Orlando City vs Portland Timbers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Orlando City - Portland Timbers
Result
1:0
24/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.22
Total shots
147
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
814
Passes
85% (342/401)90% (528/585)
Long passes
44% (16/36)57% (26/46)
Passes in final third
77% (98/128)86% (160/185)
Crosses
0% (0/5)12% (3/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.090.59
Throw-ins
811
Fouls
148
Tackles
47% (9/19)57% (12/21)
Duels won
4146
Clearances
3224
Interceptions
69
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.221.79
Goals prevented
0.220.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, McGuire D. , Atuesta E. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Moreno S. , Antony ,
  • 66', Antony 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez O. , Lassiter A. ,
  • 67', Fory J. , Bravo C. ,
  • 67', Muriel L. , Ojeda M. ,
  • 68', McGuire D. , Enrique R. ,
  • 74', Angulo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kelsy K. , Mora F. ,
  • 78', Araujo C. , Gerbet J. ,
  • 78', Angulo I. , Smith K. ,
  • 86', Pasalic M. , Thorhallsson D. ,
  • 90+3', Zuparic D. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Schlegel R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Jansson R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orlando City
59%
Draw
21.7%
Portland Timbers
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.4% 25.9% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 25.5% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
  • Portland Timbers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portland Timbers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portland Timbers than the current prediction. (+12.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portland Timbers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando City - Portland Timbers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.28)
    4.36
    (3.64)
    4.84
    (2.89)
    5.6%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orlando City - Portland Timbers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 1.
    • Orlando City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Portland has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Portland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Orlando City is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Orlando City: Atuesta E. (Thigh Injury) Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Rodriguez N. (Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Portland: Kelsy K. (Inactive) McGraw Z. (Back Injury) Pantemis J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portland: Chara D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 3.5:1.5).
    Latest results of Orlando City
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)