Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - New York Red Bulls
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.40
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2820
Through passes
0% (0/1)25% (1/4)
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Long passes
57% (38/67)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
64% (68/106)82% (138/169)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.15
Fouls
1114
Tackles
47% (7/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances Total
1524
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.402.02
Goals prevented
0.401.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 45', Donkor R. , Carmona W. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 56', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 62', Pasalic M. , Rafael Santos ,
  • 62', Ngoma S. , Hall J. ,
  • 64', Stroud P. 🟨,
  • 68', Muriel L. , McGuire D. ,
  • 78', Stroud P. , Harper C. ,
  • 78', Hall J. , Bogacz W. ,
  • 79', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 79', Ojeda M. , Enrique R. ,
  • 79', Thorhallsson D. , Atuesta E. ,
  • 89', Valencia O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
53%
Draw
25.2%
New York Red Bulls
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Orlando City - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.96)
    3.77
    (3.82)
    4.36
    (3.65)
    5%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Orlando City have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Orlando City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Loyola F. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez N. (Thigh Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:25 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2
    30.11.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    01.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 1:0
    30.03.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 1:1
    03.06.2023 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 0:3
    Latest results of Orlando City
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2