:3
    Latest results of Orlando City
    05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Orlando City 1:2 ✺
    22.03.2025 Orlando City - DC United 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls 0:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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