Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (231/303) | 83% (323/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.70 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 25 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (231/303) | 83% (323/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (18/58) | 46% (25/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (32/57) | 69% (94/136) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.29 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 25 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 31% (5/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.70 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
- 15', Petriccione J. 🟨,
- 39', Pontisso S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Cisse A. ⚽, Iemmello P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Petriccione J. ↓, Buglio D. ↑,
- 46', Pierozzi N. ↓, Bereszynski B. ↑,
- 50', Iemmello P. 🟨,
- 67', Le Douaron J. ↓, Brunori M. ↑,
- 72', Pontisso S. ↓, Alesi G. ↑,
- 72', Di Chiara G. ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
- 73', Augello T. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 74', Peda P. 🟨,
- 77', Ranocchia F. ↓, Corona G. ↑,
- 78', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 84', Cisse A. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 89', Iemmello P. ↓, Bettella D. ↑,
- 90+2', Palumbo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
28.5% | Draw
28.8% | Palermo
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Palermo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Catanzaro - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.13) |
3.27 ↓
(3.43) |
2.2 ↑
(2.11) |
6.3%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Palermo will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.2% – 83%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.
- Catanzaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Palermo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Palermo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F.
(Injury)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)
- There will not play in Palermo: Bani M.
(Injury)
Bardi F.
(Foot Injury)
Gyasi E.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Catanzaro: Verrengia B.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Palermo?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Catanzaro?
Palermo has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Palermo were as follows:
27.04.2025
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:3
15.12.2024
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
26.01.2024
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:1
01.12.2023
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Palermo
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 53:24 | 29 | 56 |
| 2 | Monza | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 54 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48:24 | 24 | 53 |
| 4 | Palermo | 26 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 45:19 | 26 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 | Modena | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 35:20 | 15 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Cesena | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34:37 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Empoli | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:36 | -4 | 30 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 31:36 | -5 | 30 |
| 12 | Padova | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:32 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Avellino | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 30:42 | -12 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 26 |
| 16 | Mantova | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Spezia | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:34 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Entella | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
| 19 | Bari | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 21:39 | -18 | 22 |
| 20 | Pescara | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 30:51 | -21 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
