Result
1:2
10/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 23
- Referee: Pukk M. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽, Kapper S. (A),
- 45+1', Pajo T. 🟨,
- 45+2', Aloe K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Musolitin O. ↓, Ivanov N. ↑,
- 46', Kask K. ↓, Lotar Eyang E. E. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Siht R. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 59', Boronilstsikov A. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 59', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
- 69', Korre U. ↓, Podholjuzin M. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Aloe K. ⚽,
- 71', Valja H. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 71', Limberg M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 79', Sild J. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
- 87', Paalberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Nõmme Kalju
53% | Draw
25.3% | Pärnu Vaprus
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nõmme Kalju's form might have worsened.Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pärnu Vaprus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+19.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nõmme Kalju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.33) |
4.03 ↓
(5.05) |
4.71 ↓
(7.1) |
-2%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 50%). Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pärnu Vaprus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nõmme Kalju won 15 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 53:15. (average 2.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme Kalju won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Nõmme Kalju has won 8 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Nõmme Kalju?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 0 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme Kalju - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
27.06.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
2:2
01.03.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:3
24.01.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:3
09.11.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Pärnu Vaprus
2:1
15.09.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:4
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 37:20 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Kalju | 23 | 14 | 2 | 7 | 47:27 | 20 | 44 |
| 5 | Narva | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 39 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 33 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | 30:59 | -29 | 19 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 26:47 | -21 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 23 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 23 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 23:71 | -48 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
