Result
1:3
27/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 35
- Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (421/490) | 81% (335/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (421/490) | 81% (335/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 45% (30/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (103/134) | 63% (60/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (9/26) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.20 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Bonini F. (Own goal),
- 26', 0 - 2, Segre J. ⚽, Brunori M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Petriccione J. ↓, Pontisso S. ↑,
- 46', Compagnon M. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Biasci T. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 60', Pierozzi N. 🟨,
- 64', Brighenti N. 🟨,
- 72', Brighenti N. ↓, Seck D. ↑,
- 73', Pierozzi N. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 74', Cassandro T. 🟨,
- 82', Ilie R. ↓, Buso N. ↑,
- 88', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 88', Segre J. ↓, Ranocchia F. ↑,
- 88', Brunori M. ↓, Verre V. ↑,
- 88', Quagliata G. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 3, Le Douaron J. ⚽, Verre V. (A),
Chances of winning
Catanzaro
34.2% | Draw
29% | Palermo
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Catanzaro - Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.75 ↑
(2.48) |
3.21 ↓
(3.45) |
2.56 ↓
(2.63) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Catanzaro - Palermo?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Palermo will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 58.6% – 97%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Catanzaro won against Palermo?
Catanzaro has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Catanzaro?
Palermo has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Catanzaro - Palermo were as follows:
15.12.2024
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
26.01.2024
Catanzaro
-
Palermo
1:1
01.12.2023
Palermo
-
Catanzaro
1:2
Latest results of Catanzaro
Latest results of Palermo
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
