Orlando City vs New York Red Bulls – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS
Football MLS Orlando City - New York Red Bulls
Result
0:0
12/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
usaUsaMLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.680.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.40
Total shots
149
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
104
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2820
Through passes
0% (0/1)25% (1/4)
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
81% (332/410)84% (359/425)
Long passes
57% (38/67)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
64% (68/106)82% (138/169)
Crosses
36% (5/14)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.15
Fouls
1114
Tackles
47% (7/15)82% (14/17)
Duels won
5147
Clearances Total
1524
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.402.02
Goals prevented
0.401.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Pasalic M. 🟨,
  • 31', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 45', Donkor R. ↓, Carmona W. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Ngoma S. 🟨,
  • 56', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 62', Pasalic M. ↓, Rafael Santos ↑,
  • 62', Ngoma S. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
  • 64', Stroud P. 🟨,
  • 68', Muriel L. ↓, McGuire D. ↑,
  • 78', Stroud P. ↓, Harper C. ↑,
  • 78', Hall J. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
  • 79', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
  • 79', Ojeda M. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
  • 79', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Atuesta E. ↑,
  • 89', Valencia O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
53%		Draw
25.2%		New York Red Bulls
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 25% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 25.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
    •

    Orlando City - New York Red Bulls Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.8 ↓
    (1.96)    		 3.77 ↓
    (3.82)    		 4.36 ↑
    (3.65)    		 5%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - New York Red Bulls?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 50.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Recently Orlando City have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Orlando City is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Loyola F. (Thigh Injury) Rodriguez N. (Thigh Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R. (Knee Injury) Morgan L. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Duncan K. (Knee Injury) Harper C. (Knee Injury) Morales M. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:25 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.6:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2
    30.11.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 0:1
    01.06.2024 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 1:0
    30.03.2024 Orlando City - New York Red Bulls 1:1
    03.06.2023 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 0:3
    Latest results of Orlando City
    05.04.2025 Philadelphia Union - Orlando City 0:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Orlando City 1:2 ✺
    22.03.2025 Orlando City - DC United 4:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 New York City - Orlando City 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of New York Red Bulls
    05.04.2025 New York Red Bulls - Chicago Fire 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 New England Revolution - New York Red Bulls 2:1
    22.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Toronto FC 2:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 New York Red Bulls - Orlando City 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Atlanta United - New York Red Bulls 0:0 ✺
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 33186960:411960
    2Minnesota United ✔ 331610755:371858
    3Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders321310955:47849
    6Austin FC321281235:43-844
    7Portland Timbers3311111141:44-344
    8FC Dallas3210111149:52-341
    9Real Salt Lake321241636:46-1040
    10Colorado Rapids331171542:54-1240
    11San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    12Houston Dynamo33991543:56-1336
    13St. Louis City33871842:56-1431
    14Sporting Kansas City33762046:70-2427
    15Los Angeles Galaxy32591842:64-2224


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 33206757:332466
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 33195949:40962
    3Inter Miami ✔ 32178772:531959
    4Charlotte ✔ 331821353:46756
    5New York City ✔ 331751149:42756
    6Nashville SC331661156:401654
    7Orlando City321411760:451553
    8Chicago Fire331571166:58852
    9Columbus Crew331312852:50251
    10New York Red Bulls331271447:44343
    11New England Revolution33981642:49-735
    12Toronto FC325141333:40-729
    13CF Montreal336101734:57-2328
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United335101829:65-3625

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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