Modena vs Spezia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 30
Referee: Turrini N. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, Destination Calcio, LAB Channel
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
United-kingdom	DCTV
Usa	DCTV
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.72	0.14
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
3	1
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
3	3
Passes
75% (264/354)	82% (417/509)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.72	0.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.96	0.13
Total shots
9	6
Shots on target
3	1
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
0	2
Shots inside the box
7	2
Shots outside the box
2	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	0
Corner kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
14	9
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	3
Free kicks
15	8
Passes
75% (264/354)	82% (417/509)
Long passes
36% (25/69)	42% (20/48)
Passes in final third
57% (60/106)	68% (81/120)
Crosses
15% (3/20)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.38
Throw ins
14	22
Fouls
8	15
Tackles
69% (11/16)	50% (6/12)
Duels won
45	47
Clearances
30	36
Interceptions
8	1
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.13	1.96
Goals prevented
0.13	-1.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Wiafe S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Bellemo A. 🟨,
53', Beruatto P. 🟨,
55', 2 - 0, De Luca M. ⚽, Santoro S. (A),
57', Bellemo A. ↓, Adamo E. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Gliozzi E. ⚽, De Luca M. (A),
62', Comotto C. ↓, Bandinelli F. ↑,
63', Romano A. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
71', Wiafe S. ↓, Sersanti A. ↑,
71', Gliozzi E. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
74', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
77', Valoti M. ↓, Shagaxle H. ↑,
77', Bonfanti G. ↓, Hristov P. ↑,
87', De Luca M. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
87', Santoro S. ↓, Massolin Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Modena
56.4%

Draw
25.7%

Spezia
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

26.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

26.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Modena - Spezia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.74)	3.64 ↑ (3.45)	5.23 ↑ (4.62)	6.3% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Modena - Spezia?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 21.7% – 78.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Spezia (4.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Spezia (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Spezia (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Modena won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 0.9:0.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Spezia?

Modena has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Spezia won against Modena?

Spezia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Spezia were as follows:

13.12.2025 Spezia - Modena 0:2

15.02.2025 Modena - Spezia 1:1

02.11.2024 Spezia - Modena 1:0

25.02.2024 Modena - Spezia 0:0

26.12.2023 Spezia - Modena 1:1

Latest results of Modena

07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Modena - Padova 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Juve Stabia - Modena 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Modena - Carrarese 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Spezia

07.03.2026 Spezia - Monza 4:2 ✺

03.03.2026 Padova - Spezia 2:2 ✺

28.02.2026 Spezia - Reggiana 0:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Cesena - Spezia 2:3 ✺

15.02.2026 Spezia - Frosinone 0:2 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	33	19	11	3	64:32	32	68
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	33	18	10	5	54:27	27	64
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation