Sportivo Luqueño vs Sportivo San Lorenzo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
13/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports, Tigo Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.090.22
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
185
Shots on target
72
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
50
Passes
78% (266/343)72% (261/362)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.090.22
xG on target (xGOT)
2.250.24
Total shots
185
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
50
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
113
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
10
Corner kicks
50
Touches in opposition box
389
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1218
Passes
78% (266/343)72% (261/362)
Long passes
44% (19/43)27% (18/66)
Passes in final third
66% (75/113)49% (40/81)
Crosses
42% (14/33)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.19
Throw ins
2825
Fouls
1812
Tackles
65% (11/17)81% (13/16)
Duels won
7254
Clearances
3239
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
16
xGOT faced
0.242.25
Goals prevented
-0.761.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Galeano A. ,
  • 28', Benitez A. 🟨,
  • 31', Martinez Cubilla A. M. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Maggi I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ramos J. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 46', Martinez Cubilla A. M. , Maldonado S. ,
  • 56', Quinonez A. 🟨,
  • 56', Pinatares B. 🟨,
  • 63', Galeano A. , Villamayor H. ,
  • 63', Colman C. , Paez A. ,
  • 67', Quintana S. , Ruiz O. ,
  • 67', Pereira K. , Maiz A. ,
  • 76', Jara T. , Rivas F. ,
  • 76', Meza Montiel D. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 80', Bogado G. , Ojeda M. ,

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
49.7%
Draw
28.5%
Sportivo San Lorenzo
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 26.6% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4% 26.2% 20.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.78)
    3.28
    (3.52)
    4.25
    (4.48)
    7.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo San Lorenzo?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Sportivo San Lorenzo (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 12).
    • Recent performances by Sportivo Luqueño have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Sportivo San Lorenzo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Sportivo Luqueño is the team to beat.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    • Including home match between the teams, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion1183014:6827
    2Cerro Porteno1162314:9520
    3Nacional Asuncion1154218:11719
    4Libertad Asuncion1152418:10817
    5Rubio Nu114349:10-115
    6Guarani1034317:13413
    7Ameliano103439:7213
    8Recoleta1134413:14-113
    9Sportivo Trinidense102539:10-111
    10Sp. Luqueno1132610:14-411
    112 de Mayo102356:15-99
    12San Lorenzo110477:25-184

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