Result
3:0
13/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 30
- Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/354) | 82% (417/509) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (264/354) | 82% (417/509) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (25/69) | 42% (20/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (60/106) | 68% (81/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (3/20) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | -1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Wiafe S. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', Bellemo A. 🟨,
- 53', Beruatto P. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
- 57', Bellemo A. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Gliozzi E. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
- 62', Comotto C. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
- 63', Romano A. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
- 71', Wiafe S. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
- 71', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 74', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 77', Valoti M. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
- 77', Bonfanti G. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
- 87', De Luca M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
- 87', Santoro S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Modena
56.4% | Draw
25.7% | Spezia
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Modena - Spezia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↓
(1.74) |
3.64 ↑
(3.45) |
5.23 ↑
(4.62) |
6.3%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Spezia?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Spezia (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Spezia (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spezia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Spezia?
Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Modena?
Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Spezia were as follows:
13.12.2025
Spezia
-
Modena
0:2
15.02.2025
Modena
-
Spezia
1:1
02.11.2024
Spezia
-
Modena
1:0
25.02.2024
Modena
-
Spezia
0:0
26.12.2023
Spezia
-
Modena
1:1
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 63:26 | 37 | 67 |
| 2 | Monza | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 49:25 | 24 | 64 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 31 | 17 | 11 | 3 | 59:31 | 28 | 62 |
| 4 | Palermo | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 24 | 58 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 48:35 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 40:24 | 16 | 47 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 42 |
| 8 | Cesena | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 40 |
| 9 | Avellino | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 36:49 | -13 | 39 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 33:32 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
| 12 | Padova | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | -10 | 34 |
| 13 | Mantova | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 35:46 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 33 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Bari | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Entella | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 28:45 | -17 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:43 | -13 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 41:54 | -13 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
