Result
1:1
15/02/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 26
- Referee: Pezzuto I. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 14 | 34 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (252/346) | 76% (276/363) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 63% (45/71) | 65% (107/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 24% (5/21) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 71% (15/21) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 14', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
- 21', Beyuku G. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 1, Esposito F. ⚽, Reca A. (A),
- 27', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 38', Cassata F. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 1, Defrel G. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Beyuku G. ↓, Magnino L. ↑,
- 61', Cassata F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
- 61', Bandinelli F. ↓, Kouda R. ↑,
- 63', Vignali L. 🟨,
- 68', Lapadula G. 🟨,
- 72', Defrel G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 72', Lapadula G. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
- 82', Idrissi R. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 82', Caso G. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 83', Bertola N. 🟨,
- 85', Reca A. ↓, Aurelio G. ↑,
- 85', Vignali L. ↓, Colak A. ↑,
- 87', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Palumbo A. 🟥,
- 90+3', Gerli F. ↓, Caldara M. ↑,
- 90+6', Degli Innocenti D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Modena
26.8% | Draw
30.6% | Spezia
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Modena - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3) |
3.04 ↓
(3.05) |
2.21 ↓
(2.44) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 0.
- Recent matches Modena is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Spezia is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Spezia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Modena: Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 13 head-to-head matches Modena won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:12 (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Spezia?
Modena has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Modena?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Spezia were as follows:
02.11.2024
Spezia
-
Modena
1:0
25.02.2024
Modena
-
Spezia
0:0
26.12.2023
Spezia
-
Modena
1:1
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
