Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 31
- Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 34', Kask K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 65', Korre U. 🟨,
- 69', Baptista T. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 77', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Mannilaan M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
57.6% | Draw
22.4% | Pärnu Vaprus
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.65) |
4.12 ↑
(3.84) |
4.59 ↑
(3.94) |
8.5%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Nõmme Kalju will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 14 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 49:17. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme Kalju?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
10.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:2
27.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:2
01.03.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:3
24.01.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:3
09.11.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
