Result
1:0
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 10
- Referee: Kaivoja K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 25 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 20 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Delevic M. 🟨,
- 23', Svedovski A. 🟨,
- 24', Surogin A. 🟨,
- 36', Sotsugov D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Gomis M. 🟨,
- 58', Saarma R. ↓, Suso M. ↑,
- 60', Svedovski A. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
- 60', Nigula R. ↓, Mihhailov V. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Usta T. (Pen),
- 68', Gomis M. ↓, Badamosi A. ↑,
- 82', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
- 82', Gueye M. ↓, Lilander M. ↑,
- 82', Hoim O. ↓, Gilmore L. ↑,
- 82', Jurisoo T. ↓, Kollo A. ↑,
- 90+4', Usta T. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
- 90+5', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tallinna Kalev
5.4% | Draw
11.9% | Paide LM
82.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paide LM's recent form is better than expected.
Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
16.99 ↑
(9.67) |
7.75 ↑
(6.4) |
1.12 ↓
(1.19) |
8.3%
(9.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kalev (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Esiliiga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalev won 1.
- Kalev is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Paide is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Paide could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Paide is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kalev won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 19:61 (average 1:3.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kalev won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:28 (average 1.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Tallinna Kalev won against Paide LM?
Tallinna Kalev has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paide LM won against Tallinna Kalev?
Paide LM has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM were as follows:
30.03.2025
Paide LM
-
Tallinna Kalev
5:0
15.02.2025
Paide LM
-
Tallinna Kalev
4:0
17.09.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Paide LM
3:2
21.07.2024
Paide LM
-
Tallinna Kalev
3:1
15.06.2024
Tallinna Kalev
-
Paide LM
2:5
Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
Latest results of Paide LM
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | 53:16 | 37 | 53 |
| 2 | Flora | 22 | 15 | 3 | 4 | 46:19 | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Paide | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 33:18 | 15 | 41 |
| 4 | Kalju | 21 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 43:24 | 19 | 41 |
| 5 | Narva | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 37:28 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 27:44 | -17 | 19 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 22:43 | -21 | 17 |
| 9 | Harju JK Laagri | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 23:44 | -21 | 16 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 21 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 21:67 | -46 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
