Orlando City vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.22
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Long passes
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
77% (98/128)86% (160/185)
Crosses
0% (0/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
148
Tackles
47% (9/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.221.79
Goals prevented
0.220.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno S. , Antony ,
  • 66', Antony 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 67', Muriel L. , Ojeda M. ,
  • 68', McGuire D. , Enrique R. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 78', Araujo C. , Gerbet J. ,
  • 78', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 86', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
59%
Draw
21.7%
Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.28)
    4.36
    (3.64)
    4.84
    (2.89)
    5.6%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Orlando City (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orlando City will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    2026

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC22007:076
    2San Jose Earthquakes22005:056
    3Los Angeles FC22005:056
    4Vancouver Whitecaps22004:046
    5Los Angeles Galaxy21104:134
    6FC Dallas21103:214
    7Minnesota United21103:214
    8Austin FC21103:214
    9Seattle Sounders21013:213
    10Real Salt Lake21012:203
    11Colorado Rapids21012:203
    12Portland Timbers21013:4-13
    13Houston Dynamo21012:3-13
    14St. Louis City20111:3-21
    15Sporting Kansas City20112:5-31


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New York Red Bulls22003:126
    2Nashville SC21104:134
    3New York City21103:214
    4Chicago Fire21014:223
    5FC Cincinnati21012:113
    6DC United21011:103
    7Inter Miami21014:5-13
    8Columbus Crew20114:5-11
    9Charlotte20111:4-31
    10Philadelphia Union20021:3-20
    11Orlando City20023:6-30
    12Toronto FC20022:6-40
    13New England Revolution20021:5-40
    14Atlanta Utd20020:4-40
    15CF Montreal20020:8-80

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)