Result
5:2
04/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 25
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.33 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/240) | 82% (406/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.54 | 2.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (151/240) | 82% (406/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (46/92) | 65% (83/127) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 0.59 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (18/25) | 82% (9/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.06 | 3.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -1.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Leonard H. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
- 33', 1 - 1, Hackett-Fairchild R. ⚽, Darikwa T. (A),
- 37', Collins A. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Draper F. ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Darikwa T. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', 3 - 2, Lisbie K. ⚽, Khela B. (A),
- 57', 4 - 2, Reach A. ⚽, Hackett-Fairchild R. (A),
- 60', Frith D. ↓, Aderoju O. ↑,
- 61', Lisbie K. 🟨,
- 65', Draper F. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
- 65', Varfolomeev I. ↓, Jefferies D. ↑,
- 70', Towler R. 🟨,
- 74', Garbett M. ↓, O'Brien-Brady D. ↑,
- 74', Khela B. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
- 79', Reach A. ↓, Ring E. ↑,
- 83', Leonard H. 🟨,
- 86', Street R. ↓, Moylan J. ↑,
- 87', Obikwu J. 🟨,
- 90+1', 5 - 2, Darikwa T. ⚽, Hamer T. (A),
Chances of winning
Lincoln City
48.8% | Draw
25.9% | Peterborough United
25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lincoln City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Peterborough United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lincoln City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Lincoln City - Peterborough United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(1.93) |
3.61 ↑
(3.34) |
3.67 ↑
(3.64) |
7.3%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lincoln City - Peterborough United?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Lincoln will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Peterborough will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lincoln: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lincoln City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 2.
- Lincoln is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Peterborough is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lincoln could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Lincoln: Collins J.
(Injury)
House B.
(Inactive)
Jackson A.
(Inactive)
Thorn O.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R.
(Knee Injury)
Hughes S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mendy J.
(Inactive)
Mills H.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Peterborough: Okagbue D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Lincoln won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lincoln won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:8. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Lincoln City won against Peterborough United?
Lincoln City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Peterborough United won against Lincoln City?
Peterborough United has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lincoln City - Peterborough United were as follows:
27.09.2025
Peterborough United
-
Lincoln City
0:3
25.01.2025
Lincoln City
-
Peterborough United
5:1
14.09.2024
Peterborough United
-
Lincoln City
1:1
27.01.2024
Lincoln City
-
Peterborough United
0:0
07.10.2023
Peterborough United
-
Lincoln City
2:0
Latest results of Lincoln City
Latest results of Peterborough United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
