Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (342/401) | 90% (528/585) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (342/401) | 90% (528/585) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (98/128) | 86% (160/185) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 12% (3/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. ⚽, Atuesta E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Moreno S. ↓, Antony ↑,
- 66', Antony 🟨,
- 67', Fernandez O. ↓, Lassiter A. ↑,
- 67', Fory J. ↓, Bravo C. ↑,
- 67', Muriel L. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 68', McGuire D. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
- 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
- 74', Kelsy K. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
- 78', Araujo C. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
- 78', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 86', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
- 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orlando City
59% | Draw
21.7% | Portland Timbers
19.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(2.28) |
4.36 ↑
(3.64) |
4.84 ↑
(2.89) |
5.6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
- Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E.
(Thigh Injury)
Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Rodriguez N.
(Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K.
(Inactive)
McGraw Z.
(Back Injury)
Pantemis J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Portland: Chara D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City won against Portland Timbers?
Orlando City has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portland Timbers won against Orlando City?
Portland Timbers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando City - Portland Timbers were as follows:
Latest results of Orlando City
Latest results of Portland Timbers
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
