Result
1:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Jackson S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (266/390) | 76% (318/417) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (266/390) | 76% (318/417) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (35/95) | 33% (25/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (97/158) | 57% (50/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (12/31) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.20 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 30', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
- 37', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Johnson R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Browne M. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
- 50', Maycock C. 🟨,
- 66', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Hayes C. (A),
- 68', Morgan J. 🟨,
- 68', Mills H. ↓, Mendy J. ↑,
- 69', Kamara D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 86', Hayes C. ↓, Frith D. ↑,
- 86', Morgan J. ↓, Sykut P. ↑,
- 90+4', Dornelly J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon 45.7% | Draw 26.2% | Peterborough United 28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.17) |
3.57 ↑ (3.5) |
3.33 ↑ (3.09) |
7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Peterborough will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peterborough (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Wimbledon will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Garbett M.
(Inactive)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnston C.
(Injury)
Lees T.
(Inactive)
Leonard H.
(Inactive)
O'Brien-Brady D.
(Inactive)
Woods B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Tilley J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:22. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Peterborough United?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against AFC Wimbledon?
Peterborough United has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Peterborough United were as follows:
08.11.2025
Peterborough United
-
AFC Wimbledon
5:0
12.07.2024
Peterborough United
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:1
30.01.2024
Peterborough United
-
AFC Wimbledon
3:1
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two