Result
0:7
02/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/283) | 83% (400/481) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 5.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (209/283) | 83% (400/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (20/43) | 55% (29/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (56/95) | 60% (56/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.93 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 5.43 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.57 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Melgarejo L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 18', 0 - 2, Gimenez N. ⚽, Molinas A. (A),
- 29', Duarte A. ↓, Caballero H. ↑,
- 39', 0 - 3, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Aguilar G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 4)
- 46', Figueroa I. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
- 46', Alderete E. ↓, Alfonso M. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 4, Espinoza Acosta M. D. ⚽, Gimenez N. (A),
- 52', Jara T. 🟨,
- 53', Molinas A. 🟨,
- 61', Caceres L. 🟨,
- 63', 0 - 5, Benitez A. ⚽,
- 64', Quinonez A. ↓, Villamayor H. ↑,
- 65', Colman C. ↓, Paez A. ↑,
- 74', Melgarejo L. ↓, Vera O. R. ↑,
- 75', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 81', Aguilar G. ↓, Carrizo F. ↑,
- 81', Ramirez I. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 6, Franco I. ⚽, Benitez A. (A),
- 90', 0 - 7, Carrizo F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sportivo San Lorenzo
17.7% | Draw
26.2% | Libertad Asuncion
56.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo San Lorenzo's form might have worsened.Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Libertad Asuncion's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.23 ↑
(3.54) |
3.58 ↑
(3.45) |
1.66 ↓
(2.01) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Sportivo San Lorenzo (2.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Sportivo San Lorenzo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Libertad (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 10).
- Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.
- Libertad will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sportivo San Lorenzo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo San Lorenzo won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo San Lorenzo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo San Lorenzo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo San Lorenzo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
20.09.2023
Sportivo San Lorenzo
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Sportivo San Lorenzo
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
