Result
8:1
15/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 24
- Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | ETV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (4 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Paalberg M. ⚽, Kauber K. (A),
- 15', Lang T. 🟨,
- 16', 2 - 0, Valja H. (Pen),
- 24', Pedmanson H. 🟨,
- 41', 3 - 0, Paalberg M. ⚽, Valja H. (A),
- 45+2', 4 - 0, Villota M. ⚽, Valja H. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Lang T. ↓, Kiidron K. ↑,
- 46', 5 - 0, Limberg M. ⚽, Valja H. (A),
- 49', 5 - 1, Tanimowo O. ⚽,
- 54', Jarvelaid H. 🟥,
- 56', Kallas R. ↓, Vister M. ↑,
- 56', Pedmanson H. ↓, Sepp M. ↑,
- 62', 6 - 1, Vallik V. ⚽, Valja H. (A),
- 63', Epton D. 🟨,
- 67', Vallik V. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 67', Valja H. ↓, Veensalu E. ↑,
- 67', Koskor T. ↓, Ignatius C. ↑,
- 75', Epton D. ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
- 83', 7 - 1, Poder J. ⚽,
- 84', 8 - 1, Veensalu E. ⚽, Paalberg M. (A),
- 85', Villota M. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
- 85', Aer S. ↓, Keskula E. ↑,
- 85', Kauber K. ↓, Rand K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pärnu Vaprus
53.7% | Draw
23.7% | Tammeka
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu Vaprus's form might have worsened.Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu Vaprus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.57) |
3.97 ↓
(4.25) |
4.16 ↓
(4.78) |
6.2%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tammeka will win (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Tammeka?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tammeka won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Tammeka has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka were as follows:
17.05.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tammeka
2:1
29.03.2025
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:5
16.02.2025
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
6:1
18.09.2024
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Tammeka
2:2
02.08.2024
Tammeka
-
Pärnu Vaprus
0:1
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Latest results of Tammeka
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levadia | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | 63:21 | 42 | 59 |
| 2 | Flora | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 55:21 | 34 | 57 |
| 3 | Paide | 26 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 43:22 | 21 | 51 |
| 4 | Kalju | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 50:29 | 21 | 47 |
| 5 | Narva | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46:33 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 45:34 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 26 | 7 | 1 | 18 | 33:60 | -27 | 22 |
| 8 | Harju JK Laagri | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 19 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 25:55 | -30 | 17 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 26 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 24:83 | -59 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
