Result
2:2
27/06/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 18
- Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Patrikejevs I. ⚽, Tarassenkov D. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Veensalu E. ⚽, Vallik V. (A),
- 22', Madissoo R. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 29', 1 - 2, Kask K. ⚽, Tarassenkov D. (A),
- 33', Aloe K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Siht R. 🟨,
- 58', 2 - 2, Pajo T. ⚽,
- 60', Jabir I. ↓, Musolitin O. ↑,
- 60', Ivanov N. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
- 76', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 85', Vallik V. 🟨,
- 85', Poder J. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
15.2% | Draw
21.1% | Nõmme Kalju
63.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.08 ↑
(5.43) |
4.36 ↑
(4.25) |
1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nõmme Kalju: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 0.
- Pärnu Vaprus is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 13:55. (average 0.7:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 8:36. (average 0.7:3.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme Kalju?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 0 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
01.03.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:3
24.01.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:3
09.11.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
15.09.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:4
03.07.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
4:2
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 51:16 | 35 | 50 |
| 2 | Flora | 21 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 45:18 | 27 | 47 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 35 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
