Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 8
- Referee: Calzavara A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/476) | 74% (261/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (378/476) | 74% (261/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (34/68) | 25% (17/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (96/148) | 63% (56/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.10 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 1 - 0, Lapadula G. ⚽, Aurelio G. (A),
- 17', Francesconi M. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 1, Frabotta G. ⚽, Ciofi A. (A),
- 45+1', 1 - 2, Frabotta G. ⚽, Castagnetti M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kouda R. ↓, Vignali L. ↑,
- 48', Castagnetti M. 🟨,
- 63', Cassata F. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
- 63', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
- 71', Soleri E. ↓, Vlahovic V. ↑,
- 73', Francesconi M. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 77', Klinsmann J. 🟨,
- 79', Mangraviti M. 🟨,
- 83', Nagy A. ↓, Di Serio G. ↑,
- 83', Ciervo R. ↓, Guidi M. ↑,
- 83', Shpendi C. ↓, Balde S. ↑,
- 90+5', Esposito Sa. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spezia
47.1% | Draw
29.6% | Cesena
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Cesena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Spezia - Cesena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.15) |
3.32 ↑
(3.27) |
4.3 ↑
(3.36) |
2.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Spezia - Cesena?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cesena will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spezia: 19% – 81%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 1.
- Spezia has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cesena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Spezia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Spezia: Bandinelli F.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Cesena: Bastoni S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Spezia: Zurkowski S.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Cesena?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cesena won against Spezia?
Cesena has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spezia - Cesena were as follows:
15.03.2025
Cesena
-
Spezia
0:0
01.09.2024
Spezia
-
Cesena
2:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 18 |
| 2 | Palermo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Cesena | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Monza | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Venezia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Reggiana | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 11 |
| 11 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Catanzaro | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Pescara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Bari | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 5 |
| 19 | Mantova | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 |
| 20 | Spezia | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
