Paide LM vs Tallinna Kalev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Cup
Result
6:0
11/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Estonian Cup - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Laane K. (Est)

Match Stats

Ball possession
72%28%
Total shots
142
Shots on target
80
Corner kicks
20
Yellow cards
01
Total shots
142
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (4 - 0)
  • 21', 1 - 0, Piht K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 22', Petrunin D. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Jobarteh M. ⚽,
  • 42', 3 - 0, Ojamaa H. ⚽,
  • 45+2', 4 - 0, Luts D. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Gusarov A. ↓, Leis L. ↑,
  • 48', 5 - 0, Luts D. ⚽,
  • 57', 6 - 0, Hoim O. ⚽,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Paide LM
87.7%		Draw
8.4%		Tallinna Kalev
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
86.3% 10.2% 3.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paide LM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
    •

    Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.05 ↓
    (1.07)    		 10.93 ↑
    (9.05)    		 23.99 ↓
    (26.5)    		 8.6%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paide won 3.
    • Paide has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Paide may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Paide is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paide won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 52:20. (average 2.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Paide won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:8. (average 2.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM 0:3
    09.08.2025 Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev 2:2
    26.04.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM 1:0
    30.03.2025 Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev 5:0
    15.02.2025 Paide LM - Tallinna Kalev 4:0
    Latest results of Paide LM
    07.03.2026 Pärnu Vaprus - Paide LM 3:2
    28.02.2026 Paide LM - Super Nova 1:0
    20.02.2026 Paide LM - Flora Tallinn 1:3
    14.02.2026 Paide LM - Nõmme Kalju 2:1
    07.02.2026 Narva Trans - Paide LM 1:1
    Latest results of Tallinna Kalev
    05.03.2026 Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev 3:0
    08.02.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Pärnu Vaprus 0:6
    25.01.2026 Tammeka - Tallinna Kalev 0:3
    18.01.2026 Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 3:1
    08.11.2025 Tallinna Kalev - Kuressaare 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1FloraBye
    3KohvileBye
    4ByeHelm
    5LevadiaBye
    7Flora U18Bye
    8ByeFlora U21
    9Tabasalu UlasabatBye
    10ByeEston Villa
    11Harju JK LaagriBye
    12ByeTransferWise
    13Tallinna WolvesSoccernet6 : 4
    14ByeRaasiku Joker
    15Nomme UtdBye
    16ByeHarju JK Laagri III
    17Saue LaagriBye
    18ByeMaksatransport
    19Tartu Welco 2Bye
    20ByeNarva
    21Lootus JK JarveBye
    22JK ArsenalRae Spordikool2 : 4
    23FC TallinnBye
    24ByeZealot Sporting
    25Johvi PhoenixBye
    26ByeKose II
    28ByeKalju
    29Viimsi JKBye
    30ByeTalTech
    31TamperBye
    32ByeRumori Calcio
    33KoseBye
    34ByeKuressaare
    36ByePaide
    37Flora U19Bye
    38ByeVastseliina Tannem
    39TammekaBye
    40ByeTabasalu
    41Tartu KalevElva1 : 2
    42ByeLegion
    43Viimsi LovidBye
    44ByeTallinna Smsraha
    45Tallinna Kalev IIIBye
    46ByeEstHam United
    47HiiumaaBye
    48ByeTallinna Kalev
    49Tallinna FC ZapoosBye
    50Hell HuntLootos2 : 0
    51RaplamaaSaku Sporting1 : 5
    52Marjamaa KompaniiKubik4 : 0
    53Parnu JK VaprusBye
    54Olympic TallinnTulevik0 : 6
    55Jarva-JaaniBye
    56Keila JKKallaste United5 : 2
    57Maardu AliensBye
    58ByeJK Poseidon
    59Tallinna Kalev U21Vana Hea Puur6 : 0
    60HaapsaluKohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond2 : 1
    61Tartu WelcoKuusalu Kalev16 : 0
    62ByeTartu Helios
    63Arukula VigriBye
    64ByeKristiine

    1/32-finals
    1FloraBye
    2KohvileHelm0 : 4
    3LevadiaBye
    4Flora U18Flora U211 : 12
    5Tabasalu UlasabatEston Villa13 : 0
    6Harju JK LaagriTransferWise26 : 0
    7Tallinna WolvesRaasiku Joker3 : 4
    8Nomme UtdHarju JK Laagri III5 : 1
    9Saue LaagriMaksatransport6 : 1
    10Tartu Welco 2Narva0 : 8
    11Lootus JK JarveRae Spordikool1 : 10
    12FC TallinnZealot Sporting7 : 1
    13Johvi Phoenix (WO.)Kose II
    14ByeKalju
    15Viimsi JKTalTech7 : 1
    16TamperRumori Calcio4 : 2
    17KoseKuressaare0 : 7
    18ByePaide
    19Flora U19 (WO.)Vastseliina Tannem
    20TammekaTabasalu6 : 0
    21ElvaLegion3 : 0
    22Viimsi LovidTallinna Smsraha0 : 7
    23Tallinna Kalev IIIEstHam United9 : 0
    24HiiumaaTallinna Kalev0 : 3
    25Tallinna FC ZapoosHell Hunt7 : 0
    26Saku SportingMarjamaa Kompanii3 : 2
    27Parnu JK VaprusTulevik13 : 0
    28Jarva-JaaniKeila JK1 : 4
    29Maardu AliensJK Poseidon1 : 4
    30Tallinna Kalev U21Haapsalu2 : 0
    31Tartu WelcoTartu Helios3 : 0
    32Arukula VigriKristiine0 : 4

    1/16-finals
    1FloraHelm14 : 0
    2LevadiaFlora U214 : 0
    3Tabasalu UlasabatHarju JK Laagri0 : 3
    4Raasiku JokerNomme Utd1 : 4
    5Saue LaagriNarva0 : 4
    6Rae SpordikoolFC Tallinn0 : 9
    7Johvi PhoenixKalju1 : 6
    8Viimsi JKTamper4 : 1
    9KuressaarePaide1 : 2
    10Flora U19Tammeka1 : 8
    11ElvaTallinna Smsraha3 : 2
    12Tallinna Kalev IIITallinna Kalev1 : 8
    13Tallinna FC ZapoosSaku Sporting3 : 0
    14Parnu JK VaprusKeila JK9 : 0
    15JK PoseidonTallinna Kalev U211 : 0
    16Tartu WelcoKristiine8 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1FloraLevadia3 : 1
    2Harju JK LaagriNomme Utd0 : 1
    3NarvaFC Tallinn6 : 0
    4KaljuViimsi JK0 : 1
    5PaideTammeka3 : 0
    6ElvaTallinna Kalev1 : 2
    7Tallinna FC ZapoosParnu JK Vaprus2 : 4
    8JK PoseidonTartu Welco0 : 6

    Quarter-finals
    1FloraNomme Utd3 : 1
    2NarvaViimsi JK4 : 3
    3PaideTallinna Kalev6 : 0
    4Parnu JK VaprusTartu Welco2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1FloraNarva
    2PaideParnu JK Vaprus

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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